Conservatives are hesitant to change things, so they don't screw things up.
That might be true of conservative individuals. I think most Americans if you just sit them down for a nice chat are reasonable people. We tend to understand that there is room for improvement and solutions might not be simple or comfortable for everyone.
Politics is a whole 'nother thing though. Politics in America is about nothing more than hot-button issues and campaign posters now. No one wants an actual solution to any problem in Congress. Why? Because if something gets solved, it can't be used as a wedge issue for the next election. Or worse, the "other side' might get the credit for solving something. No one in our government wants solutions and they aren't working towards any.
Until the 80% of Americans who are reasonable people wanting real solutions get up and get involved, things will continue to deteriorate. With voter turnout of 40% or less, we're letting the extremists make the decisions and we're getting exactly the government we deserve.
Though as an aside, I wonder how long it will take the hardcore Darwinists to realize in greater numbers that a chain of cause and effect, if traced back to its beginning, must eventually have a prime mover, an uncaused cause?
Even if you could somehow prove that the beginning wasn't a massive but happy accident, you would still have zero proof that the "uncaused cause" had anything to do with a personal god. And anyway, why can your "uncaused cause" not need a cause but everything else does? You can't have a logical argument when you're willing to break your own rules to justify your beliefs.
DNA contains lots and lots of highly organized information that doesn't just happen
No one said DNA just happened; they say that small chemical changes from simpler molecules happened over millions or billions of years that led to DNA. Your alternative is that some sort of highly intelligent, powerful being just happened. That does not solve your logic problem.
Too many hardcore Darwin supporters aren't familiar with these ideas
We're not "Darwin supporters," we're people who can look at scientific evidence and form conclusions that don't require magical thinking. Darwin isn't right because he was Darwin, he was merely the most recognizable person involved in elucidating those ideas. Religion argues from authority, not science.
I propose that the conjectured lines of descent would simply be rejuggled, as has happened many times in the past.
Sure. Because we continue to learn new things about relationships between living and dead creatures. But it IS possible that you could find something that simply could not be explained away. We haven't yet. But it could happen. There could be data out there waiting to be found that cannot be accommodated by the theory. You could find that rabbits are genetically almost identical to some new species of lizard and that would blow the theory out of the water.
I really do think I can essentially prove this to be not a route to falsification...
It sounds like your complaint here is that the theory so well describes the world that there is room in it to accommodate previously unknown data without breaking the model. Similar to the anthropic principle which you are not persuaded by... a scientific theory must account for all data and be contradicted by none. The fact that it has been honed over the years with new data without breaking is an indication of how good it is as a scientific theory, not somehow invalidating it by your notion of un-falsifiability.
The model will accept any improbability whatsoever, by definition.
No, not any. Like I said, you could find that horses are more closely related to whales than donkeys and that would be a huge problem. Or that the genes have no similarities at all and that would be a huge problem. You are apparently put off by the notion that small rearrangements in our knowledge about the so called tree of life can be accommodated by the theory without it breaking. That is its strength not its weakness. But, I maintain very strongly, that there are findings that could break it. It IS falsifiable, but it is also flexible and not dependent on us being absolutely correct in what is related to what and how closely. We can learn new things about how closely chipmunks are related to squirrels without breaking the idea that they ARE related and that if you go back far enough you can find the great-great-x grandparent of them both. However, if you went back and somehow figured out they were actually descended from crocodiles rather than primitive rodents you would have falsified the theory.
I conclude from the fact I only find surviving things where things have survived, and don't find surviving things where they couldn't possibly survive, that my model is equally thorough and accurate as evolution. Correct?
Your model is accurate sure, but not thorough. The theory of evolution goes much further than that. It says not only that they are currently living in places they can live but that they had ancestors. And that those ancestors may have had other offshoots which would share genetic/physiologic similarities with other "cousins" as it were. Before the study of genetics existed, you could use the theory of evolution by natural selection to predict that mammals should have things in common with each other, and that the more similar the mammal the more similar the genes should be. This seems obvious now, with our growing understanding of genetics but it wouldn't have been so in the early days of the theory. It was a prediction that would NOT have had to be true if species didn't evolve from more primitive species via mutations in their genetic code. This was a falsifiable prediction stemming from the theory that was borne out once we learned to to read the genetic code.
You can also predict from the theory that creatures that look similar aren't always as closely related as they seem. Because we've said that natural selection is important you would actually predict that different "branches" of the tree could generate similar physiological attributes if they live in similar environments. Insects, birds, bats etc developed wings because flight was an advantage in their respective niches. It isn't in any way a cop-out. Again, the flexibility is part of the beauty and truth of it, not an invalidation of it.
What kind of fossil could possibly compromise any of this methodology, which is ultimately really just a largely-arbitrary categorization system?
I already mentioned finding the fossil of a modern horse from 2 billion years ago.
But scientifically you can't tell the difference between natural process and a supernatural process that does the same thing.
Would you categorically assert this relative to organisms you might encounter, having their DNA at your disposal, for which the design was done by a genetic engineer, rather than a "natural process"?
If you read my statement carefully, I said that it would be indistinguishable from a directed process that did the same thing. If we somehow become so skilled at gene manipulation that we leave no trace of our involvement, well then, we've left no trace. What I meant is that you could propose that a causal figure waved a wand and slowly slowly slowly over many generations caused the legs of kangaroos to get longer and more adapted to jumping. I can say that natural selection accomplished the exact same thing in the exact same time frame due to some advantage that being able to jump gave the kangaroo's ancestors. You can ALWAYS say that whatever is found was purposely put there to be found in exactly that way by a sufficiently powerful causal figure. Talk about un-falsifiable.
You also can't tell the difference between living and being in a perfectly accurate model of life in a computer simulation.
And it should be the law: If you use the word `paradigm' without knowing what the dictionary says it means, you go to jail. No exceptions. -- David Jones