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Comment Re:But ... (Score 1) 74

What gets me going are comments that seem to completely ignore the possibility the LLMs do in fact represent an intelligence of some sort.

That's because that's not a possibility, it's silly nonsense. Take some time and learn about how LLMs work. This fact will become obvious very quickly.

This is like saying you know how processors work therefore you know how the software that runs on them works.

narcc has some point. If you know that your processor has access to only 640 kB or RAM then there is a limit on what kind of programs you can run. LLMs are not Turing complete in any limited way until the output is used also as a temporary scratchpad. LLMs need some serious tweaking to serve as a base for an efficient AGI.

Comment Re:But ... (Score 1) 74

Well, it can "reason" by analogy in a limited way even now. Each token encoding has a lot of dimensions. A dimension can represent a category. If the model learns that something is (mostly) "true" for a category then it can specialize to one specific member of it. Although this can be misled by (higher) temperature. But the (higher) temperature is needed for model "creativity". So some weak/limited deductive reasoning may happen.

A bigger problem is with any reasoning which requires loops and backtracking. Especially because of the limited token history and the way they are trained. By training, LLMs are discouraged to use the token history as temporary scratchpad. So any inductive reasoning is impossible until the design is changed (or the output is also used as a memory scratchpad).

The LLMs developers may possibly fix this by combining it with a semantic web and a corresponding inference engine. Although it likely should not be called an LLM after such an extension.

They are trying to solve the hallucination problem. I do not see how they can do it without lowering temperature which will just lead to regurgitation of the training data. A copyright problem. That is if the model is big enough to memorize. If the model is small enough so that it cannot memorize then it will be likely even harder to train it.

Well that is my take at ti after our last discussion.

Comment Re: This is also due to OTHERS buying electric car (Score 1) 179

Electric vehicle fire is about 100 times less probable than gasoline car fire.

But electric vehicle fire si much more damaging than gasoline car fire. Battery fires require more water to put out, burn about 3 times hotter and are more likely to reignite. There is a problem with “vapour cloud explosions and rocket flames” when the gases burst out of cells.

The situation is likely to get worse for electric cars as their battery packs age. Regardless, it is unlikely that electric cars will be catching fire more often than gasoline car.

Electric car’s reputation was being tarnished by their lithium ion cousins: electric scooters, bicycles, ... These are much more likely to catch fire than electric cars. The home insurance increase may be because of electric scooters/bicycles/... or maybe because of house electrical wiring not handling car charging loads well.

source

Comment Re:Like it or Not (Score 1) 557

So, yes, by definition these embryos are human.

It may be so in your definition of human. But even if that is the proper definition then it is not relevant when (by definition) terminating embryos is not murder (nor is it illegal) in many jurisdictions. Well, Alabama is something special I guess :)

Comment Re:Obviously (Score 1) 315

Just dismantle a cover to the main battery leads and touch them. They will be around 400-800 volts and hundreds of amperes. Plenty enough to kill you immediately. It is not like you do not need to put any effort to asphyxiate yourself with a combustion car.

If you want a more spectacular death then pour a bucket of brine into battery compartment. Maybe cut some insulation first if the car is extremely well made. If the initial explosion will not kill you then the toxic fumes from the thermal runaway of your battery will do it with ease.

Comment Re:Like it or Not (Score 2) 557

An embryo is an organism in and of itself.

As well as a bacterium is. Yet you are killing thousands of them when you wash your hands.

It is alive and it is human in a very scientific sense of the word. ... We can reason that this is morally wrong just based on science itself and some very basic philosophical axioms like murder being wrong.

We can't because terminating an embryo is not defined as murder in many jurisdictions. Also whether you define embryo as a human is only a matter of definition. It is not somehow magically scientifically given. It is also questionable whether it is morally wrong. Are woman also morally wrong when they miscarriage most of their fertilized eggs? Is life morally wrong because one organism is killing another one all the time?

Comment Re:Same problem as EVs (Score 1) 209

Maybe it does not have that high efficiency. I'm sure I have seen ads for condensing furnaces with efficiency more than 100%. The percentages above represented the heat reclaimed form the condensation itself. Maybe there are more ways how to compute this kind efficiency. Or it was a lie from the marketing! When I'm on the roof when the furnace is on then the exhaust form the chimney is only mildly warm. No problem to keep hands over it indefinitely.

It does not matter anyway. I pay about $750 a year for natural gas. Replacing the furnace or getting it cleaned every 2 years is not likely to lead to savings worth the trouble. Google says that typical cost for cleaning a furnace is $150. It will take me at least 3 hours to organize and overview the clean up. Nah, it is not worth it.

Comment Re:Excellent idea (Score 2) 65

I do expect that some morons will now complain that his will eventually make the Moon crash into Earth. While true, energy harvesting is a tiny part of that even if taken to the max.

It is not true. Increasing use of tidal energy slows down Earth rotation and increases Moon orbit until Earth rotation period is the same as Moon orbit period. Increase use of tidal energy results in just the opposite of Moon crashing to Earth.

Comment Re:Same problem as EVs (Score 2) 209

You're an absolute fool if you've been sold a heating system as maintenance free. Furnaces should be disassembled and cleaned by a professional on a 2 yearly basis.

May be they should (especially if you have house insurance which requires it) but it is not needed. My gas furnace is older - has efficiency of 95%. It needed only one clean up and one electrical part repair in 25 years.
The only annual maintenance is bleeding, checking pressure and possibly filling up the water circuit which carries the heat around. Anybody can do this himself in about 2 hours.

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