Upvoted despite not being British or knowing how things are in Britain.
Amazing.
Labour and Tories are polling roughly equally, this is because Labour have had to put in some tough things in the budget because the previous party, the Tories, ruined the economy over 14 years. They are polling around 26%, but this is a result of the immediate aftermath of these policies. In addition FPTP skews polls as well as elections.
Today's WASPI shutdown ruling is popular though (online and in the street, you wouldn't think it in the media or the opinion of waspiwoman395435 on X), the majority are sick of the grasping boomer generation, especially when they moan about the result of their own failure to prepare and be responsible.
Labour are in power until 2029, which is why they can do unpopular things now to get things fixed. If these things work, and result in (1) better NHS (2) lower immigration (300k) (3) lower effect of taxation at point of election, then they have a good chance. (2) got some good news today with some forecasts. If (2) is sorted, Reform will not have much leverage.
The Tory leader cannot stop putting her foot in it with almost every utterance. She will be gone within a year or two, otherwise the next election will be an easy win for Labour with Reform second.