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Comment Re:nonsense (Score 1) 532

American healthcare compares favorably with European healthcare when you take everything into account.

What aspects specifically? In the US the most common cause of bankruptcy is medical bills. That just pushes the unrecoverable costs on to other people who then have to pay even more. Insurance companies get to decide what you can be treated for, rather than doctors allocating resources by medical need. While there is some excellent care available in the US, it isn't universal so basically you either get really good but expensive care or can't afford it and get terrible care.

Here's an article with a counterpoint to your view.

Comment Re:nonsense (Score 0, Flamebait) 532

If your government is like that it is badly broken.

You won't hear any disagreement from me.

In Europe our governments mostly do try to improve our lives, and healthcare is one area that they largely succeed at. It isn't perfect,but it's a hell of a lot better than what the US has.

I disagree there. American healthcare compares favorably with European healthcare when you take everything into account. We have some states that are doing better than others, just like you have some countries in Europe that are doing better than others. Some of your European countries have some very rotten aspects in government and in other societal areas. The PIIGS nations come to mind.

What you describe is not an inherent property of government, it is what Americans have allowed theirs to become.

So you disagree with the statement "power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely". You're entitled to your opinion, and I think mine is on the side of history.

In any case, I'm no expert but from what I hear if you look at it impartially Obamacare has been a net benefit for the majority of people, despite the problems which don't see to be any worse than similar size corporate operations.

By what metric? I understand that emergency room visits have increased under Obamacare, which was one thing it was supposed to reduce. I'm sure there are some people with pre-existing conditions who get cheaper care under the ACA, however until the dust settles it's not clear at what cost. If you drag the whole system down to help some people, the value is certainly debatable.

Comment Re:nonsense (Score 1) 532

Government has to get involved when people do bad stuff. That doesn't mean that the government should decide how much our doctors get paid. There is lots of lovely gray space in the middle between the stark black and white of extreme positions.

Comment Re:nonsense (Score 1, Insightful) 532

I disagree. Government is force/power/compulsion. It does not inherently seek the good of the populace. The more you hand over to the government, the less recourse you will have when faced with incompetence, corruption, and overall indifference to the needs of ordinary people.

I worked in the medical software industry for about 4 years. Funny enough, I actually wrote an ICD9 lookup UI. Medical software is mostly pathetic and dysfunctional, but government isn't the solution -- holding private companies accountable is the solution.

Comment Re:works differently in the states. (Score 1) 288

The abuses you describe have all happened in one form or another, though they're fortunately not the universal experience here.

met with unfavourable consequences

Clearly you favour spellings that add a bit of colour to the Queen's English, eh? OK, just kidding, but it is fun to speculate that you might be from Canada or the UK.

Comment Re:EPA has exceeded safe limits, needs curbing (Score 1) 355

I think it's premature to say that CO2 hasn't cranked up the surface temperatures as much as has been predicted. There's a reason why the standard climatological period is 30 years.

No... if they predicted it and it fell short of their prediction, then of course it's OK to point that out. We can speculate that the heat went into the ocean etc., but the predictions of surface temperature change were specific enough to be falsifiable (like all good scientific ideas), and they were duly falsified.

Rule of thumb: pointing out true facts is always OK.

Comment Re:EPA has exceeded safe limits, needs curbing (Score 1) 355

It's true that the rate of warming over the past 15 years is a bit slower than it was during the 1980's and 1990's particularly in the atmosphere. But the ocean where over 90% of the heat energy goes anyway continue to warm. Don't you think it's reasonable that scientists should investigate why that is true? The more we learn the better our understanding will be.

Absolutely, I am completely in support of continued climate science research. Perhaps someday they will understand exactly why pumping huge amounts of CO2 over the last decades didn't crank up the atmospheric temperature as much as they (rather prematurely) predicted. Hoping for understanding here is still a tall order, because the climate is so complex, chaotic, and full of tricky feedback cycles.

Comment Re:EPA has exceeded safe limits, needs curbing (Score 1) 355

What Figure 6 are you referring to?

Sorry, from the last link, to nap.edu.

There is plenty of uncertainty about [clouds and their effects] and it's an area of active research

Mmmm hmm.

Statistically speaking it's a faux pause

I think you mean "politically speaking".

and warming has continued as expected given the vagaries of natural variation. The pause meme depends on cherry picking 1998, a year that was more than 2 sigmas above the trend.

No it doesn't. There's a real plateau that throws a wrench in the works for climate projections of carbon sensitivity. Mann and his peers have been scrambling to issue explanations for the slowdown/pause/whatever you want to call it.

