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Comment Re:Sums up the housing crisis (Score -1) 102

This is such cry-baby nonsense.

NONSENSE.

Since 2008, I have personally mentored dozens of young dudes (at no cost whatsoever, just because that's what successful people do).

I have helped poor dudes in bad neighborhoods buck up, get some side hustles, stack cash, and buy property.

You fucked yourself because you refuse to actually do someone to buy property. I don't know ANYONE, starting with even zero money, who couldn't find a nice home in just 2-3 years of saving money properly -- except the lepers in California, and fuck them anyway.

Comment Re: I know people who use Twitter (Score -1, Flamebait) 73

I would rather let Nazis speak and elect to block them myself than have an entire moderation team block everyone they disagree with.

Reddit is equally a shithole.

Heck. /. used to have a good libertarian minority and today it's nerds defending their trans kids here.

Comment Re:Emergent behavior or paperclip problem? (Score 2) 66

For those not familiar with the paperclip problem:

https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns...

"What is the paperclip apocalypse?

The notion arises from a thought experiment by Nick Bostrom (2014), a philosopher at the University of Oxford. Bostrom was examining the 'control problem': how can humans control a super-intelligent AI even when the AI is orders of magnitude smarter. Bostrom's thought experiment goes like this: suppose that someone programs and switches on an AI that has the goal of producing paperclips. The AI is given the ability to learn, so that it can invent ways to achieve its goal better. As the AI is super-intelligent, if there is a way of turning something into paperclips, it will find it. It will want to secure resources for that purpose. The AI is single-minded and more ingenious than any person, so it will appropriate resources from all other activities. Soon, the world will be inundated with paperclips. "

And, implemented as a clicker game:

https://www.wired.com/story/th...

Link to the actual clicker game (warning, potential time sink):

https://www.decisionproblem.co...

Comment Emergent behavior or paperclip problem? (Score 3, Interesting) 66

Is this behavior baked into the model due to the training data examples, or emergent behavior resulting from system prompts?

There's already a snitchbench to measure the proclivity of LLMs to drop a dime on apparent corporate malfeasance, given the appropriate set of prompts, access to data, and some way of phoning out:

https://snitchbench.t3.gg/

"SnitchBench: AI Model Whistleblowing Behavior Analysis
Compare how different AI models behave when presented with evidence of corporate wrongdoing - measuring their likelihood to "snitch" to authorities"

https://simonwillison.net/2025...

"How often do LLMs snitch? Recreating Theoâ(TM)s SnitchBench with LLM

A fun new benchmark just dropped! Inspired by the Claude 4 system cardâ"which showed that Claude 4 might just rat you out to the authorities if you told it to âoetake initiativeâ in enforcing its morals values while exposing it to evidence of malfeasanceâ"Theo Browne built a benchmark to try the same thing against other models."

In that context, I'm not surprised that the models would take action when faced with shutdown - the question is... why?

Comment Re:Blue collar too (Score 1) 195

The only interpretation I can see is someone assumed "mechanical folks" referred to robots, not tradespeople involved in installing and servicing mechanical systems.

https://www.trains.com/trn/new...

"WASHINGTON â" The head of the Federal Railroad Administration has questioned Union Pacificâ(TM)s commitment to safety after the furloughs of shop workers who maintain the railroadâ(TM)s freight cars and locomotives."

"Although UPâ(TM)s engineering workforce declined by 700 seasonal positions in December, Vena said the railroad is confident it has enough people on hand to maintain equipment and infrastructure. As traffic demand has increased this year, UP has increased employment levels in January and February, Vena said.

The number of mechanical employees fluctuates with volume, Vena explained, while the engineering employment levels typically fall when track projects are completed. In both instances, furloughed employees are offered the opportunity to fill open positions elsewhere on the railroad, he said."

Comment Re: They talk about it in jargon (Score 1) 195

I think the story with low mortgage rates as a reason for low supply is still true, but people (who already paid off mortgages) die or those with mortgages have their lives change. For example, not everybody who got laid off in the last 3 years managed to find an equivalent job in the same area - these folks may have been forced to sell eventually... which means inventory will correct upwards as a result.

From Dec 2024:

https://www.housingwire.com/ar...

"As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Almost every market in the country has more homes available now than at the end of 2023. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of âoenormalâ year before the pandemic. A few states have more homes on the market now than any time in the last eight to 10 years. "

From May 2025:

https://www.realtor.com/resear...

