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Comment: Re:Oh, fuck me, this old story again? (Score 1) 347

by kmoser (#49152245) Attached to: The Programmers Who Want To Get Rid of Software Estimates

Dozens of posts in this slashdot thread about "It's easy. Just multiply your estimate X, by 2, or 3 or 4." Fine, but how exactly do you come up with X other than pulling it out of your ass?

Experience, my friend, experience. Unfortunately most programmers rack up lots of coding time but they never seem to get much better at estimating how long something will take. My educated guess is that programmers tend to be overly optimistic about their abilities and too eager to please. Believe it or not, my estimates (and I've made hundreds, if not thousands, over the years) tend to be quite accurate. But I realize I'm in the minority.

Comment: Re:Odds are favorable in a way (Score 1) 480

by kmoser (#49048961) Attached to: The Mathematical Case For Buying a Powerball Ticket

My odds of winning may be 1 in 175 million, but my odds of getting $337 million dollars any other way are 0 so it's not that bad.

Sure if I work hard and invest right I can earn a few million, but 175 million is just not going to happen any other way. I'm willing to spend a couple of dollars for that slim chance.

You could help out a homeless person who turns out to be a millionaire and shows their appreciation by giving you a large chunk of their net worth.

Comment: Re:I agree (Score 1) 677

by kmoser (#49048927) Attached to: Empirical Study On How C Devs Use Goto In Practice Says "Not Harmful"
I call BS on Djikstra. I grew up learning to program in those bad ol' days of BASIC (and let's not forget assembler). A few years later when I "graduated" to function-oriented languages like Pascal and C, I left BASIC behind forever, along with the dreaded GOTO. That was decades ago and I don't think I've used one GOTO-like construct since then (well, not counting HTTP redirect headers!).

"I got everybody to pay up front...then I blew up their planet." "Now why didn't I think of that?" -- Post Bros. Comics