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Comment Re:Future Schlock (Score 1) 734

Girlfriend, in 16 years the only thing that is really likely to change is the color of the table counter-tops at the local Burger King and the name on the alcohol/caffeine combo drink sold at the Arco Mini-mart.

Let's see, 16 years ago was 1998. Smartphones didn't exist yet. Tablet computers didn't exist yet. Even the iPod wouldn't be released for three years. The very first hybrid car had just gone on sale in Japan, but none would be available in the rest of the world for a year or two. Mining of oil shale in the United States was nonexistent.

Not to comment on this particular prediction, but just as a general comment, a lot more can change in 16 years than you think.

Security

ShapeShifter: Beatable, But We'll Hear More About It 102

Slashdot contributor Bennett Haselton writes: "A California company called Shape Security claims that their network box can disable malware attacks, by using polymorphism to rewrite webpages before they are sent to the user's browser. Most programmers will immediately spot several ways that the system can be defeated, but it may still slow attackers down or divert them towards other targets." Read on for the rest of Bennett's thoughts.

Comment Re:Maps roads, Not Coverage (Score 3) 113

I'm not sure what your point is. This isn't supposed to be a map of cell phone coverage. It's a map showing all the data points in their database. The goal of this project is to let people identify their location based on the visible networks, not to tell them what kind of network coverage they'll have in any location.

Comment Misleading summary (Score 5, Informative) 458

It's generally accepted that the Universe's history is best described by the Big Bang model, with General Relativity and Quantum Field Theory as the physical laws governing the underlying framework.

No no no. It's generally accepted that each one of these theories taken individually is the best currently known description within its particular domain. It is not generally accepted that you can just throw them together and get an accurate description of the fundamental nature of the universe! In fact, we know you can't do that because general relativity and quantum field theory are deeply incompatible with each other. People have been working for half a century to find a single consistent theory that can reproduce the predictions of both. They've made a lot of progress, but we're still a long way from having any confidence about what the true fundamental theory is.

The picture of eternal inflation described in this article is plausible based on what we know. But it's still very speculative. That's true of any discussion of cosmology. Our current knowledge is just way too limited to have any confidence about it.

Comment Re:Weak measurements (Score 1) 148

(for example, most hidden variable theories have been ruled out).

Actually that's not true. Only some very limited classes of hidden variable theories have been excluded. Bell's theorem is based on a set of very doubtful assumptions that weren't well understood until decades after it was first introduced. For example, it requires locality (which is now widely suspected to be false) and no retrocausality (which, assuming CPT invariance really is an exact symmetry, is almost definitely false). It also requires a really wacky assumption that your choice of what measurement to perform is uncorrelated with the values of hidden variables at the place and time where you make the choice - basically treating the experimenter and/or experimental apparatus as not subject to the laws of physics.

Comment Re:Weak measurements (Score 2) 148

How can a theory be more correct than an equivalent theory?

Yes, I simplified a bit to keep my post from getting too long. There are tons of interpretations of QM: dozens we know about, and probably lots of others that no one has thought of yet. Some are "pure interpretations", meaning they make no predictions beyond the ones made by QM itself. No experiment can ever distinguish between two pure interpretations. But a lot of them aren't pure interpretations. They still reproduce the prediction of QM to high accuracy, but in principle an experiment could distinguish between them.

If we ever learn which interpretation is correct, it will be based on evidence. But right now that evidence doesn't exist, which is why I said this is more philosophy than science. Occam's razor says we should prefer a simpler explanation over a more complicated one, but that doesn't prove the simpler explanation is actually correct. But maybe some day we'll know.

Comment Weak measurements (Score 5, Interesting) 148

Here's a more familiar example of a weak measurement. QM says you can't measure the magnetic moment of a single particle along two perpendicular axes at the same time. And yet, you can easily measure the magnetic moment of a bar magnet along two perpendicular axes at the same time. How is that possible? The bar magnet's moment is just the sum of the ones from all the particles that make it up. So by measuring the total magnetic moment, aren't you measuring the moments of all the individual particles, and hence violating the uncertainty principle?

The answer is no. When you measure the total moment of a macroscopic magnet, you only need to interact very very weakly with any individual particle, so the experiment only has a tiny effect on the state of each one. The more particles you sum over, the less information you need about each one, so the less restrictive the uncertainty principle becomes.

But the mathematical details of the explanation are curious. Weak measurements were originally proposed based on time reversible interpretations of QM, in which the future can affect the past and it's basically arbitrary which direction you call "forward in time". It was later shown that other interpretations also predicted them - of course they must, since the interpretations are mathematically equivalent. But the explanations are very different. Other interpretations explain them through an incredibly complicated series of cancellations, whereas in time reversible QM the explanation is straightforward, almost obvious. So is this evidence that time reversible QM is correct? At the moment, that question is more philosophy than science, but it's interesting to think about.

Comment Re: In the middle of summer (Score 2, Informative) 382

Here are some examples of things you said that are totally false:

We are too dumb to understand climate.

Nonsense. We're entirely capable of understanding the climate.

Any one who calls themselves a climate expert is a huge liar

This is total BS.

That lack of relativity has lead to arrogance and away from science.

Climate researchers are doing fantastic science.

skeptics and supporters are opposite sides of the same coin of wrong headedness.

The two groups are about as unlike as you can get. Climate scientists are dedicating their lives to working really hard, trying to solve really hard problems and figure out how the real world actually works. So called "climate skeptics" are, as a rule, willfully ignorant of the state of knowledge. They've just decided what they want to believe, make no effort to actually study climatology, and just go around making claims that are simply false. LIke, "We're too stupid to understand the climate and anyone who claims to is a liar."

So how much time have you spent actually studying climatology? And no, I don't mean reading books and websites written by self-proclaimed climate skeptics out to expose the massive fraud being perpetuated on an unsuspecting public. I mean actual climate science. Studying basic physics, reading scientific papers, understanding the math behind climate models, studying the experiments used to parametrize and validate those models, and so on. Not so much? Then maybe you should assume that you know less about the subject than people who spend their entire lives doing that.

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