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Comment Re:Quick... (Score 2) 439

You know what happened when we discovered the holes in Newtonian physics? We got relativistic physics.

Climate modeling is insanely complex, and no one working with the models would state that they are perfect, or that they can ever be perfect. However, the models are predictive. Ignoring them waiting for a perfect model, especially when it's well established that we can't have a perfect model, is just burying your head in the sand.

Comment Re:Quick... (Score 3, Insightful) 439

Another way to look at it: body-weight fluctuates day to day, based on water intake, restroom usage, time of day, etc. It's somewhat difficult to predict to the accuracy of a pound what your weight will be on any given day. It is however easy to predict that your weight will tend to increase on a 4000 calorie all-nacho diet.

Comment Re:Interesting move, Republican Party! (Score 1) 296

They put up what was probably the most moderate Republican candidate since, hell, before I was born in a lousy economy that needed real business know-how...and he still lost by almost 3 million votes to a black man who's never run a company because they forced him to wear that super-conservative Republican platform around his neck like a God damned albatross.

If you look at the economic indicators, large business and investment firms are doing great in this economy. Small business on the other hand is suffering, not due to taxes or regulation, but due to a very weak middle class. That's a problem that can only be solved by growing the middle class; something I don't actually think Romney was capable of doing. Romney's approach seemed to be more of the same from the conservative party. Bust unions, relax hiring and pay regulations, undercut benefits, cut social programs. Policies that are great for business, but tend to undermine the lower and middle class.

Security

Will It Take a 'Cyber Pearl Harbor' To Break Congressional Deadlock? 104

Hugh Pickens writes "For years lawmakers had heard warnings about holes in corporate and government systems that imperil U.S. economic and national security. Now Ward Carroll writes that in the face of what most experts label as a potential 'Cyber Pearl Harbor' threat, Republicans have stalled the Cybersecurity Act of 2012 with a Senate vote of 51–47 against the legislation. This drew a quick response from the staff of Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta: 'The U.S. defense strategy calls for greater investments in cybersecurity measures, and we will continue to explore ways to defend the nation against cyber threats,' says DoD spokesman George Little. 'If the Congress neglects to address this security problem urgently, the consequences could be devastating.' Many Senate Republicans took their cues from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and businesses that framed the debate not as a matter of national security, but rather as a battle between free enterprise and an overreaching government. They wanted to let companies determine whether it would be more cost effective — absent liability laws around cyber attacks — to invest in the hardware, software, and manpower required to effectively prevent cyber attacks, or to simply weather attacks and fix what breaks afterwards. 'Until someone can argue both the national security and the economic parts of it, you're going to have these dividing forces,' says Melissa Hathaway, a White House cyber official in the Bush and Obama administrations. 'Most likely, big industry is going to win because at the end of the day our economy is still in trouble.'"

Comment Re:Still going (Score 1) 488

BTW... You still kind of missed the point. It doesn't matter if there is fore-warning - you are still spending time learning a new OS, that you could be spending on other productive tasks.

Comment Re:Still going (Score 2) 488

I disagree with you completely. The more proficient your team is on a specific operating system, the more expensive it's going to be to move to a new one. My focus is on RedHat based distros, since that's what's used in the business world. If you asked me to admin a Debian site, or a Freebsd site, or a Solaris site, I'd be absolutely able to pull it off, but my productivity would suffer for a while.

For example, right now I could build a Cobbler host and Kickstart a hundred machines inside of a day or two. If you asked me to do the same with Jumpstart or FAI, the same simple task would probably take me a week. I could absolutely do it, but as a consultant the real cost to my company for moving from Centos to Debian based on that project alone, would be thousands of dollars.

I did switch from Fedora to Ubuntu on my desktop machines. There was definitely a learning curve, and I'm a little slower with system management tasks. It was justified, since Fedora was fairly broken on the equipment I was using. I'm happy I made the switch.

On the other hand, if I was fairly Junior, the cost of switching OS would be lower. Since I'd have a learning curve ahead of me either way, it wouldn't really matter which way we went.

None of this is a complaint about Debian, or Solaris, or BSD. They are all competent and powerful operating systems. It's just an illustration of the potential issues.

I'm very very surprised by the strong reaction I received to my original post.

Comment Re:Still going (Score 3, Insightful) 488

You missed the point dude. It's not about whether or not someone is able to learn a new OS, It's about the cost of doing so. No matter how flexible you are, you are going to be slower work in an environment you're not used to. Lost productivity probably costs a lot more than you think.

Comment Re:Still going (Score 2, Insightful) 488

Cost of training is in lost productivity, not necessarily on actual training courses. I'm an admin with 10 years of experience. My productivity would suffer significantly if you gave me a Mac or asked me to manage an unfamiliar distro. A week of lost productivity would easily cost my company thousands of dollars worth of my time.

Spread that out over a company of hundreds, or thousands and the numbers really add up.

Comment Re:Why did they change the requirements? (Score 1) 421

Although Obama ran on a platform of supporting same sex marriage, he has come out in favor of it since, and he did end the DADT policy in the military. He's made demonstrable progress on that front. He also seems to have somewhat resisted picking a fight with the states over pot. That's movement in the right direction.

I agree that the government shouldn't be in the Marriage business, however I somewhat disagree with it not being in the civil union business - a civil union has impact on federal tax status, mandating some level of involvement.

Regarding the economy: Business is doing fine. I've made previous posts about economic indicators. The short version, is that additional business stimulus will do nothing to improve the economy. Business have more than enough funds to hire additional people, however they don't because there simply isn't demand to justify it. Demand for goods drives hiring, not the availability of resources. Hiring someone you don't need is simply Altruism, which isn't something many companies are big on. Again, you can't fix the problem by throwing more tax incentives or more money at business.

The issue right now is that real income for the middle and lower class has been falling over the past 30 years. The middle class doesn't have the funds to drive hiring.

We needed a president that would strengthen the middle class, not a president that would continue to push supply side economics and the trickle down theory. The recession ended in 09 for business - we're still waiting for it to end for the employees. The middle and lower classes have only been hurt by trickle down economics.

Regarding the comment about the FAA: I misspoke. I meant that the policy was set by the FAA, not the POTUS.

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