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Comment Re:Of course "executives" aren't replaceable (Score 1) 30

Battery swapping systems are in use in several parts of the world, mostly Asia, for trucks and taxis. There's no reason it can't be applied to construction equipment.

That still means the bots need to leave the spot they are working, move to a swap location, swap, and come back to where they were every hour or two (or less, depending on how much motion is required for the job). And that's a lot of packs. Two per if you can fully recharge faster than they discharge. In reality probably need 3 per robot.

In fact there are fully automated and fully electric open pit mines in China already.

With battery powered humanoid robots? And to be clear that's what I was referring to. I even called out specialized larger robots as an alternative in some phases of construction. Those probably could be tethered, or even use on-board diesel generators instead of batteries. They could also carry much larger batteries. Humanoid robots are going to be constrained to batteries that fit into their form. 1-2 hours is based on current bots in China.

Comment Re:Oh fuck me (Score 1) 71

Predictive markets are really games of chance where some randomized mechanism controls who wins and loses. Hell if we take them as gambling then so is every stock and commodities market. Where as CSGO case opening is a pure gambling experience, all random chance. Hell, go look at the box opening mechanism, it's basically a slot machine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... It's targeted at kids and young adults who are the majority of the players, and valve makes money selling crates AND keys you need to open crates, even ones you get for free in game. Then they get sold on the marketplaces for real world money. I honestly can't believe it took this long for some legal authority to act on it.

Comment Re:Always amazes me what motivates people to care. (Score 1) 153

And you still might not be safe doing that. Many new cars have cellular modems for telemetry these days. Plus in-vehicle Wifi. I live near a highway and my Unifi system logs near-by access points by default. It's insane how many car, delivery vehicle, and semi wifi hotspots it logs each day.

Comment Re:Of course "executives" aren't replaceable (Score 1) 30

That's one of the more realistic timeline's I've seen. Along with better AI (we need a 'world' model that can blend vision, audio, physics, in addition to language) we need better battery tech for untethered humanoid robotics to really be viable. If it has to charge every couple of hours that really limits how they could be used. I think physical jobs requiring a lot of mobility like the ones you mentioned are still safe and will be for a good while. Well maybe not as long for some construction work that could be done with larger, specialized robotic systems, but definitely still a couple decades away.

Comment Re:An index fund? (Score 1) 19

It's technically "US 500 Excluding Artificial Intelligence Enablers Price Return Index" so I'm guessing it's sans most chip makers, hyperscalers, nvidia, and a bunch of other big tech stocks. Looks like they launched it out today but I can't find a prospectus. Probably not a bad hedge considering how heavy so many funds are in big tech stocks right now.

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