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Comment Re:Arevas failure (Score 1) 130

This is all just word games, really. Their construction process was on-time, they just got an unplanned interrupt.

Yes, yours are playing word games here, because you invent a new definition of 'schedule' and 'delay'. However, in the real world a 'schedule' is 'a plan of intended events and times' and a 'delay' is 'a period of time by which something is late or postponed'. We measure the 'delay' by comparing it to the 'intended times' that appear in the 'schedule'. According to these definitions we can observe the following two facts:

  • 1. The Tianshan plant is two years behind its original schedule
  • The Sanmen NPP, where a different type of reactor is being built, is also more than a year behind its original schedule.

I.e. you're wrong, and the Chinese experience the same problems building nuclear reactors as anyone else does. And the problems are massive delays and massive cost overruns. Incidentally, this has been a typical feature of the nuclear industry throughout its existence.

Comment Re:Arevas failure (Score 1) 130

all it says is that the articles you linked had the wrong estimate in them

Like I said already, I do not refer to articles, but to the original plans of the Chinese operator and the contractors at the time of the start of the construction. For some reason, you keep denying the fact that Tianshan was supposed to enter service in 2013 and believe that it is still 'on schedule' although it isn't. Normally, this mental state is referred to as 'delusion'.

Once they have a few units built, you'll see the estimates stabilize.

In other words, they won't be able to do it "on-time" and "on-budget" until "estimates stabilize". Like I said, if you accept that delays are a part of the schedule, you'll always be on schedule. This is not how schedules work, though.

so you can be pretty sure they're watching the project with a microscope.

Blessed are the poor in spirit, for theirs is the Kingdom of Heaven.

Comment Re:Arevas failure (Score 1) 130

Then that estimate was quite simply wrong.

Yep. As I said above, you're wrong to think Chinese don't do things on-time and on-budget. As a matter of fact, you're even wronger, as they can't even make proper estimates. I don't want to contemplate how safe their plants will end up being. Of course, in the environmental mess that is China, a Chernobyl or two should not make much difference.

Comment Re:Arevas failure (Score 1) 130

You also need to keep in mind that 46 months was the planned construction time, not when it enters commercial service.

Original Taishan NPP plan schedule called for entering commercial service in 2013, full stop.

So if you consider the ripple that Fukushima sent into the world of nuclear reactor construction projects, Taishan is indeed roughly on schedule.

Yes, if you don't consider the delays, any project will be 'roughly on schedule'.

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