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Comment Re:Backlash or opinion drifting towards the scienc (Score 0) 132

Hence there is no mechanism for consciousness. Because consciousness can influence physical reality (we talk about it) even though it is completely unclear as to how that happens. But a deterministic computation always behaves the same, there is no outside influence. Hence it cannot have consciousness.

This looks like mysticism - or, to be charitable, maybe like a reference to the quantum consciousness theory. I'm not convinced this theory is true, but I'm not knowledgeable enough to judge, nor arrogant enough to state my opinions as facts.

Yes, many do include "randomization", that is by PRNG and does only add the appearance of non-determinism

There are many quantum random number generators that use quantum effects to extract non-deterministic streams of random numbers. Some types are a dime a dozen (like the ones based on electronic quantum noise in reverse polarized diodes, for example). It's trivial to integrate non-deterministic quantum random number generators in an AI, so your argument doesn't hold.

Comment Re:Backlash or opinion drifting towards the scienc (Score 1, Interesting) 132

Garry Kasparov was beaten in 1996.

By a specialized chess program that did nothing except chess. Not by a general AI.

Sure, but for computers, I'm not sure the separation between the two can remain as strict as it is for humans. With access to networking, the AI may run the specialized chess program as a sub-agent and access its skills - in fact, the AI can access a whole variety of expert systems, and integrate with those. In a way the sub-agents become part of the AI itself, while the top level ChatGPT or whatever component becomes the "conscious self" of the wider distributed intelligence.

I'm not a psychologist, but IIRC there are well-developed mind theories that suggest that something similar is happening in humans. For instance, Daniel Dennett's Multiple Drafts Model, or Minsky's society of minds theory propose that the human mind is built of simpler components (named agents by Minsky), who are themselves mindless.

Comment Re:more bullshit AI hype (Score 3, Interesting) 41

I guess we can wait 4 billion years for an LLM to work out how to do arithmetic then

It shouldn't take 4 billion years; on the contrary, I believe this will be very fast. This is a problem, because I don't think society will have enough time to adapt, leading to turmoil and potentially big trouble.

The reason why I think the change will be very fast is the fundamental difference between biological evolution and technological evolution. Biological evolution uses a Darwinian model, whereas technological evolution uses a Lamarckian one. In Lamarckian evolution, the offspring inherits the physical characteristics the parent acquires during its lifetime. For example, say some giraffe ancestor starts eating leaves higher up on trees; the effort will strengthen its neck and maybe get it a little longer. Lamarck's assertion is that the offspring will be born with a slightly longer neck than the parent's.

Biological evolution happens via Mendelian genetics - acquired characteristics don't get inherited (barring some minor effects of epigenesis). This makes it SLOW. However, improvements acquired by a generation of some technology do get passed on to the next generation. The speed of technological evolution is explosive, compared to biological evolution. We have seen it already, as a single human generation saw technology evolve from horses and carts to landing on the Moon.

We see the same break-neck speed of change in AI. Just a couple of years ago we were all laughing about clumsy six-fingered figures; now, we're talking about making full-length feature movies with AI. I also think that the technology still has a long way to plateau, and I don't know what will happen along the way.

Comment Re:Are things getting better? Not everywhere. (Score 4, Insightful) 162

The political left's hatred of Musk and by extension Tesla may well end up killing electric cars altogether.

That's ridiculous. Do you somehow live under the impression that Tesla is the only electric car maker in the world? Tesla sales are declining sharply in Europe and China, while European companies like Volkswagen and BMW or Chinese brands like BYD are taking over. Tesla role as a driver of innovation has also pretty much disappeared, and they have trouble coming up with new models as they get sidetracked by technological debacles (like the Cybertruck) or by Musk's political idiocies. If Tesla closed doors tomorrow, electric cars would continue to thrive and grow - maybe even better than they do today, since the corrupt Republican administration (I know, oxymoron) wouldn't have more incentive to cripple the competition in order to favor Musk's "Tesler".

