Comment Re:One in twenty? (Score 1) 884
I think a lot of you are misunderstanding odds... 1:20 means once in every 20 times, it's probably going to happen. Hence, if there's been 20 years, there should be at least one year where a plane had been hit. If there's been 20 days, it's likely that one of those days a plane was hit.. However, here we are some 7,300 days since 1989 and still not one plane has been downed by a meteorite. By those odds, we're past due on meteorite airline collisions.
Another possibility is that in the late 80's and early 90's the odds were higher... maybe 1:100 and as time has gone on, the probability only grows stronger since has yet to happen.
Either way, quit looking at things in terms of sharing space rather than occupying the same space. There's a 1:20 chance a meteorite will occupy our atmosphere at the same time a plane is in the sky... but to have a meteorite collide with a plane, it must occupy the same longitude and latitude, as well as altitude.. which adds more variables to the equation and increases the odds greatly. Sad Physists and Astronomers over looked this large detail..