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Comment Re:Even the NYT story on this ... (Score 3, Informative) 196

No. The first cases are now known to have been circulating in Wuhan in October 2019. By December, about 60% of the hospitalized cases had some direct or indirect connection to the market ("a friend who worked there", etc.) Then there was massive sample bias introduced by testing the market and folks connected with it, which made it appear like "all the people" with COVID were related to the market. Also, they NEVER found COVID-19 in any animal host in the market. All of this is public record and reported in multiple sources.

Comment Did the math and... (Score 1) 113

...based on the amount of tritium at Fukushima, if they dump it all, the concentration of naturally-occurring tritium in the ocean will increase by 1e-10 percent. And that increase will have a half-life of only 12 yrs. Compared with the amount of cosmic-ray-produced tritium raining down from the sky into the ocean each year, this is a non-event.

Comment Re: Trade School (Score 5, Insightful) 140

Iâ(TM)m in what is probably my last decade or so of a highly technical career in industry since getting a PhD. Would be tempted to forgo the remaining income and teach high school, college, or grad levels, if I could figure out how to do it while avoiding the incredible amount of overhead bullshit that comes with public schools and university administrations. Iâ(TM)d teach for free, but you couldnâ(TM)t pay me enough to deal with that stuff. My opinion is informed by observing family members teach over the years at secondary, collegiate, and grad levels.

Comment What will NASA, ESA, Roscosmos, & CSNA say whe (Score 1) 184

...SpaceX is about to beat them back to the moon or even Mars a few years from now? If they haven't contracted with him for the ride, they won't want him to launch a private mission. Too much national pride at stake. At first they will try to compete by announcing reusable rocket programs and the like. After those programs don't pan out to be remotely close in cost or timing or capability, they will panic as Elon's launch date approaches. Then what... deny him launch permission? Sabotage the mission? A little bit tinfoil hat, but I can't imagine those countries allowing a private company to put the first boots onto Mars.

Comment Re:I'm not buying it (Score 5, Interesting) 84

I'm in the automotive industry. It's definitely not fake. As demand for electronics was surging early in COVID (everyone needs a webcam NOW), the car companies idled their plants due to stay-at-home regulations, and they pulled chip orders from suppliers in the interest of minimizing inventory. Unfortunately, the lead times were always long, and after the chip makers filled the automakers' slots in the schedule with other orders, the deal was done. Now you have a classic supply chain bullwhip effect.

TSMC, Renesas, and others are saying they can hit automotive requirements in Q4, although they haven't said they can dig out of the past hole yet.

Recently, though, we are seeing COIVD-related shutdown of the electronics module suppliers in Malaysia and elsewhere in SE Asia (COVID spikes in the region have come later than rest-of-world, and are driving shutdowns for the apparel industry and others). These are the folks who package the ICs into modules. Seems like this is the main driver of the more recent announcements of shutdowns by car companies.

Car dealers and suppliers are in survival mode and are getting aggressive about clawing back some revenue. New car inventories are at unprecedented lows. The situation is not good for anyone.

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