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Comment Linux wont win the desktop. (Score 0) 593

I like Linux, Windows and Mac but thats just me. Linux fits the server market very well but we have to remember that its controlled and operated by technically competent people. On the desktop its a different matter we are now dealing with a market where the bulk are quite computer illiterate but are generally comfortable using Windows even with all its flaws. With Vista just about to be released the battle for the desktop market share will be Vista vs XP and in a around 2 years Vista will win just like XP did against 98 & 2K. People will like the visual eye candy that comes with Vista as this stuff sells, and they wont care that Apple had it years ago just like when Apple introduced it on the Mac years ago no one in the Windows market was interested. Linux cant even pass Apple for desktop market share and it been trying so hard for years to get market share with Gnome and KDE but it just isnt working, there is a long way for Linux to catch up here and unfortunately Windows is a moving target also. Mac OS X is having a moment in the sun but its kind of mid afternoon and with Vista around the corner a lot of people will still prefer to stay with the Windows product family. Mac will hang around but I don't expect the market share to change much over the next 5 years. Microsoft's alliance with Novell may have something to do with Novells control over Mono (.NET Framework) as this is a very large part of Microsoft's future and Microsoft will like to control the direction it takes. With control of media content via DRM locking out open source solutions in the end control will swing back to the commercial solutions. Its possible for people to still run 98 and 2K or even pirated versions of XP but most just dont and instead pay for a new computer with the operating system on it. People were concerned about Media Player and IE in windows forcing out competition and microsoft was forced to release a version of windows without them (in Europe) and no one bought it (and it was very cheap). Just because there is a functional alternative does not mean people will choose it just look at VHS vs BETA. BETA was a better format but VHS won. Linux has its merit and that is definately in the server market as for the desktop I dont think it really stands a chance.

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