Comment Re:Supply & demand (Score 2) 265
Because markets behave rationally ?
The prospect of a sudden influx of rare earth materials or fuels couldn't drive down the commodity pricing ? Even if this prospect seems baseless right now (cost of recovering the materials seems rather high) it could still have an effect on pricing.
Besides that, OP was wrong to (didn't RTFA I guess), unless you want to "land" the astroid on earth, the $195B isn't added directly on the market, rather it decreases the amount of materials needed to be send into space @ $10m /tonne.
However, for this you would need to create refineries and more in space (right now they are still in prototype scale, with "70-lb DragonFlies"). As such I highly doubt that the exact cost/benefit could be determinned at this point in time, since (space program) estimates are inaccurate.
The prospect of a sudden influx of rare earth materials or fuels couldn't drive down the commodity pricing ? Even if this prospect seems baseless right now (cost of recovering the materials seems rather high) it could still have an effect on pricing.
Besides that, OP was wrong to (didn't RTFA I guess), unless you want to "land" the astroid on earth, the $195B isn't added directly on the market, rather it decreases the amount of materials needed to be send into space @ $10m
However, for this you would need to create refineries and more in space (right now they are still in prototype scale, with "70-lb DragonFlies"). As such I highly doubt that the exact cost/benefit could be determinned at this point in time, since (space program) estimates are inaccurate.