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Comment Re:98% Accurate! (Score 1) 286

It is worse as you also have to consider the false negatives. Assume (for ease of calculation) that 1% of the publication are terrorists. Within a population of 1M there are 10,000 terrorists. Within that, 2% of terrorists will not be recognized. 200 terrorists are allowed to fly. Boom! It really doesn't matter what the real ratio of terrorists to non-terrorists is. What matters is the human costs of a false negative.

There is a cost to living in a free society-risk. If we create a situation where one false positive is worth preventing at any cost, then we won't have any freedom at the end of the day. Total panopticon and total control: No more possibility of getting rid of a regime if you have that. At some point, we as a society will have to say, we accept *some* risk, or we allow for a total police state.

Businesses

Submission + - Why Software Is Eating the World (wsj.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Web browser pioneer Mark Andreessen writes in the Wall Street Journal that software is "eating the world." He argues that software's importance to the economy is being underestimated, and will become much more evident in the near future. Quoting: 'But too much of the debate is still around financial valuation, as opposed to the underlying intrinsic value of the best of Silicon Valley's new companies. My own theory is that we are in the middle of a dramatic and broad technological and economic shift in which software companies are poised to take over large swathes of the economy. More and more major businesses and industries are being run on software and delivered as online services—from movies to agriculture to national defense. Many of the winners are Silicon Valley-style entrepreneurial technology companies that are invading and overturning established industry structures. Over the next 10 years, I expect many more industries to be disrupted by software, with new world-beating Silicon Valley companies doing the disruption in more cases than not.'
Education

Submission + - Teacher Cannot Be Sued For Denying Creationism (csmonitor.com)

gzipped_tar writes: A federal appeals court ruled on Friday that a public high school teacher in Mission Viejo, California may not be sued for making hostile remarks about religion in his classroom. The decision stems from a lawsuit filed by a student charging that the teacher’s hostile remarks about creationism and religious faith violated a First Amendment mandate that the government remain neutral in matters of religion. A three-judge panel of the 9th US Circuit Court of Appeals ruled unanimously that the lawsuit against an advanced placement history teacher must be thrown out of court because the teacher was entitled to immunity.

Comment Re:Nuke power (Score 1) 483

The thing about nuclear accidents is that your senses can't be trusted. Radiation is invisible, and in low doses, not going to have immediate effect. Further information coming out about the NRC not enforcing its own safety guidelines, and the origins of the NRC itself give you a really great idea why people are freaked out. You can't engineer human systems to be human free, both in operation and in institution. Furthermore if you use a possibilistic approach to failure analysis instead of a probabilistic approach, you get a different prognosis. We haven't seen the worst nuclear accident, not even close. That's still in the future. It's a given. And that accident will have been caused by something the engineers didn't foresee and exacerbated by human systems or behavior. Why can't people understand THAT? You know how many times a once in a century accident has to happen to bring tragedy to thousands? Once. I highly recommend the work of Charles Perrow in studying failure. Much better articulation of this subject than I can give.

Comment Re:Oh Noes!!! (Score 1) 673

I think taking into account the human factor when evaluating the tech is necessary. The fact is that in a capitalist society, profits being the driving factor, human institutions will push to gain short term profit over long term. This is particularly true in construction where construction cost is not considered alongside operating cost in many institutions, they are separate departments. This will mean that still working assets, while they may be increasingly risky to run, will be kept online past their safe lifetime. It means that people will delay enacting costly upgrades if they think they can possibly avoid it. They will, in short, gamble. I feel that this is often a shortcoming of engineers- they fail to engineer in the systems of the human institutions that will operate the tech. Even when profit is not a concern, budgets are, and there are other factors to consider, for this example face-saving cultural issues. There are many hypothetically safe technologies I am sure, if they were operated perfectly to design spec after being built perfectly to design spec. But none of those hypothetical technologies will EVER not be run by human institutions at some level. So being a person with a ZOMG nuke attitude is really much more sensible. Because you can never take the human out of the equation, EVER. So any technology's safety considerations should really have to be thought of in those terms. "Can this technology be used by incompetent idiots and if it all goes wrong will it be harmless?" That is the question we need to ask, not "Is this theoretically sound?" I highly recommend reading Perrow's work called "Normal Accidents." It's a great book on this topic.

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