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Comment Re:Not Extinct... (Score 1) 319

The difference between horses and humans is that horse populations work to serve human populations, and human populations work to serve human populations. When we make the economy run by robots, it won't be human populations working to serve robot populations, it will be robot populations working to serve human populations.

Comment Re:What is 'luck'? (Score 1) 179

With those circumstances, I would think that luck is the situation of, when you are not aware of all the relevant variables involved in the result, hoping that the variables hold values that produce a result you like. Luck would be that hope validated.

So rolling a die and hoping for a 6 means that you are rolling the die and hoping that the relevant variables of the universe that you don't know are going to naturally make the die end up a 6.

Comment Re:Why would premiums drop? (Score 1) 231

And yet the greedy company finds itself one customer less than before.

What we're hoping for is that if insurance companies, even a small number, start offering low rates (with fewer crashes, they can afford to lower rates), then customers will accumulate there and the greedy companies will be forced to adapt or die.

Comment Re:Difficulty (Score 2) 270

True, being an expert in one field doesn't make you an expert in all fields, but it does state quite clearly that the person is an educated and intelligent person. The defense the programmers were using was that the OS was easy to understand for intelligent people, and that only idiots would have trouble. When an intelligent person had trouble, that defense fell apart.

Comment Re: Looking more and more likely all the time... (Score 2) 518

Think back to the past, when the theories of 'modern' physics were incorrect. The could have said the same thing: "Point to one of these theories that have been disproved." and no one could because those theories had yet to be disproved.

If someone back then were also to say "Point to one of these theories that we know will never be disproved." no one could truthfully point to any theory. Surely, one of the theories available to point to eventually became disproved, but how were they to know that? How could they know which theory ends up accurate, and which theory turns out to be inaccurate?

How are we to know which of our theories are accurate?

Comment Re:When software has no bugs (Score 1) 252

Then the tipping point is when the cars can handle any emergency a human could and anything it can't handle couldn't be handled by a human either.

I'm sort of expecting a functionality amounting to: if an automatic car has no idea how to proceed, park by the side of the road, put the hazard lights up, and request human takeover.

Comment Re:I've said it before (Score 1) 391

You are correct in that as material objects become cheaper and people still have jobs, people with jobs accumulate more material objects and standards of living rise.

But that doesn't mean that automation will keep human labour from being relegated to those who specifically want a task less efficiently done by a human hand. Robots became better than us at manual labour, so long as they were doing the exact same thing over and over again, and now we are getting robots that are better than us at manual jobs with more varied demands.

Going by our current state of software, we will eventually reach a point where any necessary profession is most efficiently done by a robot, even intellectual ones. From that point, any human labour is based in illogical sentimentality, as a robot could do the same thing better and cheaper.

Robots could make robots, robots could repair robots, robots could design new robots for new tasks, and humans find themselves with no place in the job market, only left to reap the fruits of robotic labour and engage in whatever hobbies they wish.

Comment Re:Alternatively... (Score 1) 86

Drill sergeants cost a significant amount of money to maintain, whereas if this technology is produced in large quantities it can become a valuable investment as a replacement for drill sergeants.

If they both accomplish the same thing, and one can be cheaper than the other, why would you not choose the cheaper one?

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