Comment Re:Interesting stuff going on at beatpaths.com (Score 1) 8
Both the ELO and TrueSkill system are derived from a generative model of the game outcome (i.e., the thing to be predicted) and, thus, both systems are well suited for the task of prediction.
In a way, matchmaking addresses this issue insofar as well matchmade games are games where the outcome cannot be predicted, that is, where each outcome is equally likely.
Ralf Herbrich
Microsoft Research Ltd., Cambridge, UK
