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Comment Re:Haply so, but exec orders and agencies (Score 1) 180

Well, if 95+% of the elected, appointed and hired people in the federal government are busy being punished -- presumably by arrest, prosecution and imprisonment, but I'd settle for hickory switches methodically administered in a measured number of strokes for each infraction, by the nearest available taxpayer -- who's going to run the government?

I dunno, but wouldn't it be nice to find out?

Comment And if they can't? (Score 1) 194

And if the federal government can't improve its processes for such things, perhaps it will quit attempting them. After all, screw up enough things badly enough, and it'll run out of money, and go away. Such is the nature of failed institutions.

Oh, wait. That won't happen. Two reasons: IRS and Federal Reserve.

Of course, it could go away without running out of money. Two examples: Weimar Germany and Zimbabwe. The places were still there, but they had dramatic changes in management.

Such is the nature of failed institutions.

Comment Chicken Little lacks orginality. (Score 1) 304

There were people seeing this "menace" back in the 1970s, and offering similar "solutions". http://duckduckgo.com/?s=the.t... (I'm seeing the upside of becoming an old fart. Perspective. Spotting patterns of alarmism.)

There will still be need for people to make lace and stockings and cloth, after the machines take over, Mr. Ludd. (Whoops! Wrong iteration.)

There will still be need for people to do whatever it is that machines can't, or can't do at an competitive price.

"Can't" is a bigger category than technological infeasibility. People still commission oil painting portraits, after over a century of photography. There are still restaurants, and not a proliferation of automats. ("Automats"? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...) One-off tasks -- organizing a conference, for instance -- could be automated to a degree, but ultimately someone is going to have to conceive of it, identify key participants, convince them to attend, obtain sponsors, etc.

"At a competitive price". It may be possible to design a robot that picks up cigarette butts and other minor debris in every possible location and situation, or to do gardening of every conceivable landscape, but to do it well enough might just be too damn expensive. Centralizing pre-made decisions has proven damnably hard to do well, at any cost. It won't be any different when they are in software and about litter or about aesthetics and locally-suitable horticulture.

Moore's Law would not have made Soviet Union workable, and isn't going to help in many situations in the future. Not help enough to matter. Even free computing and data gathering and data transmission won't do it People on the scene are flexible, and have knowledge distant theoreticians don't even know to acquire. (http://duckduckgo.com/?s=I.pencil+ferrule+graphite )

The real problem will be the pace. Personal adaptability allowed some blacksmiths to become auto-mobile mechanics, and the rest were able to get by during the transition, sticking with the horses. The important skill in the future will not be a specialization in any area or guessing what skills will not automate (people will always need shrinks or whores or physical therapists or tactful portraitists or wine stewards or ...), but the ability to make transitions over and over, as necessary.

Hardly an original thought. As I recall, skeptics were offering it back in the 1970s. (And, I bet, back in the 1770s.)

Comment Rather than encourage the use of capital goods ... (Score 1) 304

The substitution of capital goods for labor is more appealing when interest rates are low.

Central banks attempt to keep interest rates artificially low -- at least for certain borrowers. (Guess who?)

Yet another way governments use central banks to screw over "the little guy".

Comment Re:COBOL was better than JavaScript. (Score 1) 294

In his defense, I've heard that he cobbled it together pretty quickly for a demo/deadline/proof-of-concept, and was only after he delivered it did it transpire that what he delivered was what was to be used in the real world. Oops.

As I recall, this story came from Crockford, who I'm given to understand is not the most mellow of folks. If he's cutting Eich some slack, it's likely deserved.

Comment Re:Ingrates (Score 1) 262

There was a story on "60 Minutes" long ago at the dawn of time, when dinosaurs and Morley Safer roamed the earth, about gentrification and its effect on rents.

One woman complained, "Them white boys come in on they motorcycles and start fixing things up." (That quote may be verbatim. It's certainly close.)

Made quite the impression.

More even than "Alms for an ex-leper?", another entry in the No Pleasing Some People sweepstakes.

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