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Comment Re:Churn for the sake of churn (Score 1) 87

One big difference: The supporters for Linux systems release updates that can be installed automagically on a regular basis. They may not deliver the latest release of the Linux kernel, but they do backport patches and fixes and roll those out on a regular basis. The handset vendors do not.

Comment Re:The stock market isn't based on real value (Score 1) 467

Windows won't die as long as consumer and corporate desktop computers are required and Microsoft doesn't keep trying to force incompatible user metaphors on that customer base.

However, cellphones and tablets are surging past that core base as secondary devices (at least in North America and Europe -- in the third world cell phones are often the primary device for people.)

I'd never want to try to type out a letter or a large document on a cellphone or a tablet, much less try to do any serious programming on them directly. There simply is no good substitute for a keyboard for mass data input.

But Windows will have an ever-shrinking share of the internet access market share as those newer devices take hold for media consumers. The writing is very clearly on the wall in that context, and sooner or later it's going to start affecting the default metaphors used by website programmers as well, at least for those whose core consumers are not on the desktop.

That doesn't mean Windows or the desktop are "failing" or "obsolete" -- it just means that companion products have opened a new market that they can't reach.

Comment Re:Metro UI (Score 1) 467

The Metro UI isn't actually impossibly horrible from the "regular" user's standpoint. It took my elderly parents all of two weeks to get used to it for running their card games, browsing the web, and so on. But I did install most of the software they would need on the base system; out of the box it really doesn't do much.

Still, they only tolerate the new UI. The still gripe that it's not the same as XP. I'm firmly convinced they'd have been far happier if they'd followed my advice and bought an older Win7 based system that still had the tradition menu-and-window organization.

The best thing Microsoft could do as far as the Win8 debacle goes is to ensure that 8.1 lets you stick with the "traditional" desktop full time. The thing my parents hate the most is this full-screen, one-app-at-a-time mentality from the cellphone and tablet markets. Just because that kind of approach worked for green-screen terminals and iOS doesn't mean that people like it -- just that they used what they had to.

The windowing interfaces used by Gnome 2, KDE, Apple OS/X, Win 95-7, OS/2, and a host of other interfaces were based on years of research at IBM that resulted in the Common User Access style guides. They weren't pulled out of their arse based on some artsy-fartsy desire to just do "something different." They were based on studies and feedback.

Microsoft threw all that work out the window with the Metro menu system in favour of pursuing an iOS experience, forgetting that the only reason the iOS interface is acceptable is because it's designed for small screens. Not necessarily tablets, but small screens.

Metro is an admirable first cut of an interface that would work well on the small screen devices like a phone or tablet, but they didn't go all the way. Every third party application I've used on my parents box drops you back into the desktop when it runs. So in effect, the only thing you get that's "tablet style" when using WIn8 full time is the start menu. Forcing people to shift their entire usage pattern for the sake of a menu system was asininine, and the sales numbers prove that out.

The sales numbers for Win8 are even now grossly exagerrated. Everyone I know who bought a Win8 box save my parents downgraded to Windows 7. Every single one.

Hell, if I were buying a new box I wouldn't buy one without downgrade rights. (Aside from that, my next system upgrade will be for my Linux desktop, not another Windows system. I only need one windows box, and that, happily, runs Windows 7.)

Comment Churn for the sake of churn (Score 2, Insightful) 87

Churn for the sake of churn is the most asinine strategy I've ever heard of. Look at how slow vendors are to actually release updates for Android for their devices. Mozilla is shooting themselves in the foot if they think their hardware partners for Firefox OS want to see point updates anywhere near as often as they're proposing. They want something tested and stable that they can ship, not an always-in-development "product."

Comment Re:The stock market isn't based on real value (Score 2) 467

Apple? Microsoft? Facebook?

Are you seriously trying to tell me that these companies have future revenues and payouts that justify their exhorbitant prices?

Don't confuse "shiny, shiny" and "Windows n+1" with actual investment in R&D or new technology. Don't confuse hedge funds and futures with actual value. They're gambling on a return, but not on profitability.

Comment The stock market isn't based on real value (Score 5, Interesting) 467

The stock market isn't based on the real value of a company anyhow. It rarely involves evaluating the technical expertise, the research and development, the long term product development plans, the current or future rational profit projections of the company, or anything like that.

Instead, it's now a bunch of automated systems buying and selling at a furious rate based on statistics and very small margin profits for the trades.

In other words, legalized gambling with the biggest players gaming the system to their advantage.

When I think about how solid or worthy a company is, the last thing I consider is their stock price.

Comment First we have to be able to predict weather (Score 1) 238

Before we can control something, we have to understand it well enough to be able to predict it accurately. Despite all the supercomputers in use for weather system modelling, we can't do that. Unless and until we can, trying to modify the weather systems is suicidally dangerous. Not just to people in the area, but to people around the globe affected by the larger pattern of the systems.

Comment Re:Then maybe it's time for some new laws... (Score 2) 259

Actually I don't believe that the 4th gives Congress the right to determine what "due process" is. The 4th is quite specific about a warrant being required for a search:

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

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