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Comment Re:News flash, that's how it works (Score 5, Insightful) 121

This behavior is required by law. A long time ago the Supreme Court altered corporate behavior forever with a ruling that corporations have a duty to their stockholders only, and aside from taxes, absolutely no responsibility to the community at large. They also recently decided that politicians have a duty to represent their supporters, not their constituents. Then they established that a corporate person has a Constitutional right to free speech, with a decision that redefined political bribery out of existence- at this point corruption can't be prosecuted unless someone can find a legal document where both parties agree to a quid pro quo.

This is what happens when you use a few narrow issues like abortion and guns as litmus tests for judgeships. Since judges have lifetime appointments, Trump has wisely chosen to nominate Hitler Youth who apparently haven't even seen a single episode of Law and Order, and he is rapidly filling all the seats that Congress left empty during the Obama administration.

Comment Re:No, it is not a shift in trust (Score 1) 365

It will turn out to be a Ponzi scheme, even though it didn't start out as one. Unlike traditional securities trading, with cybercurrency there is a complete lack of regulation that might prevent market manipulation by a small number of holders. And 40% of the market is controlled by a handful of shady characters. This won't end pretty.

Comment Tulips and Ponzi schemes (Score 1) 233

John McAfee's Twitter account has some funny stuff in it about tulips: He explains why the Dutch tulip mania happened:

Tulips are perishable and must be repurchased, over and over, to maintain a presence. Obviously, inflated prices cannot be sustained. Bitcoin is not perishable, and needs to purchased only once. There can be no comparison.

In other words, if only the tulips were made of plastic, this never would have happened.

He also has negative things to say about gold:

Gold is laughable compared to cryptocurrencies. How do you rationalize gold? How do you ship it? It's physical so how do you safely store it. It was good for people 3,000 years ago. Today it is inherently worthless. Soon it will drop in value as crypto currencies climb.

"Gold? Bah, I have something more valuable, bwahaha!" I have to wonder at this point whether he's managed to talk his wife into a stainless steel wedding ring. He's talking about the relative price of gold vs. Bitcoin as if the gold is going to be responsible for the fluctuation, and not the Bitcoin with its crazy, unstable valuation relative to the rest of the economy. But of course it can't be a bubble:

Bitcoin now at $16,600.00. Those of you in the old school who believe this is a bubble simply have not understood the new mathematics of the Blockchain, or you did not cared enough to try. Bubbles are mathematically impossible in this new paradigm.

Keep in mind, he is sitting on a lot of them:

I like stuff. Most of the stuff I REALLY like I can only buy with Bitcoins. I prefer stuff over money. I can't eat, smoke, wear or fuck a Bitcoin. I got 'em, but I spend 'em.

I don't blame him. If I had his Bitcoin portfolio I'd be filling my cart at overstock.com right now and tweeting crap like this.

There are a number of indications that Bitcoin has organically evolved into a Ponzi scheme, even if it wasn't engineered to be one.

  • No intrinsic value: An ounce of gold is a viable commodity, and there is significant demand for it just for industrial applications, despite what McAfee says. In fact the financial industry's fondness for gold presents a hindrance to the technology industry. With Bitcoin, what is the fundamental value? "Here is a large integer and someone had to burn X kilowatt-hours to find it. And it is a member of a set of numbers that have carefully engineered scarcity." Not exactly something that makes you instinctively reach for your wallet full of fiat money.
  • Fragile perceived value: No matter how sound the mathematics behind cryptocurrencies are, they are not well understood by investors- and even an understanding the math of the "new paradigm" doesn't necessarily translate into appreciation of the currency's value within the "old paradigm" in which all the rest of the economy still operates. It has the same flaw as fiat money- its paradigm is irrelevant unless everyone agrees to accede to it. Furthermore, everyone knows that everyone else understands what "LEGAL TENDER" means. The math behind cryptocurrency is somewhat too esoteric for people. Most of us will not behave like rational actors who were taught number theory and blockchain algorithms in grade school. Everyone knows they don't understand the esoteric math, that most other holders don't either, and that everyone else is thinking: "This stuff might just be Monopoly money after all." When the price drops, market participants will not employ any significant algorithmic complexity in their decision making. They're going to panic. Blockchain mathematics will have a showdown with human psychology and will lose.
  • It's useless as a currency. It quadrupled in value over three months. Then just during the past week it plunged 25% then shot back up. For something that is passed off as "money", the price fluctuates so violently that it can't be used as a form of cash- it's only suitable for investment. The whole purpose of a currency is to maintain a stable valuation for economic transactions. Everything that makes something a great investment makes it suck as a currency, and vice versa. Traditional "fiat money" often has problems with inflation and deflation, but considered as a currency, Bitcoin is experiencing serious hyperdeflation; any economy truly based on it would be in a tailspin right now. It's only useful as cash in transactions where there is no alternative- usually involving ransomware, drugs, weaponry, or human trafficking. While it's true that a lot of sellers are accepting Bitcoin, that's because of the same deflationary pressure which is averse to buyers. (Or anyone not sitting on a mountain of this stuff, needing to quietly unload it- like guess who above.) Once people realize this stuff does not perform its nominal function as a currency, and it becomes widely seen as an investment vehicle undergoing a rapid bubble, the dynamics of traditional bubble will take effect.
  • Concentrated ownership:1000 people own 40% of the Bitcoin market. These are the earliest investors who are profiting from the scheme. These days, we're seeing a wave of more naive investors stampeding in like new Amway recruits and driving the price up. Any time a single early investor makes even a modest transaction, the entire market wobbles like a slowing bicycle just from people speculating on his motives. Collusion among even a small group of these guys will trigger a market panic that prompts the rest of them to also dump their holdings. This will happen extremely quickly (i.e. within minutes) since the law has not caught up with cryptocurrencies- there are no regulations in place to prevent market manipulation like there are with ordinary securities trading. Anyone with a long position and a brain has set a trigger in case Armageddon happens while they're asleep or driving, and these things will undergo a chain reaction like a room full of mousetraps. The Bitcoin market will literally collapse faster than a neutron star during a supernova.
  • People are beginning to call it a Ponzi scheme. Historically this has been a reliable indicator that something is in fact a Ponzi scheme, and furthermore, it's also nearing collapse.

Comment Fuck- my parents were in cahoots with the Russians (Score 1) 128

I typed in my last name and found that both my parents submitted the exact same text:

Before leaving office, the Obama Administration rammed through a massive scheme that gave the federal government broad regulatory control over the internet. That misguided policy decision is threatening innovation and hurting broadband investment in one of the largest and most important sectors of the U.S. economy. I support the Federal Communications Commission's decision to roll back Title II and allow for free market principles to guide our digital economy.

This is highly suspicious because these two don't agree on ANYTHING.

Comment Impact on the Citizens United decision (Score 4, Insightful) 331

When the Citizens United decision was handed down by the Supreme Court, this was written by Justice Kennedy in the majority opinion:

"With the advent of the Internet, prompt disclosure of expenditures can provide shareholders and citizens with the information needed to hold corporations and elected officials accountable for their positions and supporters."

And now these same corporations have been given the freedom to control what you can see on the Internet.

Oops!

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