Comment Re: reenlist! (Score 1) 53
or that Iran started the conflict.
You mean by locating their country on all that American oil?
or that Iran started the conflict.
You mean by locating their country on all that American oil?
In a few years that $30k compute card is worth $300. Are you or your company willing to completely replace a multimillion dollar infrastructure every 2 or 3 years?
At the moment all of the big AI providers building data centers are paying 10x the normal price for GPUs and RAM which is why companies like NVidia and Micron are making out like bandits. Keep in mind the AI providers have to recoup that spending at some point. Of course the rest of us are also paying 10x normal prices at the moment if we attempt to build our own servers.
NVidia and Micron (TSMC, Samsung etc) must have been massively ramping up production capacity to meet the demand.
Not only that but every year Moore's Law rolls on and GPUs and RAM keep getting faster and cheaper. Obviously this hasn't been happening for the last few years because demand is so high that even GPUs such as the 3090 which is 6 years old and should be selling for a tenth of its original RRP is still selling SECOND HAND at the same price. This is not normal.
My question is what happens when these huge buildouts eventually start to slowdown?
I'm assuming the market will be flooded with an abundance of cutting edge hardware at reasonable prices.
If things go back to their historical norm of GPU VRAM doubling every 2-2.5 years then we should expect a sanely priced 96GB GPU available for a few thousand dollars. Everyone including individuals, businesses and cloud providers will be able to buy at "normal" prices and won't be stuck having to charge like a wounded bull to recover the crazy prices the big players paid.
Considering DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 is 90% as good as current frontier models and runs very well with 192GB VRAM why would people pay Anthropic or OpenAI a premium for their slightly better models when they could choose any cloud provider for pretty much the same experience?
Of course Qwen3.6 27B already runs quite nicely on a single 3090 and does 99% of what the average person requires right now.
Is it ironic that AI companies going all out on data centers is the only thing keeping cheap powerful AI out of the hands of the masses? Once they stop building data centres hardware prices will normalize and their valuations will tank.
China's economy is on the verge of collapse,
The only thing on the verge of collapse in China economically might be whatever they rest their trade surplus on since it's getting to be so fucking huge.
high treason is the one crime that still carries a death penalty even in countries like Australia that are mostly opposed to capital punishment
Australia doesn't have the death penalty for anything.
Oh the west did something 50-100 years ago whaaaaa
Did something? The Ayatollah rules Iran exactly because of what they did you dopey cunt. Am I interacting with a bot, a completely ignorant teenager or a complete fucking retard?
China is a disgusting dictatorship
I'm curious, did you think that before or after the western media turned on the hatred propaganda about ten years ago when America finally realized it was going to be overtaken?
After the truly disgusting shit the west and the Japanese did to China over the last two hundred years we should probably keep our psychopathic mouths shut about what style of government whey ended up with.
Same thing goes for Iran. You spend decades destabilizing, overthrowing and destroying their country and then criticize their government for not being some model of democracy.
Same for Cuba.
Same for Venezuela.
Same for North Korea.
Same for all of the middle east.
We're the fucking worst.
No hardware designer should be allowed to produce any piece of hardware until three software guys have signed off for it. -- Andy Tanenbaum