Comment Re:They weren't thinking about it though (Score 3, Informative) 1239
"That could be things like social security payments,..."
The very fact that you, a thinking and knowledgable adult, believed that social security payments (which are funded by cashing in existing treasuries held by the Social Security Trust Fund, and thus is debt neutral) would have been affected by us hitting the debt ceiling, tells me that one of the real problems here is that the current Administration has completely failed to effectively communicate the current state of financial affairs in Washington D.C.
(Social Security holds treasuries, so to send out a check for $1, they would cash in one of their debt treasuries for $1--which the Treasury department would then sell to someone else for $1. The total debt stays the same; it's just that the $1 of debt would be transferred from the Social Security Trust Fund to some bank in China. Thus, Social Security payments would not be effected unless someone in the Administration decided to stop paying Social Security as a sort of political "fsck you" to get seniors riled up about whomever (Eastasia, Eurasia) we're at war with.)
By failing to effectively communicate the current state of financial affairs, this has increased the risk on the economy (because I bet you're not willing to spend $100,000 on new hardware for your plant if you can't figure out what is going to happen tomorrow in Washington D.C. because all our leaders--Democrats and Republicans alike--are acting like spoiled children rather than the dignified leaders of one of the most powerful countries and powerful economic forces in the world today), and this has lowered tax receipts and the non-governmental GDP. And by failing to effectively communicate Administration intentions during a crisis point to the banks and to Wall Street, holders of Treasuries were uncertain if the Administration was even going to be making the latest wave of debt payments on current (income yielding) treasuries, or if they would cashing in existing debt instruments, since rolling those over involves creating new debt. And there was no clear guidance if, in the event there was a defacto balanced budget enforced by the debt ceiling what administration priorities would be when having to choose what to fund and what not to fund.
In other words, by failing to effectively communicate clearly what Administration intentions are, setting a set of fixed goals, and moving in a deliberate and careful way to those fixed goals, we've lost S&P's confidence that we can even pay the bills like mature adults.