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Comment AI is closer to the customer, not further (Score 1) 42

Indian firms failed because they were further from the customer than incumbents.

AI will succeed because it's closer to the customer than incumbents.

Joe in accounting has a spreadsheet that the whole company depends on. He can tell the AI what the company needs, and more critically can iterate very quickly to tweak it so it is exactly what they need; no more, no less.

The incumbents have an advantage over the Indians because they have better access to Joe, but it's only imperfect one way information flow. The key problem is that it's difficult for Joe to articulate exactly what he needs. He'll tell you what he thinks he wants, but it's imperfect communication. If you do agile/sprint, he gets to see how what he communicated ends up, and gets to adjust accordingly every 2 weeks. With AI he can do that in 5 minutes.

Comment Re:Camera bumps are annoying. (Score 1) 39

> The OEMs should fill that area with either more battery or... empty volume.

That would make the thickness of your phone + case even thicker. Right now the width of your phone + case is the minimum width of your phone + the width of the case. If you increase the minimum width, you increase the total thickness.

And now you'd have an annoying camera hole. Stuff would get stuck in the hole and scratch your lens.

Comment Re:Yes (Score 1) 212

This will have approximately 0 impact on California electricity bills. They already buy power for 4 cents and sell it for 65. If they buy for 3 cents instead, it won't make a real difference. All of the cost is in local distribution and paying off the consequences of boneheaded decisions around local distribution -- aka the wildfires, etc.

Comment Standard Playbook (Score 1) 44

That's the standard playbook. America, Japan, Korea and China all widely copied technologies from the previously dominant countries before they became innovative themselves. India is now doing step 1 in this process. It's not guaranteed they will get beyond the first step, but they've taken the correct first step.

Comment Re:Not reverse: slowing down (Score 4, Informative) 104

They're not shutting down their coal plants, they're reducing the duty cycle of their coal plants. They have more coal capacity in 2025 than they did in 2024; they're just using them less. So they're not going to have base load and reliability problems.

They can continue on this path forever. One can certainly imagine a scenario where they maintain a coal plant for emergency purposes but never hit the emergency situation that needs the plant. They can have 0% coal usage yet still have significant coal capacity and no base load / reliability problems.

Right now the coal plants run at night. They're adding batteries that will take over those duties, so the coal plants will eventually just run when they have N days without sun & wind, with that N increasing over time until N hits a number that is highly statistically unlikely.

Comment Average without variance is meaningless (Score 5, Interesting) 44

The averages are comparable, but the variances are wildly different, so the two numbers aren't comparable.

Pretty much everybody who kept their job has a roughly equivalent salary this year as last.

OTOH, many of the people who switched jobs have a very different salary. Some people doubled their salary. Some people who lost a high paying job are flipping burgers to keep food on the table.

People *voluntarily* switching jobs got a good pay jump. People *involuntarily* switching jobs didn't.

Comment Re:Get Rid of Conventional Power Generating Right (Score 1) 135

It is very much their problem, and well illustrated by the article. When the wind is blowing, the price is negative and the wind power generators lose money. When the wind isn't blowing they can't generate electricity and they make no money. The people who are making the money are the ones who are generating power when the wind isn't blowing.

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