Also, blaming the left's hatred of Musk for the putative failure of electric vehicles is doubly ridiculous. Do you somehow feel conservatives are putting in sterling efforts to encourage electric cars, but are hindered by the hater lefties? Are you even listening to yourself?

Comment Re:Synthetic fuels (Score 1) 363

Lots of people either can't drive an EV or don't want to drive an EV.

It's true there are some who won't drive an EV for ideological reasons - they probably believe God loves exhaust fumes, or something. However, I think a much larger percentage are more concerned about the price and the perceived inconvenience of driving a BEV - mainly range and access to chargers.

I think both of those issues are being addressed. BEVs have started as luxury models, but cheaper models are showing up, and manufacturers - especially Chinese - have built enough capacity to start seeing economies of scale. Also, as more and more people drive electric cars, it becomes profitable for businesses to start supporting them, so the infrastructure improves. At the same time the infrastructure for ICEs will start dwindling; as this happens, I expect a lot of the non-hard core ICE users to switch, since it will become more convenient to own an electric car.

Comment Re:This is great! (Score 1) 98

It means laptops outside very expensive ones will likely end up with 1 or 2 ports.

I don't believe this would be the case, at least not for long - the new USB chips will become cheaper as time goes by.

But even if this happens, it's a good thing. As a customer, I much prefer to buy merchandise where what I see is what I get. I don't want to have to dig through fine print on some vendor's confusing site to find out what the real capabilities are. I can compare a laptop that has 2 full USB-C ports against one that has 3 full USB-ports. I can't really compare it against a laptop that has 1 full port, two that only support power charging, and another one that supports display but no data, or whatever weird combo cost-cutters come up with.

Comment Re:How to write a clickbait story (Score 1) 107

If you want to move your consciousness to a computer, you need a slow and steady partial replacement of bioware with hardware.

I'd like to recommend the very thought-provoking short story Learning To Be Me, written by Australian writer Greg Egan (if you don't want spoilers, the Wikipedia article contains a plot summary). It's quite topical to this discussion, and also quite unsettling.

Comment Re:so la Presdienta should leave the WH? (Score 4, Informative) 42

Didn't la Presidenta also commit this unforgivable sin?

As the man says, Quod licet Iovi, non licet bovi. It's the Republican way: when we do it it's good. When somebody else does it, it's the greatest crime ever.

What we're seeing now is just a continuation of the profound hypocrisy that characterizes the Republican party. Not that Democrats are saints, but Republicans have been and still are completely shameless in their double standards. For example, as the Dubya admin was pushing the American deficit to unprecedented heights, Cheney famously said "Deficits don't matter" - and the Republican party applauded. As soon as Democrats came into power, Republicans instantly turned into deficit hawks, attacking Obama for the deficit they themselves had created. There are even worse examples out there, but I don't want to make this rant too long. And sadly, it's not only Republican politicians who are guilty of that; regular Republican voters are by now quite versed in double-think.
 

Comment Re:Genius (Score 0) 62

We can't afford to admit to the CEO or the Politburo that we failed to meet our new EV sales target.

I read both the Bloomberg and the Reuters articles linked in the summary, and there is no mention of EVs. Most companies mentioned in the article - BYD, Great Wall, Dongfeng Motors - produce both EV and hybrid/ICE vehicles. The only pure EV manufacturer in the articles (Leapmotor) is a relatively small startup, and it was only mentioned tangentially, because its stock suffered losses. There is no mention whether Leapmotor was summoned to discussions.

It looks like your EV reference is a hallucination. Either you're an AI or your MAGA is showing.

Comment Re:Nutshell (Score 1) 240

You should not be able tell the AI "studio ghibli" or name any of the films they were responsible for and get an art style like it.

Whyever not? Should you also not be able to tell a human artist to draw something in Ghibli style? Or, if you're skilled enough, shouldn't you yourself be able to draw something in Ghibli style?

I don't see much of a difference between drawing something in Ghibli style using Photoshop or even pencils and drawing something in Ghibli style using an AI.

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