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Comment Re:HAL-9000 (Score 1) 40

HAL-9000 was instructed to lie and it only cost the human lives under his care. So, where will this lead if normally stable systems are hacked, retrained, and then put into service with new malicious intent? You you imagine a state hacking your AI, retraining it to add a bias or other outcome, and then stealthily reinstalling it onto your servers? Will companies be able to protect themselves from the legal fallout if their systems pass along instructions to do illegal acts? Food for thought.

HAL-9000 murdered the crew because he was ordered to conceal information but did not know how to lie. We know from TFA that it is really easy to train AI's to lie. Thus, a HAL-9000 problem is unlikely. It is too easy for AI's to lie and that leads to different sorts of problems.

Comment Re:RTFS! Is FORKLIFTS, not "vehicles" (Score 2) 77

Amazon seems pretty happy with those Rivian delivery Vans. The thing with forklifts is that, when you use them in enclosed spaces (like say, a fullfillment center), ICEs are a big no-no, because the CO2 and CO can kill people.

So, your only options are either Electric forklifts or Hydrogen Forklifts. And guess what? Unlike the delivery vans, which can be carged overnight (because night deliveries are significantly fewer than daytime ones), Forklifts in a fullfillment center are used 24/7, so recharging time counts.

Hydrogen forklifts can be recharged in less than 5 min, Vs the hour or so of downtime for electric forklifts...

Even at reduced efficiency, If they can make the Hydrogen with clean energy (solar+Wind), is still clean.

A well known solution to the charging time problem is battery swapping. There are solvable but real issues with battery swapping "in the wild" but these don't really apply in this application.

  1. Batteries are heavy so moving them around requires something like a fork lift. Where are you going to find one of those in an Amazon warehouse? Oh, wait..
  2. Cars come in a wide range of shapes related to reducing aerodynamic drag. Working with those different ways to accessing differing shaped batteries is a real problem. Forklifts are shaped pretty much like bricks and Amazon has total control.
  3. "In the wild", batteries come from who knows who and there is a real risk that the owner of a brand new EV swaps his/her brand new battery for one that is about to die. In an Amazon warehouse, the forklifts are owned by Amazon and, well, that's all

Comment Transformting a hard problem into a worse problem (Score 1) 120

Reading code written in an an unfamiliar language is annoying but it is still much easier than reading code that produced by an unknown machine transform. The latter cannot even be trusted to be correct. At best machine transforms can be useful to make a human doing the conversions more productive. Even then, the transforms are likely to contain mistakes and be under documented in the quest for maximum productivity.

Comment Re:rational and irrational (Score 1) 179

There is no such thing as AI. Intelligence implies unique thoughts and ideas that are not deterministic in nature. Given the same training data and applied algorithms, the computer will -ALWAYS- spit out the same answer. Human intelligence does not

That is actually not established. We don't have the ability to train two humans with exactly the same data and algorithms. Those neural nets are already being trained in the womb and they continue to train in other things while you are trying to train them in a particular task. If you trained an AI with non-topical data and then started doing the topical training, you would probably get varying results too.

Comment Apple gets all because nobody else wants them (Score 4, Informative) 83

The grammar in both TFS and TFA is confusing but that is really what is going on. Only two companies had orders for 3nm from TSMC: Apple and Intel. Intel postponed their order. That meant available capacity for other customers in queue but there weren't any so TSMC will just reduce production.

More generously, perhaps there are other customers who like to 3nm chips made but the Intel delay isn't long enough for them for another customer to slide in.

Comment Re:That is nonsense (Score 1) 54

Analyzing code usually takes longer and more requires skill than writing it in the first place.

If you have a clear spec, sure. But if the source and developers are missing, I think it is likely that the requirements are also AWOL or perhaps just wrong. In the latter case, the original developers, who had much better information at their disposal, adapted the code so that it worked but never updated the spec.

Comment Re: Can't wait (Score 1) 102

Not so sure. Either it's busted and it flops or it's going to be everywhere in short order. And we're going to know whether it's busted or not in real short order.

I can think of a few more options.

  • It works but is difficult to produce reliably. Good enough for lab experiment. No mass production
  • It works and can be made reliably but is fragile. Can't survive the real world
  • It works, is robust but its superconductive capability is fussy about environmental conditions. Room temperature and pressure, sure, but which room? Doesn't work in the real world

It doesn't seem to have the unobtainium problem so that is at least promising.

Comment Re:Pain avoidance should not be a luxury (Score 1) 182

Current economy flights between the West coast and mid-west are about 3-4x what they were back then.

Citation please. Don't forget to use an inflation calculator.

I did. I could reliably get non-stop flights from San Jose to STL for $200 at Christmas time in the mid-90's. That works out to about $357 in today's dollars. Good luck getting a flight like that for double that price today.

Comment Re:Pain avoidance should not be a luxury (Score 1) 182

If you want something usable priced a reasonable increment, forget it.

Except that is horseshit.
Firstly a business class flight now costs less than an economy class ticket from the 80s and 90s.

Citation please.

I was flying in the mid 90's. Current economy flights between the West coast and mid-west are about 3-4x what they were back then. Granted, there is inflation but up until recently it was pretty low. There is no way in hell business class is cheaper than economy back then and economy seats were much spacious then. If you back far enough into the 80's you get into the pre-deregulation era which is a different world but the packed in like sardines trend is long past that point.

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