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Comment Re:Obligatory Three Mile Island comparison (Score 1) 259

I see shattered, wooden studs on those blasted-out Fukushima Daiichi buildings.

Fukushima had a GE Mark I containment, which is far weaker than the containment at most PWRs. Mark I containment was controversial, and considered possibly too weak, even when it was introduced in ~1965 when safety standards for nuclear plants were vastly lower. (Some engineers publicly resigned from GE around 1970 and protested that Mark I was too weak; it was a big news item for awhile).

Boiling water reactors generally have much weaker containment than PWRs. That's because BWRs make some kinds of accidents less likely, like 3 mile island. However BWRs are just as likely to melt down in cases like Fukushima, and are obviously less able to withstand meltdowns when they do occur.

It would have been much, much better if the earthquake and tsunami had (by chance) hit a PWR from 1975, rather than a BWR from 1969. There would still have been a meltdown, but the containment would have been massively stronger.

Comment Re:which do you prefer? (Score 1) 259

Probably you don't know, but France is scattered by regions where uranium was mined once

France gets most of its Uranium from central Africa. All mining of Uranium ceased in France around 2001.

The volume of Uranium required, for a given amount of power, is about 1 million times smaller than the volume of coal required for the same amount of power. Of course Uranium is at a lesser concentration (about 2%), so you must correct for that. Still, you can estimate the comparative damage to the environment from Uranium mining vs coal mining.

and a lot of constructions (roads, buildings, private houses) are contaminated due to the use of sterile rocks from U. mines.

Mine tailings are not radioactive enough to require evacuation.

There are roads in France which were purposefully made out of mine tailings and their radioactivity is only negligibly higher than other roads.

Not to mention the constant ocean pollution at la Hague

This is not useful information. The question is: how much pollution compared to other things.

Comment Re:Nothing new here (Score 2) 259

The point appears to be seriously disputed. The first paragraph of the article you cited claims: "Japan's nuclear safety agency today rejected a claim in British newspaper The Independent that the earthquake itself, not the subsequent tsunami, destroyed cooling systems"

However, even if the claim is true, it's worth remembering that all meltdowns are not created equal. A meltdown which does not breach containment, is like three mile island.

If systems had continued functioning at Fukushima then the sequence of events would definitely have been very different. Cooling systems at units 2 and 3 were definitely still functioning. Vents for venting pressure would still have functioned. Filters would have functioned. Devices to prevent hydrogen buildup would have done something.

Not all meltdowns are the same. Bear in mind, that in a meltdown, time is of the essence. Heat is being generated by short-lived radionucleides which decay exponentially. If you can retain containment for even a few days longer, it makes a huge difference (10x or more) to how much radioactive material is released. Saying "well Fukushima would have melted down anyway" may be true (probably not, but I'll grant it here), but that doesn't mean that the outcome would have been similar.

Comment Re:What about the tsunami? (Score 2) 259

Ignore the tens of thousands killed, the hundreds of thousands made homeless/jobless by the tsunami, but hype the shit out of Fukushima because it's "rah-dee-oh-act-iff"

This isn't really the media's fault though. The meltdown at Fukushima was seat-of-your-pants action. Everyone would have their eyes glued to TV screens all around the world (of course, I did too).

Granted, it's disproportionate. Fukushima may kill 2000 people from eventual cancer deaths, whereas we have the equivalent of 20 Fukushimas every year in the USA from deaths caused by coal-burning. But, deaths caused by coal burning are ongoing, constant, and boring.

Recently I read about a proposed EPA rule for coal smokestacks that would reduce the number of deaths in the USA by 10,000 per year (perhaps 5 Fukushimas per year, as a guess). The rule was not approved. It received back-page news and there was no protest.

Comment Re:OK. Let's take the next step in your reasoning. (Score 2) 259

What does that say about the wisdom of building terrestrial nuclear power plants?

It says little or nothing about the wisdom of building plants. You still do not have enough information (from that alone) to determine if plants are safer or more dangerous than alternatives. You must look at the rate of occurrence for large earthquakes (like 9.0) and above, and for other massive natural disasters. Then you must look at the distribution of plants and estimate the number of meltdowns. Then you must compare the harm of those meltdowns to the alternatives available at a cost which the public will accept (burning coal or natural gas).

You need two numbers here for comparison, in order to generate even the roughest estimate of the wisdom of building plants. You cannot arrive at an estimate by just saying "natural disasters happen and we can't predict where...", any more than you could determine the relative safety of (say) walking vs driving by noting that lightning strikes occur and kill pedestrians more than drivers.

