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Comment Re: Low Hanging Fruit (Score 1) 72

A new shiny thing after cryptocurrency wound up as a commodity traded like so many others, and not the civilization-changing invention envisioned.

AI looks like it'll be hampered by power generation and delivery (or rather the lack thereof).

On the upside, there'll be ungodly amounts of money spent upgrading and expanding the power grid.

Comment Re:The problem is as soon as you read the data (Score 1) 70

> Your copying that data digitally any way you cut it.

This, very much this. This is the reason we have the DMCA. VCR and DVD vendors were paranoid they were going to get sued for making "extra copies" inside the machine blitting video to your screen. So they "compromised" by signing the DMCA into law and creating a whole different landscape of rights and criminal prosecution for research.

I expect the other foot to fall soon, especially here in the USA. There will be new legislation and it won't be helpful or rational.

Comment Re: I don't believe the number is only 5.7% (Score 1) 113

I think a better question is whether we are seeing capitalism's end game: concentration of wealth in the hands of so few they decide that it's in their interest to remove the governments power to regulate them. (As has been stated by more than a few national figures about deregulating to the point the US Federal government "can be drowned in a bathtub")

At which point the wealthy can simply assert the role they already hold: as our feudal lords. They hold all the means of production, all the means of information distribution.

They'll likely even have swarms of slaughter bots to enforce their will. What can the rest of us gonna do to stop them?

Comment Re:why does the picture show a Chinese tokamak? (Score 1) 134

Ah interesting: The US led on nuclear fusion for decades. Now China is in position to win the race

Context is important: The US had many of dead-ends that have been abandoned - Fusor (electrostatic confinement)) designs (still very useful, but not as a power source) lead the way for quite a while. Fusors are easily built by hobbyists, even. There was some hope that the Polywell would bring electrostatic to net energy production, but it seems that hope is gone.

The Soviet tokamak (magnetic confinement) seemed (and continues to be) more promising in the late 60's, and with that, most of the world started moving towards various forms of magnetic confinement - tokamak, stellarator and other more exotic forms of magnetic confinement. ITER being the biggest of the projects, and its construction expected to complete around 2033 currently.

The US's NIF seems to have reached the closest thing to breakeven, if only briefly, using inertial confinement.

As far as "winning" the race... well... it seems everybody is making claims about being about to do something. Lockheed made promises they couldn't keep a few years ago, there's this story, and no doubt China has their own overly optimistic predictions for their own prestige reasons.

At this point, I think ITER's delays are probably the most honest with the world about a reasonable timeline.

Comment Re:perhaps we can save co2 (Score 3, Informative) 184

> It's at first a statement of fact. "Not much of CO2 absoption by forests, soil and oceans in 2023".

The article linked by the article to the article wasn't very helpful.

Some mish-mash about "preliminary emulation of data-driven models" by someone focused more on climate policy changes than data collection. I'm not sure what standard models you are using that report on and predict how much carbon dioxide a tree "breathe's" in a given year, but I have trouble with the idea that a tree can simply cease to fix any carbon for a whole year, especially based on flimsy reporting like this.

I'd stick to more basic reporting from organizations like the Arbor Day foundation:

https://www.usda.gov/media/blo...

Trees do indeed fix carbon every year at a nearly constant rate. It doesn't simply disappear due to magic AI projected hokum. I'm not sure how much ambient temperature or other factors may affect that one tree's impact, but I don't think it will just disappear for no reason.

Comment Re:Hardware support (Score 1) 84

> NT just didn't have plug and play back then

NT just didn't have plug and *pray* back then

Fixed that for you.

For what it's worth I never had troubles with drivers till they started getting "easier". (read manual, apply settings, possibly reboot, worked every time) There was a nasty period where I had to choose IRQ numbers manually, but even then it worked as long as they didn't collide.

Comment Re:So Superintelligence is 10 years away. (Score 1) 174

For AGI, nobody knows whether it is even possible.

Kind of like the open question of useful quantum computing. We have toys that work, but we are at best hopeful whether we will be able to handle noise and errors as we scale larger. That doesn't stop its own hype machine from spinning. That said (and this statement is unrelated to anything with AI), quantum computing, at the very least, is providing some interesting and useful science/engineering in the quantum realm.

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