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Comment Who needs AI? (Score 1) 112

It seems like basic math would be predictive. If you have access to wage, headcount, and address data you can kind of readily calculate who is paying too high a percentage of income in rent/mortgage. Add in any sort of medical debt collections data, and voila! you get a pretty accurate picture of who is headed for eviction soon, no AI required.

It seems the AI charlatans are trying to sell their wares into all sorts of places to monetize replacement of common sense with a black box that comes with a hefty subscription.

Comment Re:Enough with Musk Spam (Score 1) 54

Any day now... Or 5 years. Or never. Squirrel!!!

Not sure how all the folks who paid upwards of $15k for this option haven't successfully sued him over it. Many of those cars are more than halfway through their service life and still awaiting delivery of a large part of the functionality they paid for.

Comment Re:Subscriptions Were Cheaper (Score 2) 73

Cheaper or not, I hate being nickel and dimed. I want to own something I paid for, full-stop. I'd hate to have my car, fridge, TV, or anything else brick itself in anyway because some server goes away, or a credit card expires, etc. Digital rot is already rampant, and I don't want it in anything that just needs to work. It is one thing when a webcam bricks, its another to worry about your main mode of transportation possibly being bricked under non-ideal circumstances.

Comment Re:This is why we can't have nice things (Score 1) 347

I'm in the apparent minority of preferring to be in an office than WFH. I do far better with a change of scenery to mentally switch into "work mode".
I work in hardware (analog IC design) and find effective collaboration for my particular kind of work to be much higher effort and lower quality when done remotely. Having been the lead design engineer for a large project (not a manager) through covid, it broke me. The diligent folks you never had to worry about stayed pretty much so, just much harder to do joint work with. The slackers and the train wrecks needing "special help" to get their jobs done became much harder to get anything useful out of. Useless managers became more so, and getting them to actually manage their train wreck employees into marching in a straight line for more than 5 minutes became a lost cause.
So while plenty of jobs are surely just fine to be done remotely, I came away from it all never want to WFH again, and lacking sympathy to anyone who was not a high performer asking to WFH.

Comment Re:Moore's law going backwards. (Score 1) 56

Agreed. It would be nice to have a better metric for CMOS nodes. Some standard hunk of Verilog code and what the resulting area consumption is, all-in (power busses, routing, etc). Maybe like how many ARM XYZ cores per mm^2, and the resulting clock speed for a fixed number of retiming stages. Gate length was already pretty useless, now it is just marketing mumbo jumbo. I realize there are too many variables, but maybe even just the minimum gate/flop density of the standard cells. X um^2 per invert/NAND2/Dflop/etc.

Comment Re:Moore's law going backwards. (Score 1) 56

The economics of fabs are a whole subject in itself. In general the margins are low, and the required investment is huge for each node shrink. If you don't "win" the next node you have very high sunk costs, and an empty fab. Fabs only turn a profit when they are substantially full, so you actively burn cash just to stay in place, starving you from competing for the next smallest node.

Global Foundries threw in the towel and stopped chasing the smaller nodes during the move to 7 nm a few years back, pointing out how the business is increasingly a winner-takes-all play, and that winner is TSMC. TSMC is just such an efficient machine of a company that unless they start getting sloppy, it makes little sense for anyone to spend many Billions just to capture 5-10% of the market at best.

Comment Re:Phone data? (Score 4, Insightful) 50

Part of the point of all of the surveillance is to cause folks to self-sensor, we know we have no privacy, so we don't do anything that even strays into the gray areas. Constant fear. Eventually you reach the point where NOT opening you phone for a cop becomes incriminating in itself, or even having too little on your phone when they do unlock it becomes suspect (like folks getting pulled over for driving suspiciously too well while high on melanin). With the tech being so "Hush-Hush" it becomes impossible to even know how much to trust the results. Is Cellebrite allowing injection of incriminating data, akin to drug dogs that trigger on demand?

Part of the point of making wire taps hard to get is so that we CAN have private and confidential conversations. Both business and personal correspondence flowing freely is valuable to society. The more we operate in a society where you start expecting to have all your data freely accessed and leaked by both public and private parties the worse things get in every way.

Comment Re:Not really the facial recognition (Score 4, Insightful) 220

This is the danger of "good enough" tools. Tools with say a 95% correct identification rate will just turn off the brain of whoever is using them and just assume the tool is right by default. Meanwhile 1/20 suspects dragged in get their lives put in peril or destroyed. With qualified immunity there is little recourse to hold sloppy or criminal police work to account.

In this case they used a 2015 photo from a prior suspended license arrest that was of very poor quality, and didn't bother to check her much higher quality DMV photo. Worse, the reference was to match against a convenience store security camera, which is often poor quality. In the end I think it was tantamount to technology obfuscated racial profiling.

Comment Re:Has anyone asked why? (Score 1) 175

So a decent middle class life has become too expensive, work doesn't pay enough, isn't stable enough, and is too uncertain to find in the first place? Yeah, those are all logical reasons to hunker down and not sign up for a 20+ year economic commitment.

I have one kid, one and done. I honestly find that USA culture is low level hostile to kids. There is no playground within walkable distance of our house (just a grassy park mostly used by dog owners). Kids playing in the street, or even just walking solo in the neighborhood open you up for having some Boomer calling the cops or CPS on you (same Boomer's that raised Gen X as latchkey kids). Wanna go to a public pool, oops, those are mostly gone. Go play soccer? Sign up for expensive programs and mandatory uniform purchase so Suzie can kick a ball with some friends at a far away field a couple times a week. Yay. Public schools are underfunded, and struggling. A Bachelor's degree seems not enough to get a good job anymore, so plan on pay for 6 years of college, not 4. Great. Childcare is way past unaffordable, and is not findable anyway.

Wanna risk having a disabled kid? You'll get very little economic help to raise them, and the support system for kids graduating into adulthood with major disabilities is cruel, twisted, and underfunded.

Wanna take your kid on a plane (or to any public space), you'll risk offending those around you if your kid acts like a kid. Kids should be welcomed as the newest important members of our society, but instead are treated as nuisances.

Comment Re:Cultural expectations for Japanese women (Score 3, Interesting) 175

Sadly, even in European countries with very good maternity/paternity policies there is still below replacement level child birth. Ecologically this is not a bad thing. Economically speaking it is causing a lot of hand wringing. Wealth without growth seems to not be an understood thing, and we are told it is not a viable thing (I'm skeptical this is true).

So while I agree that lack of support for career oriented parents is lacking badly in a lot of countries, it seems to not be the driving force for the drop in birth rate. Even with very good support it is clear that the ROI for having a kid is severely negative. Being a working parent sucks in a lot of ways kind of how matter how you slice it, and even with Nordic level safeguards it still results in a drop in pay, promotions, and job prospects for most parents. I don't mean to say we shouldn't support families (we should), but in multiple studies there has been little to no fertility improvement shown for significant increases in family support across many countries.

Objectively speaking, parenting is a hell of a lot of thankless unpaid work. One only has to have a couple DINK friends to get reminded of this. I think that once this reality sinks into our collective consciousness it is really hard to reverse low fertility as a trend so long as there is access to birth control (again, I am not advocating we get rid of access either).

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