Comment buying an autonomous car vs. carsharing (Score 1) 87
Does autonomous driving have a future for cars for sale (as opposed to car sharing)?
Waymo already has Level 4, but they do not sell vehicles, but operate car sharing fleets. Therefore, they do not need a certificate for selling cars individually. The basic question: how big is the market for autonomous cars for individuals, vs fleets?
I suspect that in a few years, the lion's share of autonomous cars will be operated as fleets, which will then be operated, as Waymo does, for use in a specific region under specific conditions (e.g., weather). Commercially (and technically), that makes a lot more sense than selling the cars to private individuals or as company cars, where that control is difficult.
Certainly it is good PR to advertise being "first" at something. Practically, there are probably few people who would pay a significant premium to chug along at 60 km/h (40 mph) on the highway.
But if Mercedes is smart, they'll milk this for PR and keep working on autonomous fleets. But since Mercedes sold their German carsharing service ShareNow last year, I doubt it. The next few years will tell.