Comment Re: Great - AZ will be permanently on california t (Score 1) 307
Comment Re:Multiple Causes for the Correlation Found (Score 4) 53
Comment Multiple Causes for the Correlation Found (Score 5, Insightful) 53
The correlation supports at least two hypotheses:
1. People are turned away by papers that are more jargon-filled and are less likely to cite them.
2. The kind of people who unnecessarily fill their papers with jargon are the same kind of people who aren't doing very good research, so readability aside, these papers aren't worth citing.
They don't acknowledge this in their actual paper.
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2020.2581
They conclude that their analysis "clearly emphasizes the negative effect of jargon on the success of a paper." But I suspect a correlation between jargon and paper quality, so the lack of citations may be dependent on the "quality" variable, with "jargon" just hitching a correlative ride on quality.
Of course, this would be very difficult to decorrelate because you'd need some measure of the quality of the science in the paper... and the only measure typically used for that on a large scale is citations...
But their findings do not necessarily imply that if the same poorly cited papers had less jargon that they would have performed equally to the other papers.
Comment Room to grow with common usage (Score 2) 87
Right now, a very small percentage of the population holds any cryptocurrency, and a tiny percentage of worldwide financial transactions are conducted in cryptocurrency.
If this changed - if one became popular for financial transactions, where a lot of the population carried some device that could complete cryptocurrency transactions as easily as a credit card, and many or most businesses accepted cryptocurrency, than whatever currency wins that "common usage" battle still has a long way up. The price is just supply and demand, and large numbers of people acquiring some currency to use as currency = demand and would drive up the price further.
I don't know when or if that would happen, but it's conceivable that a cryptocurrency could, at some point, become very easy to use and offer some advantage(s) over other currencies such that it was widely adopted for use as a general currency, which would cause at least one more run up in price for any currency that does that.
Comment Re:Try that in NJ... (Score 1) 277
You should ALWAYS be able to stop safely when the person in front of you stops fast.
You obviously haven't driven in really big cities - New York, DC, LA, Chicago...
I completely agree with you that that's how everyone should drive. That's how I drive whenever I'm anywhere where it's possible to do so (moderate sized cities, small towns, rural areas, roads without multiple lanes).
But in the really big cities, if you leave a safe gap such that you could stop in time if there were an accident in front of you, then another car changes lanes to get in that gap. Slow down to make another gap, another car instantly fills it to where you're tailgating them. Keep doing that, and you slow down and down to where you're going an unsafe speed and everyone is swerving around you like a stopped car - and as they swerve around you, they're still cutting over in front of you so fast that you're overdriving your stopping distance. The only speed at which you're not overdriving your stopping distance is under about 10 MPH, which is both illegal on most major arteries and insanely unsafe.
The only thing to do if you have to drive in these places is leaves the biggest gap you can that will usually stop another car from darting in front of you, which still means you are not guaranteed safe stopping distance. Or just don't drive there. There is no way to drive there and avoid tailgating, because someone else will change lanes to make it so you're tailgating regardless of your speed. There is no way to drive safely.
Comment Re:Tick tock (Score 3, Insightful) 224
Comment Re:There's a simple solution to this crap... (Score 1) 536
Right now, the evil actors don't want to actually cough up as much money as people want in exchange for moving. They try to buy up homes by offering 10% above market value. When the people refuse, they just bribe government to use eminent domain to kick the people out and let them buy the land at below market value.
If my proposal could somehow help change the evil company's strategy to instead offer everybody 200% of the value of their house, that would be great. But unfortunately, I think the evil people would still rather use eminent domain than actually pay the money. Houses are expensive - it's cheaper to bribe government than pay what it takes to make people move voluntarily.
Comment Re:There's a simple solution to this crap... (Score 1) 536
Comment Re:There's a simple solution to this crap... (Score 3, Insightful) 536
Comment Re:Journals are tricky (Score 3, Interesting) 81
Talking to her through her undergrad, PhD, and Postdoc, I identified what I believe are three separate problems in science that each exacerbate the others and collectively are having a devastating effect on the field:
1. Publish or perish.
2. Nobody reports negative results
3. Most scientists who are below the level of Principle Investigator for a lab are being assigned their projects.
So it used to be, back when my parents got their doctorates, that a new scientist joined a lab, proposed their own research, conducted the research, wrote a thesis, and then defended it before committee. If the committee was decent, it didn't matter if the results were positive or negative. They grilled the candidate on how they generated their hypothesis, why the implications would be important whether positive or negative, how they set up the experiments and conducted them, how they analyzed and presented the results - basically, the candidate had to prove they knew everything it takes to operate effectively as a scientist.
Maybe if the research was exceptional, the thesis advisor would also be recommended that it be submitted to a journal, but most of the theses just went to the institution's library. The point was to prove the candidate understood and could perform science as an academic exercise, not to contribute usefully to the field. Today that is completely different. Most PhD candidates are assigned a project by the PI of the lab they join. So right off the bat, you aren't differentiating people by the quality of their ideas, which is probably the most important trait for a scientist. Instead, the quality of the idea assigned to them is likely to have a huge impact on how their career goes. It's like randomly handing out career potential without regard for ability. And there is no point in a committee grilling them about the formation of the hypothesis or what positive or negative results would contribute to understanding, because they never came up with the hypothesis in the first place.
