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Comment The system that really leads to low quality (Score 3, Interesting) 308

You take a young researcher who has put 7 years into a PhD and 3 into a postdoc, have them write grants that on average grant 20% of applicants funding, and give them a mandate to publish or kiss their career goodbye. They can't take a chance on looking at a hypothesis that has a small chance of revolutionizing their field, because if it doesn't pan out they are screwed. So, the researcher chooses a hypothesis that is safe. They spend a year or two gathering data at great expense. Now, if that data comes back and is ambiguous there is a strong incentive to use the data set to test other hypotheses. The problem with that is eventually you find a hypothesis that gives significant results just by chance. Some of the solutions are to:
  1. 1. Evaluate based on more than just publications. Look at what the scientist did, why they did it, and how they did it.
  2. 2. Get journals to publish negative results. That way if you test a theory and find it is wrong, it still counts as successful research.
  3. 3. Set aside 20% of research funds to fund replication of published studies. Right now there is no downside to publishing a result that is likely spurious because nobody is likely to figure it out for decades. If a researcher knows that there is a 20% chance his study will be replicated the following year it will make him very careful to do things right. Make reproducing experiments count toward career progression.
  4. 4. Include grant applications with the papers that they produce. That way readers can see if the hypothesis tested in the paper is actually the one that the scientist set out to test. If not, there should be information on why and on how many alternate hypotheses were tested.

Comment Re:Not that easy to blame the contractors (Score 4, Interesting) 786

Obama and his people delayed the rules for Obamacare so they would not come out before the 2012 elections. That delayed the writing of the code for the website and they continued to issue changes right before the site was about to be released.

Actually, a lot of that delay was to try to accommodate Republican state legislatures and Governors in the hopes that they would step up to the plate and create state run exchanges. In my state (Michigan) the Republican Governor fought the Republican Legislature to be able to build our own exchange but lost.

Comment Re:I donâ(TM)t suppose... (Score 1) 622

So you are advocating that journalists keep all their data on computer because we all know that if data is encrypted that computers are impregnable fortresses of data security -NOT. When data brokerage services, hundreds of U.S. companies, the Iranian nuclear program, and banks are hacked, botnets run wild, not to mention the NSA spying I would argue that even if you had an IT security department you might be safer keeping only paper records.

Comment Dream for Attackers? That's a bit rich (Score 1) 122

E-mail is fundamentally insecure. SMTP is easily spoofed because it has no authentication mechanism. By default every message travels unencrypted and nobody bothers to correct that. I can not remember the last time I got an e-mail that was encrypted. Sure gmail may provide me with an ssl connection to read my mail but any message in my inbox could have bounced all over the net in the clear. Every large e-mail provider has been repeatedly hacked. If you have are using a set of insecure protocols with no encryption adding another possibly insecure service doesn't change things much.

Submission + - Parenting: Is enrichment worth the hassle? (blogspot.com)

davidannis writes: While there is broad awareness of studies that link parenting style to educational and economic outcomes I recently found a compelling and seemingly totally contradictory set of studies that argue that outcome is almost completely determined by genetics. If those studies are right, I am wasting an immense amount of time, effort, and money. I'm asking for help reconciling these contradictory sets of scientific studies.

Comment Re:It's not mutually exclusive. (Score 1) 183

Might be true but if you are a US corporation you should be more afraid of China since they are interested in stealing your trade secrets and handing it to their businesses:

According to this year's annual report on cyber-crime, Verizon found 96 percent of the world's cyber-espionage, stealing trade secrets and intellectual property, came from one country: China.

Security specialists say China is using theft as a national development strategy, pilfering software for wind turbines, fiberoptic cable technology, blueprints for weapons systems like the Joint Strike Fighter.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/military/july-dec13/cybercrime_07-08.html

Despite all the revelations of NSA spying they are not gathering trade secrets and handing them to American companies. Since neither Cisco nor Huawei is focused on the consumer market your argument takes the wrong perspective.

Comment Re:What other variable were examined? (Score 4, Interesting) 668

If you read a bit more than the review article you find that scores on the test of scientific literacy they used is highly correlated with years of education. Since the tea party is heavily skewed toward older white males you'd expect them to have more years of education than the general population. Years of education was not controlled for.

