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Comment Re:Seriously? (Score 1) 926

It is a certainty. Which is why all the clever and secular jews in Israel are going to leave in the next 20 years, leaving the place to the crackpots who fuel the enmity in the first place. That colonial experiment happened 100 years too late.

Hezbollah are a somewhat more than you imagine. While they've done a lot ot terrible things, they also run a lot of health and anti-poverty programs etc (ie, they behave like a governing power - the good and the bad), which is why they are popular (don't believe the propaganda). They are not the types to let of a nuke, since they have territory that can be counter attacked (and would be). It's more your misanthropic gang of ideologically charged drop kicks that would do it.

Comment Re:Microwave radiation is not ionizing radiation (Score 1) 320

Most of it is thermal heating from the power amplifier (the amp that boosts up the signal for transmission to the base station). This is in the infra-red spectrum. Other electronics in the phone also gets a little chubby when its busy too. Every electronic device you have exhibits the same phenomenon, since no electronics is 100% efficient.

Comment Re:Correlation does NOT mean causation (Score 1) 1011

Earth has been cooling for the last 25 million years (due to the Himalayas rising, causing heavy monsoonal rains that fall on calcium rich rocks that dilute carbonic acid in the rain bonds up with to form calcium carbonates that are laid down in sedimentary deposits, removing CO2 from the atmosphere). But this happens over a long time span. No one disputes that the earth's climate varies all over the place due to various forces (geological, in this case). The question is, is the present rise due to increased CO2 output form industrial energy production? If so, what can be done about it. There's no fraud.

As we say in the country, you've got the bull by the tit.

Comment Re:Correlation does NOT mean causation (Score 1) 1011

I chose my words carefully. I said "useful". It takes a long time, and a lot of deep thought, and a realization of all the things you _don't_ know, that you start to be useful. Climate scientists are dealing with a very complex system and data of all sorts of quality and completeness. You talk to a guy whose been working on this for a long time and they will happily and openly tell you about all the problems they have etc.

Also, people who don't do science a lot (or who once studied a little but have never worked as one) tend to have an odd view of what constitutes a good theory. In what I do, I am thrilled to bits if I have a theory that's about 70% correct in predicting what will happen. At 90% I am over the moon, and as for 99.9%, forgedaboutit. I think climate science is in the 90-95% range for predicting the general direction of where the climate is going, and somewhere around 70% for the specifics. That's plenty good enough to foster a prudent view of how to manage energy production (and prudence is an eminently conservative quality).

Also, on the crazy-man politics expressed on this site re taxes. No government in existence would like to have the problem of dealing with climate change. It's a bad problem to have. But in our quasi-free market system, price signals dominate in setting market direction. Ultimately, it's what people listen to, so that's the direction. Government is actually necessary to solve the climate change problem (like it is to solve the rule-of-law problem, and many others), so quit the paranoid bitching already!

Comment Re:Correlation does NOT mean causation (Score 1) 1011

Somehow, just somehow, I think the climate science guys have considered your points and built what's relevant into the models. Jeez, just maybe.

Your problem is you think everyone's an idiot.

Except, it's just you. Your last para give you away as a crank and someone who cannot be reasoned with. A standard delusionist, in other words.

Try getting worked up about the things you actually know something about.

Comment Re:Correlation does NOT mean causation (Score 5, Insightful) 1011

No one disagrees that the earth's climate varies a great deal over any long period of time you care to look at. The question is, if the world is warming at the moment (and over a scale of tens of years, it is), then is this due to man-made causes, and is it happening far faster then it could due purely to natural causes? Furthermore, if the temperature is pushed up, will the effects become decidedly non-linear, in that the processes that regulate climate will themselves change and some (quite different ) equilibrium become the norm? The modeling and experimentation suggests that pumping CO2 into the atmosphere will have a warming effect, though how CO2 interacts with the various climate regulatory and feedback processes is extremely complicated and there's a great deal of work to do. The further question of altering the equilibrium state of the climate (which could be utterly disastrous for civilization, and a great many current species of life on this planet) is even trickier to answer, but there's plenty of good evidence to suggest this could happen (including in the geological record, so we know it is possible).

I am not a climate scientist, but I do know that in my own field it takes about 10 to 15 years to get really useful at anything. Therefore I am loath to make some quick contrary claim to someone who has spent many years thinking about something. Nearly everyone I have encountered who dismisses AGW is either pretty ignorant about doing science (that's fine, I am sure they are good at other things - it's unrealistic to believe scientific literacy could be universal), or are just plainly unable to contemplate or accept the changes required in the organisation of human affairs (even though these changes would also happen in the absence of global warming), or are just full of anti-environmental politics for various delusional reasons of their won.

Comment Re:Know your market. (Score 1) 964

And that's just the tip of it. There were also very large scale mutual expulsions between Poland and Ukraine, and Poland and Belarus, with several million people uprooted, and a great many deaths. Europe (mainly Eastern) was a difficult place to be after four years of total war and ethnic conflict, to put it mildly, the the rest of the world didn't give a damn (and then the same palaver was repeated within India and then China (and on a smaller scale, Palestine). The late 1940s were times of great ethnic cleansing that the West pretty much ignored after the agony of WW2.

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