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Comment Re:Cue the outrage! (Score 2) 517

> The conclusion of nearly all studies on the matter is that HRT+therapy+surgery as applicable leads to better health outcomes than not. If you're going to argue otherwise, I would politely request you to supply some pretty convincing citations.

I think this is partially misleading, because yes, I've seen the same data which suggests it is still better "than not", as you say, but the outcomes are still not median, not by a long-shot.

This topic is really fraught.

Regardless of the causes, I think it's not hard to argue that persons in the middle of transgender treatment are probably unfit for military service in most cases. The Chelsea Manning case is a good example. I don't think anyone actually things that Pfc. Manning had a traitors hearts, but a combination of self-admitted gender dysphoria, depression, and isolation led her to do things that were very harmful to the United States. This is probably an unnecessary risk.

Comment Re:Cue the outrage! (Score 5, Informative) 517

This is such a fraught topic, and it's really easy to get screeched at from "both" sides of the equation.

The NYU research you are linking to has really serious implications, namely, that with the addition or hormones during the right stage of development a persons gender identity could be manipulated. This is similar to "conditions" that are treatable by basic medical care during pregnancy - i.e. the discovery that folic acid during pregnancy was important in preventing serious birth defects revolutionized the treatment of those birth defects. Likewise, if there is a simple hormone therapy or even supplement that triggered hormonal releases at the correct development step, children developing with with gender identities that are mismatched from their genital configuration could be reduced ala neural tube defects and folic acid.

Of course the concept of "curing" or "treating" a condition suggests that it is a disorder, and that is itself a politically charged decision.

Good luck. It's not easy telling medical and scientific truth on this topic.

(This topic is further complicated because there are clearly societal problems in US Culture which serve to isolate and trans persons, and those situations increase depression, suicidal impulses, and underlying mental traumas that are often co-indicated in trans people).

Comment Anyone suggesting a labor shortage is delusional (Score 1) 295

We have a massive labor surplus and have for _decades_.

Hence the explosion in bullshit jobs in areas like HR, marketing and middle management, the massive worldwide bubble in education as people desperately try to make themselves more "employable" and the collapse in job security.

Comment Re:Bigoted much? (Score 1) 404

Expelling diplomats and seizing property is outrageous behavior if it's believed that it was done for no reason.

Not really. What the administration did was actually pretty much the least retaliation they can do. On MSNBC, they asked an analyst what the actions were on a 1-to-10 scale and it was called a 1, maybe a 2.

There's not much else less severe that could have been done.

Comment Retaliation..again (Score 3, Insightful) 821

This is like groundhog day. Putin very likely struck out at Sec. Clinton because of the damage her claim that the 2011 elections in Russia were illegitimate. That claim from the United States, by the way, is effectively like what Russia is accused of doing in 2016 - interfering in national elections of a rival.

This is a fools game. Retaliating by interfering in Russian politics will simply invite more of the same. There is no sense of balance or proportionality here.

It would have been nice for the Obama administration to have done a policy change here at the end, that put some teeth into a rule that prohibits the United States from interferring in the elections or politics of any foreign nation. But of course that's not in the cards.

Comment Re: Finland (Score 1) 441

How so? Take someone that's being paid, let's say, $5000/month at the moment, and let's take a UBI of $1000/month to have a neat number to work with. With the UBI they'll be getting $6000/mo, but paying back $1000/mo for a net of $5000/mo. That's exactly what they were already getting, so where's the subsidy for the employer?

The $1000 less they have to pay the person to do that job because that component of their worth in the market is being met by the UBI not the employer.

The minimum wage is not the same thing. It is a required minimum amount the employer must pay, not a minimum amount paid by the public.

It's a good point. I quite like the general idea. None of this is going to be viable long term though, because we can automate all of these things too.

Yes. But there needs to be a transitionary step so the people who can't handle the idea of "getting something for nothing" can get their head around it (or die).

Comment Re: Finland (Score 1) 441

They can't just pay $X less and hope to still have people working for them though, unless the resulting wage is high enough that the employee will be paying most or all of their UBI back in taxes, in which case the $X reduction is mostly or completely just a regular pay cut.

That doesn't really address the point ? Even if someone is being paid relatively a lot, the UBI still represents a subsidy to their employer who will be paying them roughly the equivalent of the UBI less than they would be if it didn't exist.

A job guarantee relies on there being jobs available, which as we've established is kind of the problem. I guess you could invent some pointless work for someone to do, but forcing them to spend a significant chunk of their time doing meaningless busy work doesn't strike me as being better than not forcing them to do it.

There is arguably plenty of work that is not so much "pointless" as not particularly profitable. Someone to help little old ladies on and off buses, for example. Or more teachers. Or take back all the jobs around publicly funded services that have been privatised and improve it (eg: cleaning staff).

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