I am not seeing this.
In the first link you provided, the only prediction I see relates to statutory damages. NYCL says that there are facts that could lead a court to find fair use in the context of a p2p environment, but there's no prediction with respect to that. The statement that there are fact patterns such that court could find fair use in a p2p situation is still true.
I can't find a comment by NYCL in the second link. If one is there, can you show me where it is?
NYCL is providing links and updates to potentially important IP cases. He's also "biased" in the sense that he has an opinion, but he wears it on his sleeve so I'm not sure where your anger comes from. If you want to be angry you can also say "the court probably won't care about the amicus briefs", or "the court won't care about the scholarship", or "linking to an 'Ed. Note: the law and scholarship agree' comment is lazy and lame and unpersuasive', but, although all of that would be true in a sense, this is /. and not a law weblog.
99% of the people here have an opinion on the outcome they want and will criticize the courts if that outcome is not reached no matter what is a reasonable interpretation of the law and precedent. /. is a machine that gets fed and, at least with respect to law, is not a place you're going to fund much honest discourse on the current state of IP law. What you will find is discourse on how IP law should be changed -- but those arguments are, no matter what they pretend to be, about statutory changes rather than informed arguments regarding textual analysis of actual law and precedent.
NYCL is feeding information to the machine with his own opinion injected in the summary. He has the advantage of having an educated opinion, whether or not he's correct about the eventual outcome in any particular case. That's like 10 jillion times better than people will ever see reading Cory Doctorow. So I'm happy he exists and posts here.
(IAAL, and I am an IP lawyer)