Comment Re:Of course they can be estimated. (Score 1) 480
But that's simply not true. Writing software of anything that is non-trivial is not the same as straightforward engineering. For a start there is the rate of progress, how many people have 30 years + experience of building 50 story + buildings. How many people have 30 years + experience of dealing with terabyte + sized datasets?
And, in fact, architectural failures of large physical structures seem to happen in 20-year cycles. The theory is that every new generation of architects needs to learn mistakes. So not only does the physical world have cost overruns, delays, and cancellations, it also has spectacular failures.
And, in fact, architectural failures of large physical structures seem to happen in 20-year cycles. The theory is that every new generation of architects needs to learn mistakes. So not only does the physical world have cost overruns, delays, and cancellations, it also has spectacular failures.
