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Comment Re:Why the 1st model starts at -800? (Score 4, Interesting) 65

Hopefully the A350 can make up for the anemic A380 sales

The A380 is really huge. A lot of the long-haul flights that I've been on in the last couple of years haven't been full, even when they're the one flight of the day between two points and are on a plane with half of the capacity of the A380. It's a very economical plane to fly if you can fill it up, but if it's likely to be under half full then it's very expensive. The big-planes, infrequently model doesn't really work with the hub-and-spokes model popular in the USA, because it either needs more coordination with short-haul spoke routes, or layovers (and the cost of near-airport hotels means that these can often make it cheaper to book a different airline's flight).

I flew on the 787 (LHR - IAH, both directions) for the first time this year and it was such a massive improvement over earlier models that I actually enjoyed flying for the first time in ages. Even in the cheap seats, there was lots of legroom, lots of overhead space (so you didn't feel cramped), the air pressure stayed good for the entire flight, the seats reclined comfortably without invading someone else's space. I managed to get more uninterrupted work done on the outbound flight than any other time over the surrounding few months. I'm really looking forward to airlines using similar craft on all long-haul routes.

Comment Re:Actually, he's right (Score 1) 552

The premise of this fairy tale is that great programmers have a quality unrelated to training

Not at all. He's saying that training doesn't create great programmers if they don't already have some innate ability. You need the mixture of ability and opportunity. Now that more and more of the world is growing up with computers, a lot more of the people with the ability are going to develop it. Graham wants those people to be in the USA.

Comment Re:Wrong assumption (Score 1) 552

Luckily for my country, most of people can be swayed by money. Big salary, and low taxes and houses with a big yard as still affordable for a professional.

How about some other things that are harder for people who consider moving to the USA:

  • Car culture: Few places where you can live without needing to spend a lot of time commuting and long trips just to go shopping. If your time is valuable, then moving to such a place seems like a step back in terms of quality of life. If you're getting a house with a big yard, that puts you in the suburbs, where pretty much anything is 15+ minutes each way in the car.
  • Healthcare: You might get good heath insurance at your job, but does it cover your partner if they move with you? Will it cover your children?
  • Crime rates: San Francisco and New York don't look that safe compared to much of Europe...
  • High cost of living generally: that big salary is nice while you're there, but how much of it can you put into savings?

There are lots of reasons not to want to move to the USA.

Comment Re:What Paul Graham doesn't get... (Score 1) 552

Labour costs are largely irrelevant to someone like Graham. He wants startups to increase in value quickly so that he can sell his stake and make a large profit. That means getting the best talent, even if you have to pay them more. Doubling salary costs doesn't matter much when you're looking at a 10-100 times return on investment for a successful startup.

Comment Re:What Paul Graham doesn't get... (Score 1) 552

there's a heavy emphasis on languages that do garbage collection (Objective C counts as one of these; in theory you can turn it off - but not really

Huh? Objective-C doesn't have garbage collection. Apple tried to add it some years ago, but it was a disaster and they deprecated it (and never supported it on iOS). Objective-C has a number of design patterns that rely on deterministic deallocation, so is a really poor fit for garbage collection.

It does (optionally, although you'd be an idiot to turn it off) have automatic reference counting, but you still need to think about ownership and explicit cycle breaking.

Comment Re:What Paul Graham doesn't get... (Score 1) 552

HP was famous for having parallel tracks for management and engineering talent. Promotion didn't mean moving to management, that was a separate skill set and managers would often be paid less than the people that they were managing. ARM does something similar now - the position of ARM Fellow is the engineering track equivalent of VP on the management track (most of their managers are also technically competent, but not as hands-on as the engineers). It's a good way of avoiding the Peter Principle: don't make people do a different job to be promoted.

Comment Re:Hell, by that logic... (Score 1) 552

CEOs maybe (and, actually, you do import a lot of those). Doctors and lawyers are a bad example, because they both provide local services. Software is a massive export market for the USA. You need a number of doctors and lawyers proportional to your population. For any industry that is primarily export focussed, you want to have a big chunk of the top talent or you'll find it hard to compete internationally.

Comment Re:Mod parent up. (Score 2) 552

When I was freelancing, I worked with people plus or minus 9 time zones from me. I found it very productive for a lot of things when our work days barely overlapped: I'd work and send them things that they'd then work on for a day when they woke up and then get back to me. Some things require realtime interaction, but for a lot of other things it's far more productive to have an asynchronous workflow.

Comment Re:Mod parent up. (Score 1) 552

If you want to find the 20 of the best programmers in India, then you'll probably find it much easier if you have an office in India and are willing to hire locally than if you expect people to locate to the USA. In most parts of India, earning 75% of a Silicon Valley salary will let you live very comfortably and put a lot into savings (there are now some places where the cost of living is comparable, but not many). Moving to the USA and earning the full salary will be a lot of hassle, involve leaving your family, and end up with a lower standard of living. If you're really in the top 1% of talent, then why would you make this choice when there are other companies that will pay you to stay?

If you really want to attract the top talent from the whole world, then you need to make the incentives better, not just lower the barriers. Some are there already. For example, Silicon Valley is by far the easiest place to get VC funding. It's also now in the self-sustaining cycle where people move there because of the job opportunities, which means that there's a lot of available talent, which means that it's a good place for a startup if you want to be able to easily hire competent people.

Comment Re:Mod parent up. (Score 1) 552

Bullshit. Startups are constrained by MONEY.

Not ones with VC backing, which are the kind that Graham will be talking to. They're often constrained by how much the founders are able to delegate, but money is not normally an issue for the first few years. It's only once the VCs start expecting you to have a self-sustaining business model that it becomes tight. For a lot of startups, if the goal is to sell out to Google, Facebook, Microsoft, or whoever, then money is never a constraint: VCs will keep pumping the company until they can sell it for 10-100 times their investment to someone with even deeper pockets.

Comment Re:Whoops (Score 4, Insightful) 183

Bill Gates is far more intelligent than you,

That needs a big 'citation needed' next to it, but:

and has already seen a working plant, which is why he is investing on a technology that is going to displace oil and outright kill renewables.

You don't understand risk analysis. He's investing a very small proportion of his wealth in something that may have massive returns. The probability of said returns may be small, but that doesn't make it a bad investment if the potential payoffs are huge, as long as you can afford to take the loss if it doesn't pan out. Most people with his money will invest a few millions in a few fringe ideas, because it only takes one to pay off to more than make up for your investment. The majority of his portfolio will be in relatively safe investments with a close-to-guaranteed return, a bit will be in risky venture.

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