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Comment Re:Negative productivity is a possibility (Score 1) 44

Similar happened with the outsourcing craze roughly 15 years ago. Many regretted it.

That's my thought as well: management rushing it in an effort to keep the quarterly numbers happy followed by budgeting to fix the mistakes. We had many "fix this!" projects during early outsourcing. Things are in more equilibrium now, as I'm sure they will be with AI eventually.

I see the threat of AI being entry level though... as AI gets better you need more skill to analyze it for defects, which pushes entry level positions out and you soon run out of people with real world experience in the language or system. I guess you shrink the pool which makes wages rise, but that's about the only good thing.

Comment Re:Commercial programming languages are disappeari (Score 1) 34

SQL is probably being taught more than the HTML stack in programming / college classes, and this list is based on search results. I imagine any older language that look "odd" like that are because it is being taught to newer programmers who are searching for answers, while anything new is a little inflated as experienced programmers might need to look up references.

Comment Re: Delphi (Score 1) 34

The other Ps (PHP and Python) kind of eroded Perl's base I'd imagine. Then if you learned VBasic you could use it for quick GUI prototyping and simple scripting and probably won't move to the other Visual languages.

VB is still probably taught in enough entry level programming classes that I assume you have more of an influx of people googling answers as well. This isn't "real world" data, but search results which will skew a bit towards what newer programmers might need to look up.

Comment Re:Conciousness isn't as mysterious as you thought (Score 1) 403

Nope. LLMs are fully deterministic and anything they do is reducible. Hence there cannot be any consciousness in there that has any visible effect. QED.

I think there is a big error in assuming that consciousness *requires* non-deterministic behavior. We just don't currently know all the actions / reactions in the brain that decide our actions.

Does an insect have as much "consciousness" as a human?

Comment Obvious... now for the issue (Score 1) 83

This was the exact same promise as outsourcing code: pay less for the same work. The problem is that management messed up and it wasn't ready yet, so we got a lot of work fixing code and verification issues after the initial push.

AI feels the same way, promise cheap work and management jumped too early on it, leading to issues like this.

The problem will come between low level and senior work: used to be that senior level engineers would review and teach entry level programmers to teach them to be future seniors. Now seniors will review work to make the AI better, but you will run out of seniors as entry level AI prompt writers won't learn the lessons. This will cause senior brain drain, and jack up the prices of people who are experienced especially in fields that currently need certifications and the like (anything that goes on an airplane for example).

Comment Infinite money glitch (Score 1) 48

Create a political echo chamber online and grab a bunch of startup capital. Allow people to rile themselves up on said platform. Sell the data and the platform off to the "enemy". Create the next political echo chamber online and have everyone from the previous platform move there. Repeat until the extremists are such a minority that they aren't worth the money.

Comment Re:Anthropic played this horribly (Score 1) 137

Pretty sure they are suing for reputational damage by being declared a national security threat, which they could only win if they show substantial harm to the company... which the defense can simply be "see, they gained a bunch of goodwill through there anti-war clauses, so there was no reputational damage".

Anthropics strategy will depend on their books, so if they gained money through it the lawsuit will fail pretty hard.

Comment Bloat (Score 3, Interesting) 23

I usually roll my eyes when people say the economy relies on infinite growth, but the AAA games industries are really a microcosm of that philosophy. Bigger and bigger bloat and a focus on monetization instead of innovation until the bubble bursts... they are chasing whales instead of general audiences.

Here is a video on steam and video game price trends.

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