Comment Re:What would it take... (Score 1) 776

What would it take? Better science education. You can't be a denier if you understand a little physics.

Unfortunately this doesn't appear to be the case. Many of the people I know who deny global warming took undergraduate courses in physics etc.

Unfortunately, AGW is more complicated than just basic physics and can't be decided by just taking a physics course at University. It's not just a matter of co2 absorbing and re-emitting IR radiation in a simple thermal model, which would be basic physics. It also involves feedback effects and albedo, etc, and those require a sophisticated model. In fact, most of the warming from AGW is caused by complicated feedback effects. So there is no simple experiment or calculation which you can perform by yourself during physics class which could confirm or deny AGW. Even the experts didn't confirm AGW until the mid-1980s.

Notice that denialism isn't an issue in Europe - there's it's the lunatic fringe (where it belongs.)

Europe as a whole doesn't have better science education than the USA.

There is a comparative test (the PISA test) issued every year for a random sample of students in various countries. Only Finland, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Switzerland get significantly higher scores in science than the USA. Many European nations (like Romania and others) score far worse than the USA.

I think the issue is that continental Europeans are far more likely to defer to experts.

Comment Re:What would it take... (Score 1) 776

There is a big difference between people who believe in AGW and the environmentalist granola-eating windmill-loving crowd. Granted, some people on the left see AGW as another opportunity to impose the commune-living low-tech lifestyle that they were trying to impose before. They treat AGW as just a tool or as an excuse to get what they already wanted. But not everyone who believes in AGW is doing so for opportunistic reasons. For example, I believe in AGW, and I think we should deal with it by building 500 new nuclear reactors in the US and by reducing nuclear safety standards somewhat. This obviously is not what the lefty crowd would want. Nor was it my "agenda" to go nuclear even before I came across AGW. I had no agenda. Without AGW I would favor generating electricity using natural gas turbines.

Comment Re:Global population (Score 1) 776

No, because each person radiates only about 100 watts of heat, which is only about 700 billion watts for the whole planet. This is trivial compared to solar insolation of the Earth, which is about 700 quadrillion watts, or 7 million times as much. Even if the greenhouse effect only adds about 2 watts per square meter, it still causes a difference of 1 quadrillion watts which is more than 1400x as much as all heat radiated from humans.

Of course there are other factors which I'm ignoring here. If people are eating food that wasn't grown with fertilizer, then the land would otherwise have produced plants which would be decomposed by fungii which would produce the same amount of heat anyway, so humans in that case aren't even adding to the heat output. In that case we're just displacing heat which would've been emitted by fungii. However, if we didn't use fertilizer, then only about 2 billion of us could be alive, so the net amount of heat added by human body heat in this case is 500 billion watts, not 700 billion. Of course there are still other factors, but all of them are minor.

The amount of heat you add to the atmosphere directly via body heat is trivial even when you compare it to the amount of waste heat radiated directly by industrial machinery or cars. Your car could heat two medium-sized houses in winter using its radiator. Even waste heat from industrial machinery, however, is trivial compared to the effects of GHG.

Ok i have a stupid question.*

It wasn't a stupid question.

I but was wondering if stuff like that was factored into models...

I think that people who make these models did a back-of-the-envelope calculation and decided to ignore direct heat radiation from humans since it's so trivial.

Comment Re:Different thing (Score 1) 776

AGW proponents just don't look past the surface, just like most people. This is why they are so easy to manipulate, and make so many evil bastards super rich.

AGW makes evil bastards super rich? Which evil bastards have gotten super rich off AGW? Warren Buffet? Bill Gates? Larry Ellison? The Koch brothers?! How many super rich people got that way as a consequence of AGW?

If greedy bastards were getting super-rich off AGW, then wouldn't we expect green companies to make extraordinary incomes? Otherwise, how would rich people obtain money from AGW?

I've recently looked through the market capitalizations of various companies as part of my investment strategy. It appears to me that there's far more money to be made (and far more evil bastards who would benefit) from the denial of global warming than from its confirmation. For example, the market cap of Exxon-Mobil alone is probably vastly higher than all "green energy" companies combined (although this is difficult to determine since many green energy companies are so small that they're not public).

Also, what about all the climatologists who seem to believe in AGW? Are you saying that they are all essentially duped and are easily manipulated by evil greedy people?

What you're saying seems implausible to me.

Comment Re:Different thing (Score 1) 776

More peaks in the absorption spectra (IR+Raman) is proportional to heat capacity, because one causes the other.

