Comment Re:German elections (Score 2) 500
One has to be careful about exit polls. In the 1992 UK general election, an exit poll of 10% of the voters turned out to predict the wrong result by more than could be explained by pure statistical chance. It turned out that a significant proportion of the electorate had "forgotten" which way they voted and said that they'd voted for the other party. It was an interesting evening watching the BBC's swingometer swing past the margin of error as the actualy results came in (being a country with a high population density and a simple voting system means we get the first fully counted official result within about 45 minutes and it's only if there are tight recounts that there are any results going much past breakfast the next day). Needless to say the exit polls now include a weighting factor for "too embarassed to admit who you voted for..."