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Submission Summary: 0 pending, 89 declined, 23 accepted (112 total, 20.54% accepted)

Submission + - SPAM: Kaido Orav and Byron Knoll's fx2-cmix Wins 7950€ Hutter Prize Award!

Baldrson writes: Kaido Orav and Byron Knoll just beat the Nuclear Code Golf Course Record!

What's Nuclear Code Golf?

Some of you may have heard that "next token prediction" is the basis of large language models generalizing. Well there is just one contest that pays cash prizes in proportion to how much you beat the best prior benchmark for the most rigorous measure of next token prediction: Lossless compression length including decompressor length. The catch is, in order to make it relevant regardless of The Hardware Lottery's hysterics*, you are restricted to a single general purpose CPU. This contest is not for the faint of heart. Think of it as Nuclear Code Golf.

Kaido Orav and Byron Knoll are the team to beat now.

*The global economy is starting to look like a GPU-maximizer AGI.

Submission + - Kaido Orav's fx-cmix Wins 6911€ Hutter Prize Award! (google.com)

Baldrson writes: Kaido Orav has just improved 1.38% on the Hutter Prize for Lossless Compression of Human Knowledge with his “fx-cmix” entry.

The competition seems to be heating up, with this winner coming a mere 6 months since the prior winner. This is all the more impressive since each improvement in the benchmark approaches the (unknown) minimum size called the Kolmogorov Complexity of the data.

Submission + - Saurabh Kumar's fast-cmix wins €5187 Hutter Prize Award! 1

Baldrson writes: Marcus Hutters tweet makes it official:

Saurabh Kumar has just raised the bar 1.04% on the Hutter Prize for Lossless Compression of Human Knowledge with his "fast cmix" entry. If you would like to supplement Marcuss monetary award of €5187, one way is to send BTC to Saurabh at bc1qr9t26degxjc8kvx8a66pem70ye5sgdw7u4tyjy or contact Marcus Hutter directly.

Before describing Saurabhs contribution, there are two salient facts required to understand the importance of this competition:

1) It is more important than a language modeling competition. It is knowledge comprehension. To quote Gregory Chaitin, "Compression is comprehension."

  • Every programming language is described in Wikipedia.
  • Every scientific concept is described in Wikipedia.
  • Every mathematical concept is described in Wikipedia.
  • Every historic event is described in Wikipedia.
  • Every technology is described in Wikipedia.
  • Every work of art is described in Wikipedia — with examples.
  • There is even the Wikidata project that provides Wikipedia a substantial amount of digested statistics about the real world.

Are you going to argue that comprehension of all that knowledge is insufficient to generatively speak the truth consistent with all that knowledge — and that this notion of "truth" will not be at least comparable to that generatively spoken by large language models such as ChatGPT?

2) The above also applies to Matt Mahoneys Large Text Compression Benchmark, which, unlike the Hutter Prize, allows unlimited computer resources. However the Hutter Prize is geared toward research in that it restricts computation resources to the most general purpose hardware that is widely available.

Why?

As described by the seminal paper "The Hardware Lottery" by Sara Hooker, AI research is biased toward algorithms optimized for existing hardware infrastructure. While this hardware bias is justified for engineering (applying existing scientific understanding to the "utility function" of making money) to quote Sara Hooker, it "can delay research progress by casting successful ideas as failures".

Saurabh Kumars Contribution


Saurabhs fast-cmix README describes how he went about substantially increasing the speed of the prior Hutter Prize algorithms, most recently Artemiy Margaritovs SorTing ARticLes by sImilariTy (STARLIT).

The complaint that this is "mere" optimization ignores the fact that this was done on general purpose computation hardware, and is therefore in line with the spirit of Sara Hookers admonition to researchers in "The Hardware Lottery". By showing how to optimize within the constraint of general purpose computation, Saurabhs contribution may help point the way toward future directions in hardware architecture.

Submission + - Artemiy Margaritov Wins €9000 In the First 10x Hutter Prize Award

Baldrson writes: The Hutter Prize for Lossless Compression of Human Knowledge has now awarded €9000 to Artemiy Margaritov as the first winner of the 10x expansion of the HKCP, first announced, over a year ago in conjunction with a Lex Fridman podcast!

Artemiy Margaritov's STARLIT algorithm's 1.13% cleared the 1% improvement hurdle to beat the last benchmark, set by Alexander Rhatushnyak. He receives a bonus in proportion to the time since the last benchmark was set, raising his award by 60% to €9000.

Congratulations to Artemiy Margaritov for his winning submission!

