I'm not a programmer and I haven't found Copilot to be helpful for anything except trivial cleanup of Excel sheets, but last week I was talking with my brother who works for one of the big software companies and I was surprised that he told a story almost exactly the same as yours (minus the extremely competent coworkers).
He also observed that junior programmers were being entirely cut out, and that at this time no one had an answer for what to do about that. When I asked about his own job in a year or two, he rejected the idea of his own obsolescence, stating that it's a tool that needs guidance. For his sake, I certainly hope he's correct, but although my job is much further from this sort of automation than his, I am not sure I share his confidence. At minimum, I can see it seriously impacting junior engineering roles at my company in the future, mirroring what it has already done on the programming side.
Not sure about the economic black hole and I can't be bothered to look up the hyperbole of the time, but it has been legitimate news for a long time and it doesn't look to be over yet: Evergrande collapse.
Often the truth lies between the argument someone is trying to make that is embellished and the reaction against that argument.
In the small town where my parents live, I was talking with a little old lady volunteering in a second hand shop and she calmly described how although she felt strongly that the change room should be available, they always had to monitor access, and that the first person to use it after reopening it after covid had been you know, gestures at her arm and they'd had to call the cops because he stumbled out and collapsed unconscious on the floor. But it didn't bother her, being open-minded and all. (How could this not bother you? Shouldn't it bother you?!)
Touche!
mod up
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