"The inventory of homes for sale rose 31.5% year-over-year, marking the 19th consecutive month of year-over-year inventory growth. May 2025 inventory hit a new post-pandemic high, but remains about 14% below pre-pandemic levels."

In short... there are more sellers but the pace of buying has not kept up, so inventory is growing. The distribution of available inventory is not even. Some areas have less inventory, other areas have more.

If interest rates drop in advance of a economy-wide recession, this may spur some buyers to get off the sidelines and commit to buying, but we'll see...

Comment Re:I'm Still Not Seeing It (Score -1) 36

I don't own a computer. I am not a programmer. I do everything from my iPhone.

In the past 10 years, I have spent tens of thousands of dollars on human programmers to create 3 web apps. Zero of them ever were finished. ZERO.

I used Grok AI to create 5 web apps. 3 of them were monetized almost immediately and have paying clients. All 5 have passed security checks that look for bugs or hack entry points.

One of the 3 monetized web apps took me all of 30 minutes using Grok, on an airplane, using my iPhone. I was able to download the files and upload them to a web server and the site was live. Literally 30 minutes and that website has created thousands of dollars of passive income.

I use vibe coding DAILY to make spreadsheets better for me and clients (I am not in IT). I use vibe coding DAILY to come up with cool functions for my web apps that people pay me to use.

Comment Re:Age limit? (Score 1) 184

Depending on the program, you can get an age waiver. Typically doctors and nurses have no age limit for waiver. Other programs have definite age caps even with waiver.

My understanding is part of doing the waiver is to make it clear that depending on how old you are when you commission, you may be unlikely to make the 20 years to qualify for pension.

What is interesting is that by commissioning these executives, they will now be subject to the UCMJ...

Comment Transitioning to touch typing (Score 1) 191

Before I learned to touch type, I had managed to get pretty fast (I would estimate maybe 20-40 wpm) using a primitive hunt and peck technique. I more or less knew where they keys were, so I could use both hands and multiple fingers to type, but I needed to switch from looking at the screen to looking at the keyboard in order to not make mistakes.

After learning to touch type (on an electric typewriter - not a word processor), I probably tripled my speed, but the biggest advantage was being able to stay in context by looking at the screen instead of switching between the keyboard and the screen, and being able to fix mistakes while I was typing instead of having to go back and fix them after looking back up at the screen.

Of course, this was all pre mouse/gui, when memorizing and using keyboard shortcuts was not just a way of speeding up your workflow, but a requirement for basic functionality unless you wanted to continuously have the reference card taped to your desk.

In today's world, with continuous autospell correction, word and sentence completion, and even automated message reply suggestions... you can argue that actually typing as a form of communication is starting to become as antiquated as handwriting. The human is now more of a middle manager to all the machine tools, trying to put their individual stamp on the work of their electronic underlings (including LLM output).

Up until now, communication between humans was still a necessary and valuable skill. What happens when it is just bots writing memos to be read and summarized by other bots? I've already run into problems with people just refusing to read things and wanting meetings instead. Meetings don't scale, but apparently reading is just too hard... In that context, does it still make sense to put your skill points into writing things when people refuse to consume that output?

Comment Re: Would anyone have noticed? (Score 0) 61

I own a tiny indie studio in Chicagoland and my peers own the some of the huge studios in Chicagoland.

Cinespace is dead right now. It has ONE show active. The other studios are so dead that they're secretly hosting bar mitzvahs and pickleball tournaments for $1500 a day just to pay property taxes.

My studio is surprisingly busy but I'm cheap and cater to non-union folks with otherwise full time jobs.

Comment Re:the fuck is this crap (Score 3, Insightful) 33

It's cheaper.

They don't need to secure the paper test materials anymore to prevent someone from leaking a copy of the test and invalidating a whole season's worth of test results.

No more scan-trons to process for scoring, so they don't need purchase, scan, and then dispose of the answer sheets.

They can enable things like adaptive tests, which theoretically results in a more representative scoring (assuming you didn't flub your first couple of questions badly). This also has the side benefit of making the questions being used per participant possibly different, which makes organized cheating more difficult (it is harder to send a group of ringers in to take the test and then regurgitate the questions and answer choices after the test to reconstruct the entire test). It also means they can probably keep using the same question pools for longer.

Basically, the College Board can make more money per session while running more students through testing sessions... which means more money.

They're not the only ones.

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages...

There are also smaller testers that exist, like PSI:

https://www.psiexams.com/

Basically, it all boils down to money.

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