It's not Russia that has lost the plot, it's the Western populace. And it's no wonder either. Ever since the orange guy got elected we have had non-stop Russia hate thrown at us from every angle, only paused to make room for the bi-weekly China hate. It was going to get to us sooner or later, you cannot live in this pressure forever without getting cooked, and it has done us in, and nobody can see anything but the red of their bloodshot eyes anymore. I might even say that it has reached brain damage levels in our Western societies. So maybe the real Havana syndrome was the hate we made along the way after all... But I welcome you to consider this: do you think our leaders act on these matters filled with the same hate we are now entertaining, or do they keep a level head, and discuss and decide in a rational manner, maybe during a lunch, or with a glass of bourbon in the evening? One would think that surely they must keep a level head, lest they make mistakes in their judgement. So let me entertain the idea that maybe, just maybe, so should we strive to keep a level head, lest we make mistakes in our judgement...
What Russia is doing is what any other country does. It is looking out for it's interests, with whatever tools it has available. There is no news in that. Since it was denied a peaceful say over it's security interests in Ukraine, it took to the only other path that it had left, the war path. You know the analogy, disregard the revolution mentioned here, but you should get it - those who make peaceful revolution impossible, make violent revolution inevitable... Russia did say for years that Nato in Ukraine was a red line and was going to lead to war, and this culminated in an ultimatum before the war. All of this was ignored by the US, didn't really make the media either, the US just pushed on, and then acted shocked, I tell you, shocked, as if the war was somehow a surprise and unprovoked.
But there is a cycle to how that stuff works out with Russia, and this goes back a thousand years already. Obviously if you look at it from the "several years" perspective, you are left like a deer in headlights. It seems to be part of the American condition that the concept of history as a meaningful progression of cause and effect relations is somehow very much overrated; that history is something for the nerds, that history just does not apply, that it just does not have any relevance whatsoever. But for a country like Russia history is everything, and they act based on what they have learned from it. And what basically all of Russian history boils down to is two storylines. 1) Russia wants to be part of Europe(now the West). Europe says sure, just change your uncultured ways and be the same like us. Russia says I can work on it, see? Europe says look at that idiot, funny, isn't he. Russia gets pissed and takes it out on some poor schmuck. 2) Russia says we can be friends, right? Everyone says sure. While Russia is busy otherwise, someone, more recently someone from the West, builds an army and invades.
Yes Russia also invades others. But it's not like we are any better either. Europe did not give up it's colonies because of a change of heart, it did so because it was too messed up after WWII to keep hold of them. Matter of fact, France still has quite a few in Africa, Britain still has the Commonwealth, and so on. US just spent 20 years fucking up the Middle East based on lies upon lies, not blinking an eye for any change of government of president, and every other country in the West was happy to join in. The death toll of these forever wars was 5M, and you know what? The drones are still in the air turning brown people into red mist over there! Half of us can not point out any of those countries on the map, and most of us don't know most of those have had anything happening at all, much less so that the US or the West has been involved in them. Nobody else this century comes close to the level of mayhem the US has unleashed on the world, the war in Ukraine is an order of magnitude smaller a happening. So one might stop to question that the US govt has no more the moral authority on these matters than the pot has to call the kettle black.
The most recent cycle of Russia/West relations was Obama's thaw with Russia, which was killed by Hillary with the destruction of Libya and the death of Gaddafi, and finalized by her giving speeches to the Russian people to rise up against Putin during the Moscow Spring. The result of this was Putin replacing his city liberal voters with country conservatives, and his our decried social injustice policies that followed from that. Then there was the cycle before that, when Slick Willie was basically running the fledgling post-Soviet Russian economic policy, resulting in the creation of the oligarchs, the crisis of 1998, and culminating in the ascent of Putin to power. If the US had a concept of history, it would surely learn from such mistakes, but alas... I cannot really for the love of me think of a single instance of the US learning from history.