Judith Curry rather sarcastically remarked to the effect that "if there's no pause, then how is it possible that there are explanations for it?" Which is, of course, an insightful observation. Science doesn't always give us the results we expected to get, and the thing to do is roll with it, not fight it.

Comment I find it hilarious; Big Brother aspects less so (Score 2) 80

C'mon, it's a fun tech project, and people should stop whining about it.

What's not funny is where we are going with this kind of technology. Always on facial recognition and people tracking is already happening some places in the world. Casinos and airports were probably the leaders in the field, but soon it will be everywhere. I despise the thought of a government database tracking people everywhere, not to mention law enforcement reliance on face recognition that (as evidenced here) may be less than perfect. "The computer says you did it, so you're guilty."

Comment Re:EPA has exceeded safe limits, needs curbing (Score 1) 355

but it is not a greenhouse gas that can drive warming because the amount of WV in the atmosphere is strictly limited by temperature (and regionally the availability of water to evaporate).

Forgot to mention -- have you forgotten about the ocean?

The level of WV is not something humans can have any significant direct effect on therefore it is not something to worry about.

CO2 is a tiny part of the GHG picture, and it's not clear what effect changes in CO2 have on the planet overall. Since The Pause has shown that our most trusted projections of CO2 sensitivity were wrong, perhaps we should be open minded toward the possibility that this tiny fraction of GHG contribution is just that -- a tiny fraction of GHG contribution. A minuscule shift in cloud cover across the earth, and "poof", all the carbon reduction in the world doesn't make any net difference at all. (Not saying that happens, just that it's a possibility.)

Comment Re:EPA has exceeded safe limits, needs curbing (Score 1) 355

While there may be some in the scientific world who dislike Mann several investigations of him have not turned up any damning evidence of wrongdoing.

The studies in question didn't attempt to interact with the damning evidence from the emails, in fact they carefully avoided addressing it.

Regarding similar studies confirming Mann's hockey stick graph here are some:

Huang 2000

Smith 2006

Oerlemans 2005

Here's a book from the National Academies of Science with more details:

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years

If you throw out data from measurements are not known to be reliable proxies for global temperature, you are left with very little if anything; and certainly not with a thousand year hockey stick shape. The hockey stick is an artifact of cherry picking data. There are many reasons for an upswing in various physical measurements in the 20th century, including (yes) a warming temperature as we swing up from a low point on the multi-century scale, but also modern agriculture and its effects on things like tree growth.

Case in point, take Figure 6 -- the proxies seem to show a dip which we'd identify as the Little Ice Age of ca. 1300-1870. Not much else is obvious there, except the somewhat misleading superimposition of the instrumental record. It's not really fair to slap instrumental readings on the end of the proxies, since even assuming these proxies reflect global temperature in some way (big assumption), they will flatten out upswings like the instrumental record shows in the late 20th century.

It's true that water vapor is responsible for the largest chunk of greenhouse warming but it is not a greenhouse gas that can drive warming because the amount of WV in the atmosphere is strictly limited by temperature (and regionally the availability of water to evaporate). The level of WV is not something humans can have any significant direct effect on therefore it is not something to worry about.

Water vapor's status as the number one greenhouse gas makes it a hard problem because of the water cycle. What is the effect of cloud cover? How is the water cycle affected by more CO2? These are the billion dollar questions.

The "Pause" is not something that is statistically significant. Here is a statistical analysis that uses several different techniques to try and find some significance to the "Pause" but fails. There is no reason statistically to say the rate of warming since the 1970's has changed significantly.

The Pause has shown that the most highly vaunted predictions of carbon sensitivity were mistaken. What we do with that from here is a tricky question. Simply changing the fudge factors for aerosol albedo to keep our predictions "accurate" is a pretty lame response (Mann's, if you hadn't guessed).

Comment Re:Geo-engineering is intrinsically riskier (Score 2) 105

Also there's some low-lying geoengineering fruit such as albedo changes in urban environments in hot locations which is a considerable part of the world, reforestation, and putting out large coal bed fires.

Maybe I'm wrong, but I personally would lump all three of those in with carbon reduction as "rolling back to more of the way things were", and therefore (a bit more) intrinsically safe than, say, dumping iron into the ocean.

Comment Geo-engineering is intrinsically riskier (Score 5, Insightful) 105

At least with carbon reduction we're attempting to reverse climate changes through a mechanism believed to trigger those changes. However, with new intervention mechanisms that aren't fully understood, I don't trust anybody's model of what they think will happen.

My (likely) worst case scenario: an ice age in 100 years. That would be worse than global warming.

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