Submission + - The Hutter Prize Increased To 500,000€ and 1GB (hutter1.net)

Baldrson writes: First announced on Slashdot in 2006, AI professor Marcus Hutter has gone big with his challenge to the artificial intelligence community. A 500,000€ purse now backs The Hutter Prize for Lossless Compression of Human Knowledge. Contestants compete to compress Wikipedia to its essence. The 1 billion character excerpt of Wikipedia called "enwik9" is approximately the amount that a human can read in a lifetime.

Hutter's challenge is an advance over the Turing Test. Devised by the famous AI theorist, Alan Turing, a chat bot must be able to fool a human. It is pass-fail. Hutter's prize incrementally awards distillation of Wikipedia's storehouse of human knowledge to its essence. This judging criterion derives from a mathematical theory of natural science, informally known as "Occam's Razor". Formally it is called Algorithmic Information Theory or AIT. AIT is, according to Hutter's "AIXI" theory, essential to Universal Intelligence.

Hutter's judging criterion is superior to Turing's in 3 ways:

1) It is objective,
2) It rewards incremental improvements,
3) It is founded on a mathematical theory of natural science.

Detailed rules for the contest and answers to frequently asked questions are available.

Submission + - Bill Gates Sponsoring Palladium-Based LENR Technology (kitco.com) 1

Baldrson writes: Kitco.com reports that: "Low energy nuclear reactor (LENR) technology, and by extension palladium, is attracting the attention of one of the richest men in the world and a pioneer inventor of new technology... In a recent visit to Italy, billionaire business man, investor and inventor Bill Gates said that for several years he has been a believer in the idea of LENR, and is a sponsor of companies developing the technology... During his trip to Italy he visited the national agency for new technologies, energy and sustainable economic development (ENEA) where scientists have made significant progress towards a working design for low energy nuclear fusion. The centerpiece of their design is the same as in Mitsubishi’s: palladium. Creating palladium foil with just the right parameters, and managing stress levels in the material was a key issue, one that the researchers at EMEA were able to resolve several years ago." This is controversial to say the least. For example one of the first (1994) Idea Futures claims was that a palladium cold fusion device could produce even a small fraction of that claimed by many researchers over the last quarter century. That claim is presently selling at 2% odds and the judgement deadline is next week.

Submission + - Applied Oceanic Geoengineer Spurs Mass Hysteria Among Political Class (io9.com)

Baldrson writes: "The UK Guardian via io9 reports that "A massive and illegal geoengineering project has been detected off Canada’s west coast." An Amerindian tribe in the Pacific NW that depends on salmon contracted to have 100 tonnes of iron sulphate spread across a huge area in order to spur plankton growth. The entrepreneur, Russ George, hopes to cash in on the carbon credits and the Amerindian tribe on an increased salmon harvest. This is inducing mass hysteria among the poltical class."
Announcements

Submission + - Text Compressor 1% Away From AI Threshold (google.com)

Baldrson writes: "Alexander Ratushnyak compressed the first 100,000,000 bytes of Wikipedia to a record-small 16,481,655 bytes (including decompression program) thereby, not only winning the second payout of The Hutter Prize for Compression of Human Knowledge but, bringing text compression within 1% of the threshold for artificial intelligence. Achieving 1.319 bits per character, this makes the next winner of the Hutter Prize likely to reach the threshold of human performance (between 0.6 and 1.3 bits per character) estimated by the founder of information theory, Claude Shannon and confirmed by Cover and King in 1978 using text prediction gambling. When the Hutter Prize started, less than a year ago, the best performance was 1.466 bits per character. Alexander Ratushnyak's open-sourced GPL program is called paq8hp12."
Power

Submission + - Should Google Go Nuclear?

Baldrson writes: "One of the founders of the US Tokamak fusion program, Dr. Robert W. Bussard, gave a lecture at Google recently now appearing as a Google video titled "Should Google Go Nuclear?" in which he presents his recent breakthrough electrostatic confinement fusion device which he claims produced several orders of magnitude high fusion power than earlier electrostatic confinement devices. According to Bussard, it did so repeatably during several runs until it blew up due to mechanical stress degradation. He's looking for $200M funding, the first million or so of which goes to rebuilding a more robust demonstrator within the first year. He claims the scaling laws are so favorable that the initial full scale reactor would burn boron-11 — the cleanest fusion reaction otherwise unattainable. He has some fairly disturbing things to say in this video, as well as elsewhere, about the US fusion program which he co-founded."
Businesses

Submission + - Paypal Co-Founder Backs Anti-aging Research Prize

Baldrson writes: "Anti-aging researchers, via The Methuselah Mouse Prize or M-Prize, are receiving an additional $3 million incentive, to stop and reverse aging. Researchers win M-Prize money in increments by breaking longevity records for mice or reversing their aging. The philanthropic donation comes from Peter Thiel co-founder and former CEO of PayPal. Mr. Thiel has pledged to match each dollar donated to the M-Prize with his own 50 cent contributions up to $3 million."

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