One potentially critical aspect of this is that China’s emissions actually declined in 2025, which the IEA ascribes to a mixture of industrial changes and the explosive expansion of renewable energy.
You can say China is not serious about pollution, they're cost-first, but... hey whatever their philosophy, the ars technica article seems to indicate there are changes for the better. They may still use a fuckton of coal, but they're also investing in renewables at a pace we haven't seen anyone else do.
"While China commissioned a lot of coal plants in 2025, those were largely started during a prior energy shock. China actually saw its coal use for electricity drop last year due to its massive investment in renewables (China was responsible for 60 percent of renewable global growth last year).
Last year, nuclear remained stable, with about 3 GW of newly commissioned plants offsetting the retirement of 3 GW elsewhere. China is the major player here, too, with enough plants under construction that it will eventually surpass the US in installed nuclear capacity if all of them are commissioned. Twelve GW of new plants started construction last year, with nine of the 10 total plants being located in China.
We're witnessing the fall of an empire and the rise of another one in real time.
APL is a write-only language. I can write programs in APL, but I can't read any of them. -- Roy Keir