But the most important movement to understand what is going on is the expansion of Nato in general, and Nato expansion to Ukraine in particular. It should be obvious to anyone with any sense of history, war and statecraft, that Russia can never and will never allow Ukraine to join Nato. Ukraine is the number one route to invade Russia, whether you go by land, or by sea via Crimea, as Moscow is just a stones throw away from the Ukranian border. Both Napoleon and Hitler went through Ukraine, and it is as obvious as daylight to Russians that now the US is coming for them there, too. To put that into perspective, imagine if Canada or Mexico became part of a Russia/China military alliance, and imagine what the US would be willing to do to prevent that... Or just remember the Cuban Missile Crisis. But you do not have to take my word for it, either. How about George Kennan? There was and still is literally no authority greater than him on all matters of Cold War and Russian policy - and he called that the expansion of Nato already into Central Europe was the most fateful error of American policy in the entire post-Cold War era. US diplomats have warned ever since the reunification of Germany that Nato expansion was going to end up in a war with Russia, most probably in Ukraine. You can get some background here https://www.theguardian.com/co... , but I encourage you to actually seek out and read what has been written and said on this matter. That the US politicians have ignored these warnings of their diplomats for 30 years of policymaking leaves only one conclusion - that they have not cared about, or have actually been actively seeking out this war. But it is obvious that as long as Russia as a state exists, they will not give up on keeping Nato out of Ukraine, and to go for the end of the Russian state is to go for nuclear war. What the end game for this is in the heads of our policy makers, I cannot think of anything. But considering that the owner of project Ukraine, no.3 in US Victoria Nuland, was recently retired out of a career that seemed so far to be going quite well, gives me hints that there never was much plan at all, and she the US was just winging it as is usual.
Now back to the TFA, as to whether there is anything behind the Havana syndrome, my guess is prolly not. The whole thing is only useful as a plot device for the hate minutes. As a weapon targeted at low and mid-level diplomats it doesn't make any sense at all. There is no gain, no motive, no purpose. If they just wanted to test this, they would not need US diplomats. If they wanted to spread panic, they could find much better plays and targets. And most importantly, let me give you this. There is a certain regular happening in the doctors office. Someone comes in suspecting they have head lice. To substantiate their worries they have a matchbox containing maybe a dozen pieces of the tiniest stuff, single grains of sand and whatnot, suspected to be louse eggs and such. What they are crucially lacking though, is actual lice, nowhere to be found. Having even one actual louse would settle the matter, but so does having zero, just in the opposite direction. But for some reason this requires the doctor to spell it out for them, and to prescribe a beefsteak and a pint of porter for every lunch for as long as it takes for the tortured psyche to snap out of it. So the same for the microwave gun. Get your hands on one, go and even get some spectrum scanners and get some recordings. Anything at all to get an actual material claim that there is something. As long as you cannot provide the simplest of actual evidence, my take is the fifties called and they want their commie scare b-movies back.
That now leaves just the question of why does the public need to be hyped up on to the hate train like this? First of all is the obivous issue of perception management. You need to be seen as the good guys, especially if you have been working up towards trouble for 30 years. If you lose the ability to posture as the good guy, you are left as being just one rando asshole against another rando asshole in a stupid bar fight, and your voters might even remember that wait a bit, these politicans of us are the same ones who have lied to us about every single previous war ever, so why would we believe them this time? Second, as everyone of us is certainly aware, the congress is less popular than syphilis for quite some time now, and for a reason, and the reason applies to all of the other institutions as well. The country is mismanaged to a catastrophic degree with joblessness, homelessness and healthcarelessness rising, infrastructure rotting everywhere and with the young'uns never going to own homes. And every four years we con ourselves to believe that one of those jerks is going to come in and be the Saviour for us. So in this kind of a situation the only thing you can do to maintain popular support for the status quo is to rally your people against a common enemy. The rising level of rallying needed I take to be a measure of the rising level of dysfunction we have to be distracted from. Caveat emptor.