Comment Re:More mods as censors (Score 1) 1144

largest deficits in history are currently held by....Obama

Yes, but what you leave out is that he got an economy in freefall, because of a financial crisis so bad that his opponent (McCain) had to suspend his Presidential campaign to head back to Washington to vote on a bailout for the financial system (he even wanted to skip out on the debates). His predecessor had turned the Clinton surpluses into deficits with tax cuts and two wars. So, he started with huge deficits and an economy shedding about 200,000 jobs a month and had a choice between austerity and stimulus. He chose stimulus and now we have anemic job growth and deficits that are headed back down. I've been to Greece recently and am grateful that he didn't choose austerity. Now, faced with a weak economy the GOP is shutting down the Government because they can't repeal the Affordable Care Act and they'll shave a couple tenths of a percent off GDP growth, making deficit reduction that much harder.

Comment Re:Insightly (Score 2) 163

The existing implementation looks complex because it codifies hundreds of special business rules, such as discounts for the boss's friends, special commission arrangements with a particular salesperson, etc. You can't just throw out those rules, so you end up maintaining the old system simultaneously with trying to implement the new system. But your resources are split between these two tasks, so requests for fixes get backlogged, while the new implementation drags on for years.

I've seen both sides of this argument. I have seen companies try to replace a system and be unable to replicate the functionality that they need in a new system. On the other hand I've seen companies decide after trying to replicate poorly documented business rules in new software that they need to take a long hard look at all the rules and jettison most of the software customization that is unique to the business. Some of it is there for reasons that no longer apply. Some customization is no longer used. Some customization is counterproductive. The trick is to identify which customizations are worthwhile and having somebody at the top who says no to customization that isn't really necessary so that it doesn't grow endlessly. Ask yourself how different your business is and how critical the customization is. An IT guy, especially a new one needs to get buy in from the top because he will not be able to say no to requests to keep and add business rules.

Comment Re:ID theft mitigation (Score 1) 99

Losing your credit card and getting a new number won't solve the problem because the ID thieves can just open an account or take out a loan in your name since they have your name, social security number, date of birth and all the other information a bank uses to confirm that the person opening the account is you.

Comment I can see it happening (Score 1) 210

Linked in claims that it won't send e-mail to your contacts on your behalf without your permission. What they don't say is that they won't send e-mail to their existing members that happen to be in your contact list. They also don't claim that they won't exploit the knowledge that I am both in your contact list and an existing member. So, I have had a number of e-mails and web pages that list a particular individual as "somebody you may know" because she once answered a classified ad from her yahoo address and linked in has access to her yahoo e-mail account. I am nearly certain that she never asked linked in to connect us; if she had the message from linked in would say "Person X has requested a connection." Instead, for three years they have kept suggesting that I may know person X, and given that I have no other connection than a couple of e-mails in response to an advertisement, they are exploiting her e-mail contacts in a way that they don't make clear to their users when they are granted access to e-mail accounts.

Comment Re:Impractical? (Score 5, Insightful) 347

If we ever hit the point where most products can be reproduced essentially for free

No worries, the more complex the product the more complex the printer will need to be and the less efficient doing it on a small scale will be. We could all produce many things at home now but we don't. In part, it is more efficient to produce things in mass quantities. Then there is the up front cost. In part it is the complexity of producing certain components. There is a reason IC plants are so expensive; you can't print a chip without a lot complex machinery, a specific environment, etc. So, even if somebody comes up with a printer that can print a laptop it will have a large up front cost, require maintenance, and not be cheaper than paying a company that specializes in making laptops for many decades to come.

Comment Re:D.A.R.E has no benefit (Score 1) 440

You are wrong on two fronts. First, there are plenty of scientifically documented benefits to music and arts education. http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/science-sushi/2012/08/21/even-a-few-years-of-music-training-benefits-the-brain/ http://www.nasaa-arts.org/Research/Key-Topics/Arts-Education/critical-evidence.pdf Despite the overwhelming evidence, my son's school system just fired all their elementary school music, art, and PE teachers. http://www.nasaa-arts.org/Research/Key-Topics/Arts-Education/critical-evidence.pdf

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