Hence got your bad project."
Then they have to have one or more papers accepted by peer reviewed journals to get their PhD. The papers are their thesis, and as long as they were accepted for publication, defending them is perfunctory now. Their acceptance is the only real test to get the PhD.
Which means nobody is trying to make sure the candidate actually understands and can perform science; supposedly the papers evidence that, but we all know that isn't really true now; the peer reviewers do not attempt to replicate the study or dig in deep enough to see if any of it is actually high quality work.
Not being able to publish negative results means that if you are assigned a project that ends up indistinguishable from the null hypothesis, you can waste years of your life based on a luck-of-the-draw assignment, with no regard to your ability. Or... you can fudge the data.
"Fudging the data" here doesn't even necessarily imply anything overtly malicious. Talking to people in the lab who'd discuss how experiment after experiment had failed to show the desired effect, and what experiment they were planning next to try to demonstrate it, my standard comment was "we need to pass a 95% confidence test, so we'd better plan about 20 experiments to prove it."
A possible 4th thing to list here is that the system now takes so long to get through, from undergrad to PhD to a Post Doc or two or three, that by the time anybody gets to be a PI and actually start pursuing their own research ideas, they're past the age past scientists were when they achieved approximately every major breakthrough in the history of science.
Comment Re:Crispr = Blockchain (Score 1) 70
This "news story" reads like one of the Dilbert comics where someone with no understanding of the meaning of the words mashes a bunch of buzzwords together.
"They're betting biology will be the next great computing platform, DNA will be the code that runs it, and Crispr will be the programming language."
None of these companies are looking at biology as a computing platform.
While they aren't trying to use biology to perform computation, there are a number of ways computers are good parallels for biology. But even then, they get that wrong. DNA is a storage medium - it's like a hard drive, not software code. The DNA stores the software code. Genes are like code. CRISPR is nothing remotely like a programming language - it's like the combination of firmware and physical write mechanisms in a drive that allow the drive to actually go write values to the right places.
Comment I don't think there's a good solution to this (Score 4, Informative) 322
But... I'm near the eastern end of EST. Near the summer solstice, with DST in effect, it's light out from about 4:30 AM to 9 pm. Honestly, I'd be better off if there were a 2-hr DST shift - I don't get up before 5:30 AM, 5:30 to 10 pm would be much better, which is what they get at the western end of EST and what I grew up with.
WIthout DST, we're looking at it being light out from 3:30 AM to 8 PM. To me, a 3:30 AM sunrise with the modern fixed work/school/daycare schedule is just inhumane. And what a waste having all that daylight waaay before time to get up, and then get dark at 8 PM.
OK, so getting rid of DST makes summer suck. So we could just do DST all year like Florida wants to?
Well, Russia tried permanent DST, and depression and morning traffic accidents is winter went up. Near the western edge of EST, winter solstice sunrise is already 8:20 AM. Permanent DST would make the sun come up at 9:20 AM - about two and a half hours after most people get up for work/school. That is depressing. I remember waiting for the school bus on frozen, dark snowy days well before civil twilight even began, but with permanent DST, we'd be talking about getting to school and classes starting way before civil twilight. So people get depressed and have accidents now for a week on either side of the time change... but if we get rid of it, I'm not sure we aren't just trading it for another set of problems - insomnia in summer, less summer sports and exercise, and trading two weeks of depression and accidents in the spring/fall for three months of depression and accidents in winter.
A single world time zone doesn't help with any of this. It's not like everyone will just run a nocturnal schedule in the part of the earth that gets midnight at what's now noon and vice/versa. If you have to call someone around the world, the question would just shift in semantics from "what time is it there" to "what time do people get up there?" And having a single time zone with no DST doesn't help with it being light too early in summer or too late in winter. Companies, schools, etc could be free to shift the time on their own, but for anyone with complicated schedules, having different organizations make different decisions about whether to shift or not just makes everything worse.
Comment Re: Explain your vote? (Score 2) 221
Nobody from PC-land new what a USB port was when the iMac came out, and I remember everyone referring to it as "this stupid weird new Apple connector" and saying Apple should have gone with PS/2 and DB-25 Parallel Ports for compatibility with PC peripherals. But surprisingly, once Apple used USB, the rest of the industry actually followed suit.
PCI also isn't a Microsoft technology, it's Intel again. It was on PC's, first, but it isn't exactly a triumph of innovation. At first Macs used NuBUS and PC's used ISA, and NuBUS was much better. Macs also got SCSI, which could run internal components as well as chain up to 14 fast devices like external Hard Drives, optical drives, scanners, etc, where PC's had no fast external port. PCI didn't make significant inroads in PC's replacing ISA until 1994, and Apple started using it to replace NuBUS in mid 1995. It's really not an example of MS innovating and Apple following.
Note to fanboys, I'm not making any comment here in general about how much Apple and Microsoft have respectively copied each other over the years, just that neither PCI nor USB are good examples of Apple copying Microsoft. PCI is neither - it's an Intel technology adopted by both Apple and PC manufacturers to replace their aging busses, and USB is closer to the opposite - a technology not invented by either of them, but that nobody was getting around to using until Apple finally did, then use exploded.
Comment Re:It's amazing she still has defenders (Score 1) 742
This [disclaimer, they're selling t-shirts here] sums up how I feel about it.