Buy an iPhone, become a $99/year iOS ADC member
You forgot buying the Mac on which to run Xcode, for those 90% of households that have something other than a Mac.
And 10% do, which is a much larger number than even need to compile iOS software. I'm not saying they fully overlap, but this helps put things into perspective.
And, like I said, if that's a problem, then Android is there for them.
And for those few people who do have those needs? What's wrong with paying $99/year?
Imagine buying a 3-year developer license and getting the device free. That's Android's value proposition.
And it's a great value. Just quit acting like it's universally appealing (or anything more than a very small niche), and we've got nothing to argue about.
what's wrong with them buying an Android device
That depends on to what extent Apple succeeds in suing Android out of existence.
Apple has no intention to do that, and even if they did, it cannot happen. You sound like Chicken Little.
Because they aren't selling (i.e., people don't want them). But you're right, strike "netbook" from my post, nothing important about it changes.
Ultimately, I want people to take time to consider whether iOS is right for them and will continue to be right for them over the years that they plan to own a device.
How do you think this conversion is supposed to go?
You: "Please, before buying an iOS device, consider if you will end up needing to buy a Mac and subscribe to Apple's iOS developer program for $99/year in order to keep using it the way you want to!"
Them: "What? Will Angry Birds and email and Safari stop working? Will the phone or SMS break? Instagram? Facebook, Twitter, Pinterest? Maps? (ok, haha)"
And this is the crux of the matter. If you think this is something that people are running into, you'd expect iOS ADC memberships to skyrocket (or new iOS sales to plummet). You correctly point out a Mac is required to develop for iOS. If Macs are out there in the tens of millions, and iOS devices in the hundreds of millions, then clearly most people aren't compiling software for their iOS devices. And that's even assuming the absurd notion that all Mac users are programmers.
Somehow, you claim that iOS users have to buy Macs, yet iOS outnumbers the Mac by a huge amount. How can that make any sense? Is everyone sharing Macs or something?
If what you keep worrying about is true, then why does Apple sell more and more iOS devices over time, not fewer? Where are all the people who bought an iPad or iPhone, found they had to pay Apple $99/year and buy a Mac, and now need to switch over to Android to do what they want? Clearly, if this was an actual widespread problem, you'd not expect iOS usage to keep growing, would you? Doesn't that seem a bit odd?
It does affect some people, and they do exactly what you seem to think is impossible: they buy an Android device. Problem solved!
Otherwise, people are more likely to suddenly run into one of the things that iOS can't do and get stuck until they've saved up for a brand new device.
Then they bought the wrong thing, and will need to spend money to correct that mistake. It happens all the time on all sorts of things, not just iPads. People buy the wrong TV, the wrong car, the wrong house, the wrong pants, the wrong mayonnaise, the wrong wallet, the wrong...
So, the question is, for how many people is iOS the wrong mobile OS? The evidence sure seems to imply it's the right OS for ever more people, not fewer.
Strange, right?