Comment Hospitals have perverse incentives to use humans (Score 1) 84
I was talking to a US hospital system's "business development" person a couple weeks ago about what their priorities were. (The vast majority of their business is fee-for-service.) Their priorities:
1. Increasing hospital revenue
2. Increasing provider revenue, because if providers don't earn more money every year, they leave the hospital, and then the hospital has a revenue problem
3. Provider satisfaction, for the same reason
4. Decreasing hospital expenses
5. Patient outcomes
So one reason why better-performing AI will have a hard time replacing people in healthcare, is that it'd lower system (and provider) revenue over the long term. That is, the "replacement" question has nothing to do with whether the AI is objectively better at the task, and everything to do with system incentives.