Are you sure about this? It seems like you have a very severe misconception about this. From what I recall, the two are basically unrelated.

Whereas the opacity of a substance is caused by radiation frequencies matching quantum mechanical properties of molecules, heat capacity is totally unrelated and is caused by degrees of freedom of movement of atoms in a molecule. The two are just not closely related and one doesn't cause the other.

I grabbed a textbook and looked up the heat capacities of materials, and the graphs of absorption spectra. There appears to be little correlation and sometimes there's an inverse correlation.

Comment Re:Different thing (Score 1) 776

That material absorbs IR radiation and re-emits it. This slows heat loss of the system. This is the definition of heat capacity.

That's not the definition of heat capacity. Not at all. You're badly mistaken about this.

Heat capacity is the amount of heat required to raise the temperature of a body by a given amount. For example, a quantity of glass might have a certain heat capacity. But that has nothing to do with whether it's transparent or opaque. For example, soda-lime glass has a similar heat capacity to some kinds of concrete, but obviously one is transparent to visible light while the other is totally opaque, despite their identical heat capacities.

Whether something "slows heat loss of the system" is not the same thing as its heat capacity--not at all. Heat capacity is referring to a property of the substance in question, not to any secondary effect upon the system. For example, a glass window pane may "slow heat loss of [a] system" by preventing convection but that says nothing about its heat capacity.

Where, exactly, do you think that "opacity" comes from?

Not from heat capacity. Opacity doesn't "come from" heat capacity.

It seems you're making two mistakes here: 1) you're confusing something which slows heat loss of a system, with something that has a high heat capacity; and 2) This leads you to believe that opaque things will "cause" heat capacity because they prevent heat loss of a system in this case.

Both of your steps are mistaken.

Comment Re:What is really needed. (Score 1) 768

Here in England for example we pay far, far less for education than in USA and I don't see it being of worse quality, quite the opposite.

Here in the USA we have many public Universities which will provide a quality education to anyone who has met the academic requirements. As an example, there is a state University near me which costs $6,000 per year. And you could easily go to college for less than that; you could go to city college and then transfer, in which case you would pay $14,000 for your entire University education. These prices are the maximum amount you could pay, if you didn't qualify for any scholarships and if your parents are wealthy and you don't qualify for any financial aid.

However those schools aren't good enough for anyone anymore. Instead everyone goes to these little "luxury Universities" which have sprung up everywhere recently and which charge $60,000 per YEAR. These luxury Universities have become extremely common over the last 20 years; in fact, they're practically the norm now. They offer things like manicured lawns, and beautiful buildings, and one instructor for every five students. Unfortunately, some of them have only mediocre academic reputations.

The people who have $150,000 in debt for their undergraduate education (!!) went to those expensive luxury schools.

These facts are not mentioned by the protesters, or by the debtors seeking forgiveness. Instead, those people act as if they had to pay $200,000 for their undergraduate education; as if they had no other options.

By omitting these facts, the protesters have given an extremely misleading impression. I'm not at all surprised you were under the mistaken impression that education is terribly expensive in the USA. In fact, it is not. Each student pays whatever he wants, depending upon the degree of luxury and attention which he requires.

When I first saw schools charging $60,000 per year, while there are perfectly adequate schools charging 1/10th that amount, I was shocked by it. But now I'm even more shocked, because now I see the attendants of those schools demanding, as a matter of "justice", that others should pay for their luxury excursion.

I don't mean to seem uncaring. I actually sympathize, a lot, for the young kids that went to those luxury schools. They had no idea what they were getting into, and they probably didn't even realize how much money that is, and how hard it would be to pay it back (with interest). They got stuck in a trap.

I do not, however, wish to pay for the luxury schools when I don't attend them and to continue paying for such schools. If there is to be a bailout, and I must pay, then I have a right to demand restrictions and to set limits. I demand a law which prevents 18-year-olds from taking out more than $35,000 in debt for their entire undergraduate education. If that means that they must forgo a luxury school and go to cheaper school instead, then so be it.

Comment Re:I call bullshit (Score 1) 289

Instead of mad EJB skills today you'd use Spring and whatnot.... Not to say core Java skills were useless, but a 10 year old skillset would have lost quite a bit in productivity and marketability.

I'm not disagreeing with this point. I said that frameworks etc have changed significantly, but core languages have not.

but a 10 year old skillset would have lost quite a bit in productivity and marketability.

A 10-year half life might be reasonable, but the author was claiming a 2-year half-life.

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