Talking about whether a computer can think is like talking about whether a submarine can swim.
Trying to duplicate the mechanical details may be a waste of time. The fact that we can't duplicate the mechanical details today doesn't mean we never will.
[Citation Needed]
I've heard this repeated a lot. A few pundits reported it, and people who want to believe it believe it.
There was a scientific paper that said there is an ice age coming up, but it's thousands of years away (not "Pretty soon").
You seem to be missing the point. The guy you're shooting doesn't have to wear the watch, you do.
"An organization dries up if you don't challenge it with growth." -- Mark Shepherd, former President and CEO of Texas Instruments