> Dr Michel Laberge of General Fusion not physicist-y enough for you?
The ink jet guy with precisely zero plasma physics or fusion background? Correct, he is *not* physicist-y enough for me.
Let's talk about GF, given it's the home team for me. GF's entire pitch is that they are simply updating a device called Linus that was built in the early 1970s. Linus didn't work, they claim, because they didn't have the necessary computer controls that would be needed to keep the collapse uniform. So Linus eventually gave up. But now, years later, that problem is gone and with all of these fancy ASICs we can make the collapse perfect.
So I tracked down some of the guys that worked on Linus. One of them sent me photographs of perfectly uniform repeatable collapses. He then went on to describe what *really* happened. One of the issues for Linus was that as they compressed the plasma, it would squirt out the ends of the confinement area. Around the same time, the first field-reversed configuration (FRC) work was being published. This was perfect, because an FRC is in the form of a cylinder and they could inject it into the centre and it would keep the plasma confined while it collapsed. But as they started running the numbers, they noticed that the FRC itself seemed to do everything Linus would, but without all that Linus. So they stopped working on Linus and went all-in on FRC.
GF formed in 2003, at which time they claimed they would hit breakeven in three years and would have a demo machine in five. They have continued to make similar claims every time anyone asks, two decades later. They have built a series of their collapse machines, not one of which can actually perform fusion. They have also built a couple of small fusion machines, none of which uses their collapse system (they are MIF machines instead). So, two decades into their five year plan, they still have nothing other than theoretical models. GF *does not have physics*.
To clarity, let's take a counterexample. In physics terms, CFS's design is a bog-standard tokamak. All they are doing is changing the magnets. There are decades of experiments on this layout, the physics is very well understood, and there is every reason to believe that it will work when it is turned on. Tokamak Energy is only slightly less firm, as the spherical tokamak approach has not pushed into the same operational regime as the traditional tokamak layout that CFS is using. But they do have a series of successful machines like START and MAST-U to draw on, and its run by the team that built those.
GF has *zero* experimental evidence that their machine will work when it is turned on. They have not performed a *single experiment* that matches their proposed system, and those few MIF experiments they have run are *many* orders of magnitude away from operational parameters. The same is true for TAE, Helion, FLF and many of the others. Some of these concepts, like TAE, seem to have no way they could possibly work even in theory. Others, like NT-Tao, make absolutely no sense whatsoever and appear to consist entirely of technobabble.