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Comment Virus origin may be somewhere else (Score 1) 227

It was actually found that the virus vas circulating in Italy in September 2019, before the widespread circulation in China:
https://www.reuters.com/articl...

It was also detected in Brazil in November 2019:
https://riotimesonline.com/bra...

The possibility that the virus originated somewhere else should not be ruled out, and I don't know why these leads are not being pursued further.

Comment Virus detected in Italy months before (Score 1) 227

It was actually found that the virus vas circulating in Italy before the widespread circulation in China:
https://www.reuters.com/articl...

The possibility that the virus originated somewhere else should not be ruled out.
It was also detected in Brazil in November 2019:
https://riotimesonline.com/bra...

Comment Re:Unfortunately there's a bias in the reporting. (Score 1) 175

The study did not included asymptomatic cases. It included cases where the subjects were infected but had symptoms that did not required medical attention - labeled very light cases. See: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/... Quote: "Mas a eficácia geral divulgada nesta terça inclui voluntários que foram infectados pelo coronavírus e não tiveram simtomas que necessitaram de atenção médica - classificados como casos muito leves." Quote: "O estudo não avaliou a quantidade de voluntários assintomáticos, que podem ter se infectado com o vírus sem desenvolver nenhum tipo de sintoma". The 90%+ efficiency of other vaccines indeed do not include these "very light cases" as stated on the article mentioned above. For example, Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine study left out 3410 volunteers that had symptoms, were suspected cases of COVID-19 but unconfirmed. In the worst case scenario had the cases been confirmed, the efficiency could be as low as 29%.

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