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Comment Gadgets (Score 5, Insightful) 313

Sometime in the mid-90s the guy I was training and I were having a discussion about the future of technology while we were driving down the road in rural south Texas. I had a bag phone and an IBM Model 70 portable (lugable). He had a Zarus. We both carried pagers. A big part of the conversation was about how someday, we wouldn't need to carry all that crap just to do our job. We both knew that someday all of this stuff would be a single device. Just not a clue what that device would be or how it could work.

Today, about 15 years later, we still work together. I carry a Palm Treo and he has a iPhone. Different job, but mostly do the same thing, just not consultants anymore. I don't think either one of us could do our job without these gadgets. The ability
  to ssh into our systems is key to our jobs, and it doesn't really matter what device we use anymore. The gadgets are getting to be more than just a convenience for both of us. They almost define our function in the job. Even if we're out of the office, we still take care of issues, now, not when we get back.

The gadgets have raised expectations for a lot of positions. If I still worked like I did back in the 90s, people would be waiting either until I got there, or got where I could hit a phone line and modem. Now, with the internet (ultimate gadget) and a smart phone, I can fix most problems at 70mph running down the road (as a passenger, of course, not going to break any laws, ha). And that's become almost an expectation.

So, yes I kind of see this as the decade of the gadget, but the gadgets mostly control us.

God help us all.

Comment CONFESSIONS: Who here admits to underhanded code? (Score 1) 162

Who here has put underhanded code in released products?

I admit to adding and concealing the flight cam easter egg in Star Wars: Knights of the Old Rebublic. It wasn't nearly as clever as the contest entries, and it would be impossible to claim innocence if I was caught, but I enabled the "debug" cam using a generic-sounding external variable, put the code inside an "#ifndef _DEBUG" block, added a comment to describe the code as some boring debug message thing (hardly worth looking at), and had a little loop to decode the "Punch it, Chewie!" message to that the string wouldn't show up in the executable.

Comment Re:If it's not broken, why are you fixing it? (Score 1, Interesting) 305

Your idea is right on the money, but too bad the money is not yet on the idea. I doubt they will be allowed to even test the idea unless there is a high probability that a rock may hit the earth (one is 250 000 is rather low). I agree that some of the solutions are only temporary, and the asteroid could eventually converge back to its original path. The idea of using light/heat to alter the course of the asteroid is pretty interesting. They may even paint the rock to absorb more energy. Your point about mining the rock could have dual benefits. We would collect valuable minerals, and it could even be used to offset the objects center of gravity to alter its course. The Russians are definitely using Hollywood ideas, but they have said NO to using nukes (unless it becomes necessary). The other ideas are very practical, and can be pulled off with today/tomorrow's tech (all they need is the power of a car on a probe). In my opinion, we are fools not to take them seriously.

Comment Re:Exceedingly common (Score 1) 190

winning the lottery

Nobody ever wins the lottery anyway. I took a quick sample of the subset of the population that participated in lotteries and none of them had ever won, and by extrapolating that data I was able to prove that nobody had ever won a lottery ever.

Some other studies have been done that came to different conclusions but I believe that their data collection methodology was flawed as their results didn't agree with mine, so I think they can be safely excluded.

Comment Just send in SG-1!! (Score 1) 305

Why are the Russians wasting their time to come up with a solution for this problem?! The United States Air Force already has something in place to take care of Apophis.

It's called SG-1. It's a four-man special operations unit, working out of the top secret Stargate Command, located under Cheyenne Mountain in Colorado Springs, Colorado. The team consists of Colonel Jack O'Neill, Maj. Samantha Carter, Dr. Daniel Jackson, and former first prime of Apophis and a member for the Jaffa alien species, Teal'c.

Just give Lt. Gen. Hammond a ring and he'll send them in. SG-1 will have this taken care of by tomorrow. No problem!!

Comment Re:Ridiculous (Score 3, Insightful) 190

Your post is spot on. I'd mod up, but I wanted to clarify (I think you'd agree) that there's a difference between a successful experiment that is inconsistent with a theory and a failed experiment. The purpose of an experiment is not to prove a hypothesis, it's to TEST a hypothesis (or to gather data toward that end). Success means you make a useful statement that aids in the test. Failure means the data were not useful. It has nothing to do with the correctness of the theory or hypothesis.

In the specific quote mentioned, the data "not making sense" doesn't mean that they disagreed with what the experimenter was expecting, it means that they came back in a way that "couldn't happen." That is, that something had gone wrong making the experiment a failure. For example, in some tests I was doing a couple years ago with a prototype radio receiver, I needed to measure its noise level. As a signal, I would sweep a resistive load up and down in temperature---the load outputs noise with intensity that depends on its physical temperature. In this case, as a check, I would start with the load at a low temperature, then heat it past the point of interest, and then cool it back to the starting temperature. I would measure twice, once on the way up and once on the way down. What I found was that the results disagreed between the two measurements. That "does not make sense" in the sense of the article---the testing method was flawed.

In a sense, it was a successful test of a hypothesis. The hypothesis was that the receiver behaves in a particular way (which is what you'd consider the REAL hypothesis under test) AND that the test setup was a valid way to measure that. I disproved the joint hypothesis. In this case, it was the latter part that was invalid---the test was invalid---and I could say nothing about the receiver. This was simply a failed experiment. There is no religion going on by my not claiming that receivers don't behave as we think they do when I just discarded my results.

Every now and then, the reason for a failure might be interesting. This is rare, but when it happens can be responsible for amazing discoveries. In my case, it was a problem of thermal equilibrium. My devices were operating in a vacuum at very low temperatures (about 20 Kelvin) and it can be difficult to affix a heater or a thermometer to just the part of a device that you want to heat or measure....

The OP's statements mirror the general misunderstanding of the scientific method that is rampant in the non-scientific community. We need to help people understand this.

Comment Re:If it's not broken, why are you fixing it? (Score 1) 305

I suspect the mechanics and eventual funding are not the issue. The issue is "(Russia) then invites the world's leading space agencies to join the project.".

What I find interesting about this is there is some value in being seen as the visible innovator. Look at the kudos China got from the story a few days ago about their fast train(made actually by the Germans etc). Who has the fastest train? The Chinese. Who will save the earth from doom? The Russians.

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