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Comment Re: what about laws that make the office pay for c (Score 1) 114

Practically speaking making companies pay for the commute is just going to limit their hiring to bus radius. Maybe you'll get a free bus pass.

Paid travel time? The hiring radius just got smaller.

Your value to the company doesn't increase as you move further away so increasing a company's costs to hire you as you get further away doesn't make a lot of sense in the transaction.

Comment Re: Another idea (Score 1) 72

Simple: fast charging is cheaper and easier.

I'm no train expert but I've taken them in the UK. Think about the space and logistics to move a rail car 'out of the way'. If the battery packs are similar size, you need multiple of those for a single train. You're also buying at least twice as many batteries to have two packs, possibly more if you want to swap batteries less often than you would have charged. And for what benefit? Perhaps you now have battery packs that last 2-4x longer but much higher upfront costs and likely higher operating costs (someone has to oversee that detached caboose).

Ultimately it's the same reason phones don't come with swappable batteries anymore. Yes it annoyed me when they first changed, but in reality my last two phones were replaced while the battery was still in acceptable condition (4 years).

Comment Re: Good (Score 4, Informative) 134

You're worried about 300 gallons of oil? In a massive wind turbine?

Get a little perspective. If that was diesel run through a generator it would generate just over 4MWh of power (about 14kWh/gallon). Pay back on that oil is literally 30-120 minutes at nameplate capacity for modern turbine. Even on a relatively bad day you've recovered it in less than a day.

Even small farms likely have a tank of fuel larger than that for topping off the tractor and other equipment.

Comment Re: Why? (Score 1) 144

Taking my MBA.

A key component of our strategy course is something called Market shaping. That's basically how to collude without technically colluding. The way they phrase it is that you don't want to compete on price because that erodes profits for everybody. Although naive economics would suggest that if there's a market for buying versus renting that market would be fulfilled it's not quite that simple. If renting is more profitable then, as other posters alluded, the people who are renting will have more money. They can use that money to help put the people doing the direct sales out of business or otherwise obstruct their market. The easiest thing of course is just to buy them up and change their model to match yours. You can also use your profits from one market to temporarily subsidize another Market. The latter strategy works in many cases even without driving the competition out of business - they get the message and play ball rather than engaging in a price war.

Comment Re: Welfare Rebranded? (Score 1) 144

Very Brave New World. You may be correct, but I hope that people with UBI would find better things to do than make-work.

That said I would differentiate near-zero value make work from subsidized work where there is a significant benefit of having it done but perhaps we pay more than it's worth. Subsidized work is arguably a win-win to a point. When the work is near zero value you're just destroying that person's time which I would argue is a negative sum game. Personally I think a bare-subsistence UBI Plus the opportunity to work for a top up will give people a good safety net and a ramp towards a higher standard of living. Maybe in the long run this results in most people working 40 hours a month instead of 40 hours a week , that's not necessarily a bad thing.

Comment We need to sign the good stuff (Score 2) 33

Watermarks will always be relatively easy to remove unless they're highly intrusive. I think we need to go the other way and start signing Real content.

Imagine certificate Authority similar to what we use for SSL that assigned to the camera vendors. So your smartphone has a cert verified by Samsung Etc that confirms images really came from that camera sensor. There are definitely some limitations but it should be possible to at least have the originals and a lower resolution version signed.
Throw in better legal protections for digital certifications and you haven't eliminated fakes but you make them much more difficult to produce and riskier to distribute.

Comment Re: don't make bigger ones (Score 2) 184

You realize that link is basically an ad for consumer toys?

Of course the capital cost for a tiny turbine is lower but the cost per kilowatt hour generated is much higher. Remember that doubling the length of those blades roughly quadruples the power output. A single turbine with 100m blades produces about 10,000 times the energy of a 1m blade turbine.

Comment Re: Stupid Regulations (Score 1) 127

Rooftop Solar without some kind of buffer (eg battery) would be unlikely to provide power with suitable stability. You don't want to brown out every time a cloud passes over, so there are probably some minimum requirements on the power quality you can feed into your household wiring.

I know there's an argument for it's my right to feed s***** power into my own house if I want to. However a lot of people with that mentality are then going to blame others when various appliances in their home fail prematurely.

Comment Scale (Score 1) 76

Articles like this that deal only in absolute numbers tend to be meaningless at a large scale like a national grid. They've told us how much The Operators are paid to curb production but not how much the overall costs are or how much they would have been paid had the production been used.

Are the operators paid at the full rate they're capable of producing, or are they simply receiving a small stipend when the grid operator is bottlenecked?

Comment Re: Why is this needed? (Score 1) 56

Those analogies miss a few key points. In the case of both the RV Park and the hotel rental, electricity is being bundled with a much more expensive service and that service is typically provided over a relatively short time horizon. The bundling reduces the relevance and the short time horizon increases the effective cost of metering it. You have both the cost to meter/invoice and the friction of customers not knowing how much they're going to pay.
The effective cost of metering has also gone down as urban and Suburban settings as traditional meters start to be replaced by Smart Meters that can be read from the curb, the road, or entirely remotely.
That's said, I can imagine a future where people will rely more heavily on home solar and smaller batteries and the cost of your hookup is a significant fraction of your bill since you may not draw a lot of net power from the grid. If most people had batteries those grid connections could even be downsized since they would only need to support the peak draw over some average period not the instantaneous peak.

Comment Re: We are running out of work (Score 1) 56

Except that the AI also gets better at helping people with less training to do that design and architecture work, which means more people become capable of doing that work, which means the value to the firm declines, and the salary they pay declines with it.

As the overall productivity of the people increase, there are more people who can do the work at each level, so perversely, it encourages companies to pay them less.

I'm not sure that part is true—or at least true only with major caveats. The people I see who skip the basics and try to do design and architecture do it the way LLMs do it: superficial pattern matching. This lets you solve simple problems by gluing together off-the-shelf parts. Without understanding the fundamentals, however, the solutions tend to be stupendously inefficient. I used to be in the 'compute is cheap' camp, and when you compare Java vs. optimized C in a business app, that's generally true. When you're comparing 'touch it once binary data' vs 'lets serialize everything as text, add a GUID for every data point, then bounce it between multiple servers and disks, while logging all of that to kibana' you can turn a $1000/month infrastructure bill into a $1000/hour one.

Those same people will tell me their architecture is more 'scalable' and 'reliable' because it uses all the buzzwords.

To be fair, I do think these tools help people advance faster when used correctly, but I disagree that they catapult people forward the way you suggest. I do think this gap can be closed, but it probably means more school learning to "get on the ladder" since the 'apprentice' jobs have been taken by an AI.

As the overall productivity of the people increase, there are more people who can do the work at each level, so perversely, it encourages companies to pay them less.

Here we agree; I'm not sure what the solution is.

Comment Re: We are running out of work (Score 1) 56

How do you see AI reducing the training required for jobs? Perhaps transiently, for example a call center worker who needs less training, but I think in most of those cases the job goes away entirely.

Yes the jobs that it helps the most with are the less skilled ones, but that means I need less of those people. The higher level design and architecture my senior team does just gets more valuable by contrast.

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