If you're going to bring up Hancock, please allow me to mention Simon. Paul Simon that is - who of course predicted this technique back in 1986 in "The Boy in the Bubble."
Need some reminding,
"These are the days of lasers in the jungle,
Lasers in the jungle somewhere,
Staccato signals of constant information"
OK so this is a poor attempt at humor. Couldn't help it - as soon as I read TFA, I got this stupid song ripping through my head.
Printed newspapers, while not quite dead yet, certainly appear to be at risk for extinction in my lifetime due to the Internet. Many of the local and regional papers have closed, and the ones that remain are slim shadows of what they were just a couple years ago. (USian perspective, your global village mileage may vary). Vinyl records remain, but (my opinion, I may be wrong) this is a niche medium for some audiophile cranks and collector and has been entirely surpassed by CD, DVD, and MP3. Verging on being pedantic, but 78 records, 8-track tapes, Betamax, regular cassette tapes, 8mm home movie cameras, all of these technologies are essentially dead. OK, so these are incarnations of media, not media types per se.
I'd also suggest that a number of service oriented industries are also taking a severe pounding and may eventually go away entirely - businesses like video rental stores, travel agencies and insurance agencies spring to mind.
Why is Theora more susceptible to submarine patents, or indeed granted patents that simply have not yet been enforced, over the technology of h264?
One aspect to this is programming the mind itself.
To some extent we already do this naturally with our learning and memory forming cognitive capabilities. Simple programs are easily written to our minds.
THINK ABOUT YOUR BREATHING
YOU ARE NOW BREATHING MANUALLY
It will take time to build a language in which we can program more complex behaviors, but I have no doubt it is possible.
"Among the wind farm operators surveyed by Frontier, gearbox failures accounted for the largest amount of downtime, maintenance and loss of power production. Such failures can add up to 15 to 20 percent of the price of the turbine itself, according to Frontier."
Maintaining the wind turbine revolution
The solution a hydraulic "gearbox"? Artemis Intelligent Power.
Its my theory that thinking "correlation is not causation" causes a person to study statistics.
Clever, wasn't it?
Hey - I'm not sure I'm a fan of this policy either. I was just saying that the reason that stuff like this happens is that there is no rational dialog about these kinds of things.
What exactly is the value of privacy, and what exactly is the value of not being killed on your way to wherever? If we assigned values to all of these things and also figured out what the actual risk reduction of the new technology is, then we'd have a pretty rational basis for a decision.
I tend to agree that this is security theater, but it is hard to say for sure without a real analysis of the impact. Personally, I could care less if somebody wants to stare at my fine physique - dealing with that is more their problem than my problem. I do realize that others might be sensitive about this, and as a result there is a need for a national dialog on these sorts of things...
What East is really saying is, "Behold. I shall inflate stock values by making false and pointless claims." ARM already has a huge part of the embedded market in cellular phones. He is trying to make the claim that no one needs computing power, so everyone is going to switch to the cheaper ARM microcontrollers, and they will get a lot of licensing money as a result. But remember, netbooks are optimized for the net and only the net. If you want to do anything else mildly processor intensive like watching a HD video, good luck. (Even Intel's Atom processor is essentially an overclocked 486.) If you want to watch a DVD, good luck--your netbook is probably a little too small for that DVD drive!
After spending a while in Japan (and observing their net/electronic pattern usages), combined with purely anecdotal observations on communication and usage patterns of people here in the US and in my beloved 3rd world country of origin, it is fair to say most people are fine with a device that lets them e-mail and twitter and upload pictures on facebook, google for stuff, read the news and job sites, maybe run MS Office or Google Apps, and for the savvyy video conference with skype (which is how my grandma who lives in a little town up in the mountains got to see my newborn baby for the first time after getting Internet over dial-up.) Shit, even some of the Xingu people up in the Amazon have internet access now!!!! Anyways, go back to the topic...
The average electronics consumer WILL NOT use that type of device to run DVDs (there are super-cheapo portable DVDs for that) or run gcc, Mathematica or a LAMP. They don't need a super-duper CPU and the latest and greatest graphics card.
We, what we call "powerusers") certainly want a mighty gadget that can run everything we want in one device. But we do not represent the average electronic consumer.
Typical people, the average electronics consumer of 2010, whether here or Japan or south of the border, on the other hand will be happy to have an iPhone/BlackBerry, the smallest possible laptop/netbook that can do the job without much jitters and a portable DVD player (comes handy for entertaining your kids while you are busy with your laptop/netbook while having breakfast at Panera or wherever they sell breakfast with free wifi).
Warren East is re-stating the obvious (and inflating stock values), but that's his job. What we are missing here, is our ability to objectively judge the merits of his claims, not from our point of view as l33t hax0rs, but from the shoes of the average consumer - they are the ones that constitute the market (and the opportunities therein), not us.
I program, therefore I am.